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一位以及時做出加密貨幣預測而聞名的分析師就該資產類別可能徘徊在牛市高峰附近的可能性發出了警報。
Crypto analyst Bluntz is warning his followers that the asset class may be nearing the end of its bull market rally.
加密貨幣分析師布倫茨警告他的追隨者,該資產類別可能已接近牛市反彈的終點。
The analyst, who has a following of over 309,000 on the social media platform X, says that while some coins are still showing bullish signals, the market as a whole appears to be nearing a cycle top.
這位在社群媒體平台 X 上擁有超過 309,000 名粉絲的分析師表示,雖然一些代幣仍顯示出看漲訊號,但整個市場似乎已接近週期頂部。
Bluntz’s analysis is largely based on Bitcoin (BTC), which the analyst says is in the final stages of a five-wave rally that began in early 2023.
Bluntz 的分析主要基於比特幣 (BTC),分析師表示,比特幣正處於 2023 年初開始的五波反彈的最後階段。
The trader uses the Elliott Wave (EW) theory, which suggests that a bullish asset will complete a five-wave rally before ending an uptrend.
該交易員使用艾略特波浪(EW)理論,該理論表明看漲資產將在結束上升趨勢之前完成五浪反彈。
Bluntz says that each wave of BTC’s rally can now be accounted for.
布倫茨表示,現在可以解釋比特幣的每一波上漲。
“From an EW perspective, every single wave within this bull run on BTC can potentially be accounted for now, in my opinion. Every sub-wave within the wave that started back in August AND five waves from within the cycle bottom (2022) lows.
「從電子戰的角度來看,我認為,比特幣牛市中的每一波浪潮現在都可以被解釋。 8 月開始的波浪中的每個子波浪以及週期底部(2022 年)低點內的五個波浪。
Can we go higher from here? Sure it's possible. Does this mean you should 100% cash out? Probably not, because you'll likely just FOMO back in at any sign of strength. As I said yesterday though, at least taking some chips off the table would be wise.”
我們可以從這裡走得更高嗎?當然有可能。這是否意味著您應該 100% 兌現?可能不會,因為一旦出現任何強勢跡象,你很可能會因為害怕錯過而再次出現。不過,正如我昨天所說,至少拿走一些籌碼是明智的。
Bluntz also says that another coin that may have reached its bull market peak is Solana (SOL).
Bluntz 也表示,另一個可能已達到牛市頂峰的代幣是 Solana (SOL)。
The trader notes that SOL appears to have completed a five-wave rally on the monthly chart, with a bearish reversal signal also forming.
該交易員指出,SOL 在月線圖上似乎已經完成了五波上漲,同時看跌反轉訊號也正在形成。
Bluntz adds that on a lower time frame, SOL has also completed a five-wave down from the highs.
Bluntz 補充說,在較短的時間範圍內,SOL 也完成了從高點下跌的五波走勢。
“SOL monthly has a clear five-up with a monthly bear divergence brewing. SOL lower time frame has a five down from the highs. Do with this what you will.”
「SOL 月度有明顯的五漲,月度熊背離正在醞釀。 SOL 較低的時間框架較高點下跌了 5 個。用這個做你想做的事。
A bearish divergence occurs when an asset’s price trades higher or sideways, while momentum decreases. This usually indicates that an asset is preparing for a downtrend.
當資產價格走高或橫盤,而動量下降時,就會出現看跌背離。這通常表示資產正在為下跌趨勢做準備。
At the time of writing, SOL is trading for $234.
截至撰寫本文時,SOL 的交易價格為 234 美元。
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