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美國正面臨迫在眉睫的債務危機,預計2030年其公共債務將達到GDP的106%。由於美元是許多國家的儲備貨幣,這種前所未有的債務水準可能引發全球金融危機。
Looming Debt Crisis Threatens Global Economic Storm
迫在眉睫的債務危機威脅全球經濟風暴
Washington, D.C. - A momentous debt crisis looms over the world's leading economic power, the United States, posing a grave threat to trigger a cataclysmic financial storm with far-reaching global consequences.
華盛頓特區 - 一場嚴重的債務危機籠罩著世界領先的經濟強國美國,構成了引發災難性金融風暴的嚴重威脅,並產生了深遠的全球後果。
Escalating Debt Trajectory
不斷升級的債務軌跡
Recent analyses conducted by the esteemed Congressional Budget Office (CBO) paint a grim picture of the United States' fiscal outlook. By the end of the decade, the nation's public debt is projected to reach a staggering 106% of GDP, a level unseen since the aftermath of World War II in 1945.
受人尊敬的國會預算辦公室(CBO)最近進行的分析描繪了美國財政前景的嚴峻前景。到本世紀末,該國的公共債務預計將達到 GDP 的 106%,這一比例是自 1945 年二戰結束以來的最高水準。
This alarming surge in debt can be attributed to a series of imprudent fiscal policies enacted by successive administrations. Former President Donald Trump's sweeping tax cuts and President Joe Biden's expansive economic stimulus measures have significantly exacerbated the deficit.
債務驚人的激增可歸因於歷屆政府頒布的一系列不審慎的財政政策。前總統唐納德·川普的全面減稅和總統喬·拜登的廣泛經濟刺激措施顯著加劇了赤字。
Contagious Consequences
傳染性後果
The continuation of this unsustainable debt trajectory poses a grave threat to the global economy. A crisis of confidence in U.S. debt, long considered the world's safest asset, could lead to a precipitous decline in the value of the dollar.
這種不可持續的債務軌跡的持續對全球經濟構成嚴重威脅。長期以來被認為是世界上最安全資產的美國債務的信心危機可能導緻美元急劇貶值。
Numerous countries hold substantial reserves in U.S. dollars, as the currency serves as the world's primary reserve currency. A devaluation of the dollar would create immense financial turmoil across the globe.
許多國家持有大量美元儲備,因為美元是世界主要儲備貨幣。美元貶值將在全球造成巨大的金融動盪。
Furthermore, investors may flee from U.S. Treasury bonds, a cornerstone of the global financial system. This exodus could trigger a sharp increase in interest rates, leading to a global economic slowdown.
此外,投資人可能會逃離全球金融體系基石美國國債。這種外流可能引發利率急遽上升,導致全球經濟放緩。
Political Impediments to Reform
改革的政治障礙
In the face of this impending threat, bold and decisive measures are imperative to restore fiscal sustainability in the United States. However, the political landscape surrounding the 2024 presidential election may complicate efforts towards budgetary reform.
面對這迫在眉睫的威脅,必須採取大膽而果斷的措施來恢復美國財政的可持續性。然而,圍繞 2024 年總統選舉的政治格局可能會使預算改革的努力變得更加複雜。
Former President Trump has already pledged to enact additional tax cuts if elected, while President Biden faces skepticism regarding his ability to address the nation's fiscal woes. This political paralysis could prove detrimental, perpetuating uncertainty and amplifying economic risks worldwide.
前總統川普已經承諾,如果當選,將實施額外減稅,而拜登總統則面臨對其解決國家財政困境能力的懷疑。這種政治癱瘓可能是有害的,會導致不確定性持續存在並放大全球經濟風險。
Global Implications
全球影響
The implications of the looming U.S. debt crisis extend far beyond the borders of the United States. Given the centrality of the U.S. economy to the global economic landscape, its financial instability would send shockwaves throughout the world.
迫在眉睫的美國債務危機的影響遠遠超出了美國國界。鑑於美國經濟在全球經濟格局中的中心地位,其金融不穩定將為全世界帶來衝擊波。
If the United States fails to regain control of its public finances, the global economy faces the prospect of unprecedented turbulence. It is imperative that the international community unite its efforts to avert an economic calamity of unforeseen proportions.
如果美國無法重新掌控公共財政,全球經濟將面臨前所未有的動盪。國際社會必須共同努力,避免不可預見的經濟災難。
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