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澳洲加密貨幣分析師 Miles Deutscher 知道如何攪局。在即將到來的山寨幣季節中,在牛市中出售山寨幣並進行交換似乎很奇怪
Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher has sold some of his altcoins during the bull run, arguing that some coins are still going up but it’s worth considering selling them due to opportunity cost.
加密貨幣分析師邁爾斯·多伊徹(Miles Deutscher)在牛市期間出售了一些山寨幣,他認為一些加密貨幣仍在上漲,但由於機會成本,值得考慮出售它們。
In his latest deep-dive on his 218k subscriber YouTube channel, Deutscher argues that although some coins are still going up, it’s still worth considering selling them. Not financial advice, but he says the opportunity cost is just too out of whack with some projects.
在他對 218,000 訂閱者 YouTube 頻道的最新深入研究中,Deutscher 認為,儘管一些代幣仍在上漲,但仍然值得考慮出售它們。這不是財務建議,但他表示,某些專案的機會成本太不正常了。
For example, if you choose to buy Coin A instead of Coin B, and Coin B increases in value more than Coin A, the opportunity cost is the potential profit you missed by not choosing Coin B.
例如,如果您選擇購買硬幣 A 而不是硬幣 B,而硬幣 B 的增值幅度大於硬幣 A,則機會成本就是您因不選擇硬幣 B 而錯過的潛在利潤。
While the narrative of real world asset (RWA) tokenisation is still strong, Deutscher believes it’s worth swapping some coins that had a good run for others that have more upside potential.
儘管現實世界資產(RWA)代幣化的說法仍然很強烈,但多伊徹認為,將一些運作良好的代幣換成其他具有更大上漲潛力的代幣是值得的。
The first on the sell list is Ondo. Deutscher still believes in the project, but thinks that riding it from US$0.20 (AU$0.31) – when he first spoke about it – to currently US$1.98 (AU$3.12) is a good trade and worth exiting now.
賣出名單上的第一個是 Ondo。 Deutscher 仍然相信該項目,但認為從他第一次談論該項目時的 0.20 美元(0.31 澳元)到目前的 1.98 美元(3.12 澳元)是一筆不錯的交易,現在值得退出。
He believes that an upcoming token unlock will potentially threaten some of the gains made.
他認為即將到來的代幣解鎖可能會威脅到已經取得的一些成果。
So, an alternative he invests in is CHEX. Fundamentals aside, Deutscher says that based on fully diluted valuations, “CHEX is a 9X away from Mantra and it’s a 25X away from Ondo”.
因此,他投資的另一個選擇是 CHEX。撇開基本面不談,Deutscher 表示,根據完全攤薄後的估值,「CHEX 與 Mantra 相差 9 倍,與 Ondo 相差 25 倍」。
The next few coins marked for a sell are no less controversial, because Deutscher says he has sold some of his Solana (SOL) into Ethereum (ETH). Despite poor performance by Ether this cycle the analyst believes things are starting to look up.
接下來的幾個標記為出售的代幣也同樣引起爭議,因為 Deutscher 表示他已將部分 Solana (SOL) 出售給以太坊 (ETH)。儘管以太幣本週期表現不佳,但分析師認為情況正在開始好轉。
To be clear, he’s not saying sell all your SOL and FOMO into ETH, Deutscher says it’s “a bit of a rotation” he is doing and that it’s something worth considering.
需要明確的是,他並不是說將所有 SOL 和 FOMO 都賣成 ETH,Deutscher 表示他正在做的“有點輪換”,值得考慮。
A layer-2 worth selling according to the analyst is Polygon with the ticker POL (former MATIC). He chose this not because the project is bad, but because he believes others will out perform it.
分析師認為,值得出售的 Layer-2 是 Polygon,股票代號為 POL(以前稱為 MATIC)。他選擇這個不是因為這個項目不好,而是因為他相信其他人會勝過它。
He mentions Mode as a solid buy, which is an Ethereum Layer 2 network, designed to support the growth and adoption of blockchain applications, part of the Optimism Superchain.
他提到 Mode 是值得購買的,它是一個以太坊第 2 層網絡,旨在支援區塊鏈應用程式的成長和採用,是 Optimism 超級鏈的一部分。
AI is a topic the analyst still strongly believes in and thinks most projects will do well in this category.
人工智慧是分析師仍然堅信的話題,並認為大多數專案都會在這一類別中表現出色。
However, Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) is a sell for him as there’s “not enough excitement there”. FET is also close to its all-time high and has potentially less room on the upside than others.
然而,人工超級智慧聯盟(FET)對他來說是一個賣點,因為「那裡沒有足夠的興奮點」。 FET 也接近歷史最高點,但上漲空間可能比其他股票小。
Deutscher prefers projects like Bittensor and the AI agent plays like Virtuals Protocols (VIRTUAL), which has seen a 400% increase over the past month.
Deutscher 更喜歡 Bittensor 這樣的項目,而 AI 代理則像 Virtuals Protocols (VIRTUAL) 一樣,在過去一個月裡成長了 400%。
Moving to DePIN, and Render is a sell in the decentralised physical infrastructure network sector. While still a decent project, the analyst thinks there are others that can out perform it, such as PinLink or AIOZ.
轉向 DePIN,Render 是去中心化實體基礎設施網路領域的賣點。雖然仍然是一個不錯的項目,但分析師認為還有其他項目可以超越它,例如 PinLink 或 AIOZ。
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