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該公司還指出,人們對 2025 年加密貨幣的樂觀情緒日益增長,部分原因是圍繞唐納德·川普(Donald Trump)重返辦公室的猜測以及新興的比特幣相關政策提案。
Financial services firm QCP Capital has issued a warning about potential market volatility ahead of the final Federal Reserve meeting of 2024.
金融服務公司 QCP Capital 在 2024 年最後一次聯準會會議之前就潛在的市場波動發出警告。
The firm anticipates the Fed will announce a 25 basis point rate cut during the December meeting, but noted that the central bank will likely maintain a hawkish stance.
該公司預計聯準會將在12月會議期間宣布降息25個基點,但指出央行可能會維持鷹派立場。
According to QCP Capital, the Fed's final dot plot for the year will signal three rate cuts in 2025, indicating the central bank’s pivot toward looser monetary policy.
據QCP Capital稱,聯準會今年的最終點陣圖將預示2025年三度降息,顯示央行轉向更寬鬆的貨幣政策。
However, the firm warns that the Fed will remain non-committal on the pace of rate cuts next year.
然而,該公司警告稱,聯準會仍將對明年的降息步伐不置可否。
"We anticipate tonight’s statement and dot plot to carry a slightly hawkish tone, reflecting US inflation stabilizing above the Fed’s 2% target and a robust labor market," QCP stated in its market note.
QCP 在其市場報告中表示:“我們預計今晚的聲明和點陣圖將帶有略微鷹派的基調,反映出美國通膨穩定在美聯儲 2% 的目標之上以及強勁的勞動力市場。”
The firm also highlights potential risks in the crypto market, with thinning liquidity across global markets that could amplify price swings and trigger large-scale liquidations.
該公司還強調了加密貨幣市場的潛在風險,全球市場流動性減少可能會加劇價格波動並引發大規模清算。
From a technical perspective, QCP points to an "evening star" pattern on Bitcoin's daily chart and bearish divergences, indicating caution.
從技術角度來看,QCP 指出比特幣日線圖上的「黃昏之星」模式和看跌背離,顯示謹慎。
Despite the short-term price drops, the firm advises traders to "stay the course," especially considering the optimism for 2025.
儘管短期價格下跌,但該公司建議交易者“堅持到底”,特別是考慮到 2025 年的樂觀情緒。
"With 2025 poised to be a potentially bullish year for crypto, particularly with Trump in office, staying the course may prove beneficial," QCP added.
QCP 補充說:“2025 年有望成為加密貨幣市場潛在看漲的一年,尤其是在川普上台的情況下,堅持到底可能是有益的。”
The bullish sentiment for next year aligns with emerging narratives about Bitcoin's role in future U.S. economic policy.
明年的觀看情緒與有關比特幣在未來美國經濟政策中的作用的新興敘述一致。
The Bitcoin Policy Institute has reportedly drafted a proposed Executive Order, which would establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve (SBR) under Trump's administration.
據報導,比特幣政策研究所起草了一項擬議的行政命令,該命令將在川普政府的領導下建立戰略比特幣儲備(SBR)。
The draft outlines plans to consolidate Bitcoin holdings across U.S. federal agencies and designate Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, enhancing financial security and fostering economic leadership.
該草案概述了整合美國聯邦機構的比特幣持有量並將比特幣指定為戰略儲備資產的計劃,以增強金融安全並培養經濟領導力。
The draft policy emphasizes Bitcoin's decentralized nature and potential as a "digital gold," with the proposed SBR to be managed by the U.S. Treasury Department's Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF).
該政策草案強調了比特幣的去中心化性質和作為「數位黃金」的潛力,提議的 SBR 將由美國財政部的外匯穩定基金(ESF)管理。
As stated in the document, the initiative aims to "cement American financial dominance long into the future" and expand the diversity of U.S. reserve assets.
正如文件中所述,該倡議旨在「在未來長期鞏固美國的金融主導地位」並擴大美國儲備資產的多樣性。
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