著名的市場分析師山姆·普萊斯（Sam Price）以強大的宏觀指標為由，駁回了比特幣（BTC）峰值索賠

比特幣的RSI，恐懼和貪婪指數和斐波那契水平表明市場接近底部，而不是頂部。

Prominent market analyst Sam Price has shot down claims that Bitcoin’s bull cycle has come to an end, highlighting several macro indicators which he says suggest the market is far from its peak.

著名的市場分析師山姆·普萊斯（Sam Price）宣布了比特幣的牛週期結束的說法，強調了幾個宏觀指標，他說，這一宏觀指標遠非其頂峰。

In a recent thread, Price argued that Bitcoin is currently closer to the price bottom than the top, advising investors to capitalize on the recent dip.

普萊斯（Price）在最近的一個線程中認為，比特幣目前比最低價格更接近最低價，建議投資者利用最近的下跌。

This view contrasts with the growing belief that the 2024/2025 bull run peaked at $109,000—a notion reinforced by CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, who recently declared the bull market over.

這種觀點與越來越多的信念形成鮮明對比：2024/2025公牛的運行率達到109,000美元，這一概念是由CryptoQuant Ceo Ki Young Ju加強的，他最近宣布了牛市。

However, Price asserted that the Pi Cycle Indicator, developed by Phillip Swift, is one of the strongest signals for determining market cycles. This tool has historically predicted Bitcoin’s tops with great accuracy. A top is typically confirmed when the 111-day moving average crosses the 350-day moving average x2 (350DMA x2).

但是，普萊斯斷言，由菲利普·斯威夫特（Phillip Swift）開發的PI週期指標是確定市場週期的最強信號之一。該工具歷史上以極高的準確性預測了比特幣的上衣。當111天移動平均線越過350天移動平均線X2（350DMA X2）時，通常會確認頂部。

Currently, these moving averages remain relatively far apart, signaling that Bitcoin is still in an uptrend and closer to a bottom than a peak. Additionally, recent price action aligns with a macro higher-low structure, which usually precedes higher highs. Nevertheless, Price noted that a weekly close between $58,000 and $56,000 would invalidate this bullish outlook.

目前，這些移動平均值保持相對較遠，表明比特幣仍處於上升趨勢，並且比峰值更接近底部。此外，最近的價格動作與宏觀高的結構保持一致，該結構通常在更高的高點之前。儘管如此，普萊斯指出，每週的58,000美元至56,000美元之間的收盤價將使這種看漲的前景無效。

Another critical metric identified by Price is a hidden bullish divergence on Bitcoin’s weekly timeframe. This occurs when price forms a higher low, while an oscillator—such as Relative Strength Index (RSI)—forms a lower low, suggesting a continuation of the uptrend.

價格確定的另一個關鍵指標是對比特幣每週時間表上隱藏的看漲差異。當價格形成較高的低點時，振盪器（例如相對強度指數（RSI））形成了較低的低點，這會發生這種情況。

After hitting January 20 highs, BTC recently experienced a 23% correction, but the RSI formed a lower low at the same time. Throughout history, this pattern has tended to precede strong rebounds.

在達到1月20日的高點之後，BTC最近經歷了23％的校正，但RSI同時又形成了較低的低點。在整個歷史上，這種模式傾向於在強大的籃板之前。

Moreover, Bitcoin is now approaching the 1.618 Fibonacci level (Golden Pocket), a key retracement zone where price reversals often take place.

此外，比特幣現在正在接近1.618斐波那契水平（Golden Pocket），這是一個鑰匙回試區，價格逆轉經常發生。

Price also noted that Bitcoin’s daily RSI dropped to 23 on March 11—a level seen only twice in recent times. Both previous instances marked significant macro bottoms:

普萊斯還指出，比特幣的每日RSI在3月11日下降到23次，最近僅兩次。以前的兩個實例都標誌著重要的宏觀底部：

November 10, 2022 – RSI hit 23 as Bitcoin fell to $15,854 before a major rally.

2022年11月10日 - RSI在大集會之前跌至15,854美元，而RSI達到23美元。

September 7, 2023 – RSI reached 23 at $25,639, marking another price low before a surge.

2023年9月7日 - RSI以$ 25,639的價格達到23，標誌著在激增之前的另一個低價。

Similarly, Bitcoin’s Fear and Greed Index (FGI) plunged to 10 on February 27, which historically aligns with major buying opportunities.

同樣，比特幣的恐懼和貪婪指數（FGI）於2月27日跌至10，歷史上符合主要購買機會。

This, combined with other indicators, suggests that investors should be considering dollar-cost averaging (DCA) their Bitcoin positions ahead of the next rally.

這與其他指標相結合，表明投資者應考慮在下一次集會之前考慮他們的比特幣頭寸（DCA）。