聚合物數據信號在2025年圍繞XRP ETF批准增長的樂觀情緒

PolyMarket是一個分散的預測市場平台，最近表明，XRP交易所交易基金（ETF）將於2025年批准83％

Investment firms are flocking to file for XRP-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs), with Grayscale leading the charge with a recent filing with the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) to launch an XRP ETF. This move by Grayscale, known for its Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, signals a critical shift in the market.

投資公司正在湧向基於XRP的交易所交易基金（ETFS）提起訴訟，而Grayscale則通過最近向紐約證券交易所（NYSE）提交的文件來發起XRP ETF。 Grayscale以其比特幣和以太坊ETF而聞名的這一舉動標誌著市場的關鍵轉變。

Now, a decentralized prediction market platform is indicating an 83% probability of an XRP ETF being approved in 2025, sparking optimism among investors and analysts. This marks a 13% increase in the probability, signaling growing institutional interest and a shift toward mainstream adoption of XRP-based financial products.

現在，一個分散的預測市場平台表明，XRP ETF在2025年獲得批准的可能性為83％，這引發了投資者和分析師之間的樂觀情緒。這標誌著概率增加了13％，表明機構利益的增長以及向基於XRP的金融產品主流採用的轉變。

Rising Confidence in XRP ETF Approval

XRP ETF批准的信心提高

This growing confidence around XRP ETF approval comes in the wake of several major investment firms making significant moves to file for XRP-based ETFs.

在幾家主要的投資公司為基於XRP的ETF提出重大舉措之後，對XRP ETF批准的信心越來越大。

Grayscale recently made a filing with the NYSE to launch an XRP ETF. This move, being Grayscale's third attempt at launching a crypto ETF, is a critical shift in the market.

Grayscale最近向NYSE提交了XRP ETF的文件。這一舉動是Grayscale推出加密ETF的第三次嘗試，是市場的關鍵轉變。

Grayscale, being a pioneer in crypto ETFs, and with its standing and influence in the industry, their efforts are bound to raise the likelihood of XRP ETF approval.

灰度是加密ETF的先驅，並且在其在行業中的地位和影響力，他們的努力必定會增加XRP ETF批准的可能性。

According to Polymarket's data, the probability of an XRP ETF being approved has risen sharply to 83%, marking a 13% increase in just a short period. This growing optimism is being fueled by investors reacting to developments in the regulatory environment and the increasing demand for XRP exposure.

根據Polymarket的數據，獲得XRP ETF的可能性急劇上升至83％，僅在短時間內增加了13％。投資者對監管環境中的發展以及對XRP暴露的需求不斷增長的反應激發了這種日益增長的樂觀情緒。

The Polymarket prediction suggests that many market participants believe the SEC is more likely to approve an XRP ETF in 2025, especially after the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024.

Polymarket預測表明，許多市場參與者認為，SEC在2025年更有可能批准XRP ETF，尤其是在2024年1月的現貨比特幣ETF批准之後。

The success of these crypto-based ETFs has set a positive precedent for similar products, and considering that Ethereum ETFs are also gaining traction, it signals that the market is ready for more regulated cryptocurrency products.

這些基於加密的ETF的成功為類似產品樹立了積極的先例，考慮到以太坊ETF也在受到關注，這表明市場已準備好用於更監管的加密貨幣產品。

However, the approval of an XRP ETF is still subject to regulatory approval. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has faced ongoing scrutiny over its stance on XRP, being involved in a legal battle with Ripple Labs.

但是，XRP ETF的批准仍需要獲得監管批准。美國證券交易委員會（SEC）對其在XRP上的立場進行了持續的審查，並與Ripple Labs進行了法律鬥爭。

In 2023, Ripple secured a partial victory when a U.S. judge ruled that XRP is not a security when traded on secondary markets. But the regulatory landscape is still in flux, leaving room for uncertainty.

2023年，當美國法官裁定XRP在二級市場交易時不是安全性時，Ripple取得了部分勝利。但是，監管景觀仍處於不變狀態，留下了不確定性的空間。

The SEC’s approval of Bitcoin ETFs signals that regulatory policies are evolving, and many believe the SEC may be more inclined to approve additional crypto ETFs, including XRP, as the market stabilizes and institutional demand grows.

SEC對比特幣ETF的批准表明監管政策正在發展，許多人認為，隨著市場的穩定和機構需求的增長，SEC可能更傾向於批准包括XRP在內的其他加密ETF。

The approval process will likely take into account various factors, including market stability, investor protection, and the maturity of the cryptocurrency ecosystem.

批准過程可能會考慮到各種因素，包括市場穩定，投資者保護以及加密貨幣生態系統的成熟度。

The potential approval of an XRP ETF would provide investors with a more accessible and regulated way to gain exposure to the asset, removing some of the complexities associated with direct cryptocurrency ownership.

XRP ETF的潛在批准將為投資者提供更容易獲得的資產敞口的方法，從而消除了與直接加密貨幣所有權相關的一些複雜性。

An XRP ETF could also attract institutional investors who may have been hesitant to engage with XRP due to regulatory concerns. With institutional demand on the rise, an XRP ETF could be an essential tool for increasing liquidity and driving further adoption of XRP within the broader financial system.

XRP ETF還可以吸引由於監管問題而猶豫不決與XRP互動的機構投資者。隨著機構需求的增長，XRP ETF可能是增加流動性並推動更廣泛的金融體系中XRP的進一步採用的重要工具。