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Litecoin(LTC)最近在遇到低迷之前看到了急劇的激增,發現支持約為116.02美元。對於交易者而言,這一水平已確定Litecoin是否會經歷重大反彈或進一步下降。
Litecoin (LTC) has recently seen a sharp surge before encountering a downturn, finding support at $116.02. This level is crucial for traders as it will determine whether Litecoin experiences a major rebound or a further decline.
Litecoin(LTC)最近在遇到低迷之前看到了急劇激增,發現支持為116.02美元。對於交易者來說,這一水平至關重要,因為它將決定萊特幣是重大反彈還是進一步下降。
After a significant surge, fueled by positive macroeconomic news and increased crypto adoption in the U.S. reserve, Litecoin’s price hit a key resistance at $127.70.
經過巨大的激增,受到宏觀經濟新聞的積極推動並增加了美國儲備金的加密貨幣,萊特幣的價格達到了127.70美元的關鍵阻力。
However, this surge was followed by a decline as investors began taking profits. Consequently, Litecoin fell below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $120.48, a crucial zone that would have helped sustain the upward momentum.
但是,隨著投資者開始獲利,這種激增的下降。因此,萊特幣低於38.2%的斐波那契回撤水平,為120.48美元,這是一個至關重要的區域,它將有助於維持向上的勢頭。
Following the failure to maintain levels above $120.48, pullback intensified, triggering increased selling pressure. During this decline, Litecoin found brief support at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level at $118.25.
在未能將水平保持在120.48美元以上的水平之後,回調加劇,觸發了增加的銷售壓力。在此下降期間,萊特幣在50%的斐波那契回撤水平上找到了簡短的支持,為118.25美元。
Despite this support, resistance at $123.46 showed that bears were still in control, pushing the price down further. According to the Fibonacci retracement levels, $116.02 is a critical support level, and a breakdown here could signal an even deeper pullback toward $112.85.
儘管有這樣的支持,但123.46美元的阻力表明,熊仍在控制中,進一步降低了價格。根據斐波那契回撤水平,$ 116.02是一個關鍵的支持水平,而這裡的故障可能會預示著更深層次的回調,指向112.85美元。
The decline in price is reflected in various bearish technical indicators. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) cross has shown a bearish momentum, with the price now trading below the 9-day and 26-day EMAs. This signals potential downside risk and indicates that bulls have not been able to sustain their momentum.
價格下降反映在各種看跌技術指標中。指數式移動平均線(EMA)十字架表現出看跌的動力,現在的價格低於9天和26天EMAS。這標誌著潛在的下行風險,並表明公牛無法維持其勢頭。
The chart structure also hints at a potential double-bottom pattern, suggesting that Litecoin could see a reversal if the $116 level is defended by buyers.
圖表結構還暗示了潛在的雙底模式,這表明如果買家為$ 116的辯護,萊特幣可以看到逆轉。
If Litecoin manages to bounce from this level, it could rise back toward the $121.74 resistance, which aligns with the last key moving average resistance.
如果Litecoin設法從這個水平反彈,它可能會恢復到121.74美元的電阻,這與最後一個鑰匙移動平均電阻保持一致。
Netflow Analysis: Accumulation or Selling Pressure?
NetFlow分析:積累或銷售壓力?
Netflow data provides insights into the movement of Litecoin. Over the last 24 hours, the netflow has been negative, with significant outflows of around -50.49K LTC from exchanges. This indicates strong accumulation by investors, who are withdrawing their coins.
NetFlow數據提供了對Litecoin運動的見解。在過去的24小時內,NetFlow為負數,來自交換的大約-50.49k LTC的大量流出。這表明正在撤回硬幣的投資者積累了大量積累。
As investors reduce their presence on exchanges, the available supply decreases, which in turn could reduce selling pressure. This factor could be crucial in supporting the critical $116 level.
隨著投資者減少交易所的影響力,可用的供應量減少,這反過來又可以降低銷售壓力。這個因素對於支持關鍵$ 116水平可能至關重要。
However, in the short term, there were some inflows of +9.16K LTC to exchanges, which might signal short-term selling interest. Despite these fluctuations, the 30-day net outflow of -68.96K LTC suggests that there is a broader trend of accumulation.
但是,在短期內,交換的流入 +9.16k LTC,這可能標誌著短期銷售權益。儘管有這些波動,但30天的淨流出為-68.96K LTC表明,積累的趨勢更廣泛。
If outflows continue at this rate, it could lead to a complete absorption of the available Litecoin on exchanges, ultimately resulting in a supply squeeze and pushing prices up.
如果流出以這種速度持續下去,它可能會導致交易所中可用的Litecoin完全吸收,最終導致供應壓縮並提高價格。
Profitability and Market Sentiment
盈利能力和市場情緒
Regarding investor sentiment, the break-even analysis reveals that a significant majority of Litecoin holders—76.78%—are still in profit. This reduces the chances of widespread panic selling, as most investors are still sitting on gains.
關於投資者的情緒,收支平衡的分析表明,大多數萊特幣持有人(76.78%)仍在獲利。這減少了廣泛的恐慌銷售的機會,因為大多數投資者仍在獲得收益。
However, should Litecoin decline further toward $113.83 or below, some investors may be forced to cut their positions to avoid deeper losses, increasing selling pressure.
但是,應將萊特幣進一步降低到113.83美元或以下,一些投資者可能被迫削減自己的頭寸以避免更深的損失,從而增加銷售壓力。
Conversely, a rise above $119.36 would bring more traders into the profit zone, decreasing selling pressure. If Litecoin can break above the $127.70 level, most positions will be in profit, potentially fueling a push toward $132. But if the price dips below $113.83, downward pressure could mount, and LTC might test $108.80.
相反,超過$ 119.36的上漲將使更多的交易者進入利潤區,從而降低銷售壓力。如果Litecoin可以超過$ 127.70的水平,那麼大多數職位將是盈利的,可能會推動$ 132的推動。但是,如果價格下降到$ 113.83以下,下降壓力可能會增加,LTC可能會測試$ 108.80。
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