Raoul Pal 宣布山寨幣市場出現爆炸性新階段，他稱之為“香蕉奇點”

這項預測是在比特幣在 1 月初突破 10 萬美元後在 9.3 萬美元左右盤整之際做出的。

Renowned财经ксперт Raoul Pal has recently shared his explosive prediction for the altcoin market, which he dubs the “banana singularity.” This phase will be marked by a widespread surge in altcoin prices, following a period of consolidation for bitcoin.

著名財經ксперт Raoul Pal最近分享了他對山寨幣市場的爆炸性預測，他稱之為「香蕉奇點」。在比特幣經過一段時間的盤整之後，這一階段的特點是山寨幣價格普遍飆升。

After surpassing the $100,000 milestone in early January, bitcoin has been trading around the $93,000 level. Meanwhile, the crypto market is gearing up for a new phase, as indicated by Pal's analysis.

在 1 月初突破 100,000 美元里程碑後，比特幣一直在 93,000 美元水平附近交易。同時，如帕爾的分析所示，加密貨幣市場正在準備進入一個新階段。

The ‘banana zone,’ a stage in a historic crypto bull cycle

「香蕉區」是歷史性加密貨幣牛市週期的一個階段

On January 10, 2024, Raoul Pal shared his analysis on social media platform X, revealing that the crypto market is currently in the “banana zone.” This phase begins with a breakout in prices, which was observed in November 2024. It closely resembles the bull cycle of 2016-2017, as Pal points out.

2024 年 1 月 10 日，Raoul Pal 在社群媒體平台 X 上分享了他的分析，透露加密市場目前處於「香蕉區」。這一階段始於 2024 年 11 月觀察到的價格突破。

This stage is characterized by a surge in total market capitalization, which has increased by 90% over the past year to reach $3.4 trillion. This follows a new all-time high of $3.9 trillion in December 2024.

這一階段的特點是總市值激增，過去一年增長了90%，達到3.4兆美元。在此之前，2024 年 12 月創下了 3.9 兆美元的歷史新高。

As highlighted by Pal's comparative charts, this phenomenon can be largely attributed to the increase in the global M2 money supply. This correlation suggests a continuation of the bullish trend, despite recent corrections that have brought bitcoin back to around $92,000.

正如帕爾的對比圖表所強調的那樣，這種現像很大程度上歸因於全球 M2 貨幣供應量的增加。這種相關性表明看漲趨勢仍在繼續，儘管最近的調整使比特幣回到了 92,000 美元左右。

A ‘historic altseason’ on the cards

「歷史性的山寨季」即將來臨

The next stage of this cycle, as described by Raoul Pal, is expected to be an explosive phase of widespread gains by alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins), which he terms the “banana singularity.”

正如 Raoul Pal 所描述的，這個週期的下一階段預計將是替代加密貨幣（山寨幣）廣泛收益的爆炸性階段，他將其稱為「香蕉奇點」。

DeFi researcher 0xNobler shares this optimistic outlook, predicting a rise in bitcoin to $500,000, which would trigger “the largest altcoin season in history.”

DeFi 研究人員 0xNobler 也持樂觀態度，預測比特幣將上漲至 50 萬美元，這將引發「歷史上最大的山寨幣季節」。

This perspective is based on the analysis of bitcoin dominance, which is currently stable at 58%. In the past, a decrease in this indicator has signaled a favorable period for altcoins.

這一觀點是基於對比特幣主導地位的分析，目前比特幣主導地位穩定在 58%。過去，該指標的下降預示著山寨幣的有利時期。

The current market consolidation, which is reminiscent of the 2016-2017 bull cycle, could lead to a phase of massive expansion for altcoins.

目前的市場整合讓人想起 2016-2017 年的牛市週期，可能會導致山寨幣進入大規模擴張階段。

Recent events, such as political developments in the United States and the increase in global liquidity, continue to support this bullish trajectory. Despite short-term volatility, the fundamentals of the crypto market have never been stronger, indicating a new era of explosive growth for the entire ecosystem.

最近發生的事件，例如美國的政治事態發展和全球流動性的增加，繼續支持這一看漲軌跡。儘管存在短期波動，但加密貨幣市場的基本面從未如此強勁，這預示著整個生態系統進入了爆炸性增長的新時代。

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As a Bitcoin enthusiast, I delve into the depths of blockchain and cryptocurrencies, sharing my discoveries with the community. I envision a world where financial freedom and privacy are guaranteed for all, and I believe Bitcoin is the tool that can make this a reality.

身為比特幣愛好者，我深入研究區塊鏈和加密貨幣，與社群分享我的發現。我設想一個所有人的財務自由和隱私都得到保障的世界，我相信比特幣是可以實現這一目標的工具。