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然而,這一次它做得很快,並且沿著軌跡看來注定要繼續下去。
The price of Ethereum (ETH) has slipped again below $2,000. This time, however, it did so quite quickly, and with a trajectory that for now seems destined to continue.
以太坊(ETH)的價格再次低於2,000美元。然而,這一次它做得很快,並且沿著軌跡看來注定要繼續下去。
Yesterday, the $2,000 seemed to hold, but today it first suddenly returned to just over $1,900, with an ugly -4.6% in a quarter of an hour, and then not only did it fail to bounce back but it ended up falling even to $1,880.
昨天,這2,000美元似乎持有,但今天首先返回到1,900美元以上,一個小時內的醜陋-4.6%,然後它不僅沒有反彈,而且最終跌至1,880美元。
In general, such sudden drops are due to forced liquidations of leveraged positions, and for this reason, they tend to be short-lived and followed by a rebound. This time, however, there doesn’t seem to have been any sign of a rebound.
通常,這種突然的下降是由於槓杆位置的強迫清算所致,因此,它們往往是短暫的,隨後是反彈。但是,這次似乎沒有任何反彈的跡象。
> Difficulties of the crypto markets: Ethereum (ETH) seems to suffer more than all
>加密市場的困難:以太坊(ETH)似乎比所有人都遭受更多的痛苦
There is no specific reason regarding Ethereum that has caused this sudden price drop of ETH.
關於以太坊的特定原因沒有引起ETH的突然價格下跌。
It seems, however, that it was triggered by a decline in Bitcoin.
但是,似乎是由比特幣下降引發的。
Until yesterday, the price of Bitcoin had remained above $86,000, more or less around $87,000, but last night before the drop of ETH, it fell below $86,000 in about half an hour. The start of the BTC price drop preceded that of ETH by a good ten minutes.
直到昨天,比特幣的價格一直以於86,000美元以上,或多或少的$ 87,000,但昨晚在ETH下降之前,它在半小時內下跌了86,000美元。 BTC價格下跌的開始之前,ETH的開始時間為十分鐘。
All this has resulted in a general decline in the crypto markets, with some exceptions, so much so that the overall market capitalization has fallen from 2.790 trillion dollars to 2.710.
除了一些例外,所有這些導致加密貨幣市場的總體下降,以至於總體市值從2.790萬億美元下降到2.710。
Furthermore, already yesterday there was a decline, given that Bitcoin was at almost $88,000, Ethereum at $2,030, and the crypto market capitalization at $2.810 trillion dollars.
此外,昨天已經有所下降,因為比特幣為近88,000美元,以太坊為2,030美元,而加密市值為2.810萬億美元。
The descending trend: Will Bitcoin (BTC) lead the market to a bear?
下降趨勢:比特幣(BTC)會帶領市場進入熊嗎?
Since it seems to be the price of Bitcoin that influences this dynamic, it is necessary to focus on its trend.
由於它似乎是影響這種動態的比特幣的價格,因此有必要關注其趨勢。
From Monday to Wednesday, it had tried to stay above $88,000, but without success. If it had managed, the mini descending trend of yesterday and today probably would not have been triggered.
從星期一到星期三,它試圖保持超過88,000美元,但沒有成功。如果管理的話,昨天和今天的迷你下降趨勢可能不會觸發。
The problem is that the rise of both the Dollar Index and the price of gold indicates a new small escape from risk-on, and this means a clear reduction in buying pressure even on BTC.
問題在於,美元指數的上漲和黃金的價格都表明了從風險上進行新的小逃脫,這意味著即使在BTC上,購買壓力也明顯減輕。
Note that even the selling pressure is low, but with such low buying pressure and moreover decreasing, the price still cannot do anything but go down.
請注意,即使是銷售壓力也很低,但是由於購買壓力如此低,而且價格下降,價格仍然無能為力。
To all this must be added that the rising trend of the gold price has been going on for over three months now, and it does not seem to want to stop, given that today it has marked its new all-time high at over $3,080 per ounce.
必須補充的是,黃金價格的上漲趨勢已經持續了三個多月,而且似乎並不想停止,因為今天它已經將其新的歷史最高高點標記為每盎司3,080美元以上。
The Dollar Index, on the other hand, is still far from the peaks of January, but it seems to have interrupted the declining phase that lasted from January 11 to March 18, although with some partial intermediate interruptions.
另一方面,美元指數仍然遠離1月的高峰,但似乎中斷了從1月11日至3月18日的下降階段,儘管有一些部分中間中斷。
All this suggests that the downward trend of yesterday and today of Bitcoin might not have ended yet, and that this could also drag Ethereum along.
所有這些都表明,昨天和今天的比特幣的下降趨勢可能還沒有結束,這也可能會拖延以太坊。
The forecasts on the price of Ethereum (ETH)
以太坊價格的預測(ETH)
Currently, there are not many reliable positive forecasts for Ethereum circulating.
當前,以太坊循環的可靠正面預測並不多。
It should not be forgotten that already on March 11th it had dropped to $1,800, and since it has not really managed to recover since then, there also seems to be the risk that it could slip even further below this threshold.
不應忘記的是,3月11日已經降至1,800美元,而且由於此後它並沒有真正恢復,因此似乎也有可能進一步降至此閾值以下的風險。
The situation changes, however, in the medium/long term, because it is difficult for this descending phase to continue for a long time.
但是,情況在中/長期內發生了變化,因為這個下降階段很難持續很長時間。
To tell the truth, it is not even possible to completely rule out this last hypothesis, but if the American markets were to recover in the coming weeks and months, the price of gold could start to fall, and the Dollar Index could start to decline again, thus favoring a return of interest and capital towards risk-on.
說實話,甚至不可能完全排除最後一個假設,但是如果美國市場在接下來的幾周和幾個月中要恢復,黃金的價格可能會開始下跌,而美元指數可能會再次下降,從而有利於利息的回報和資本回報。
Most likely, Bitcoin will still dominate the crypto markets at this stage, as we are in the middle of Bitcoin season, according to the altseason index of CMC, and this situation shows no signs of ending.
根據CMC的Altseason指數,最有可能的比特幣仍將在此階段占主導地位的加密貨幣市場,因為我們正處於比特幣季節的中期,這種情況沒有結束的跡象。
The fact is that only just under four months ago the price of Ethereum was over $4,000, and especially it was at $2,400 before Trump’s electoral victory, and early November, and such data clearly highlight how much it is suffering at this moment.
事實是,僅僅四個月前,以太坊的價格超過4,000美元,尤其是在特朗普選舉勝利和11月初之前的2400美元,而且此類數據顯然強調了目前在這一刻遭受了多少痛苦。
However, often the crypto markets see only Bitcoin as the protagonist during difficult times, except for rare exceptions, and the current situation from this point of view is no exception.
但是,在艱難時期,加密市場通常只將比特幣視為主角,除了極少數例外,從這種角度來看,當前情況也不例外。
In the event that the crypto market recovers, thanks to Bitcoin, the
如果加密貨幣市場恢復了,多虧了比特幣,
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