歷史性的比特幣減半即將到來，預計將產生巨大的市場影響

在人們的高度期待中，比特幣即將迎來關鍵的第四次減半，專家預測其價值將大幅飆升。此次減半將比特幣挖礦獎勵從每個區塊 6.25 減少至 3.125，預計將重塑加密貨幣的經濟狀況，並有可能將其市值提高至 35 兆美元。然而，分析師的預測褒貶不一，並對安全問題發出警告，而由於市場狀況和 Shibarium 生態系統的進步，柴犬幣的價格出現回升。

Historic Bitcoin Halving Imminent, Projecting Substantial Market Impact

歷史性的比特幣減半即將到來，預計將產生巨大的市場影響

As Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, approaches its highly anticipated fourth halving event today, experts are predicting a significant surge in value, potentially reaching a market capitalization of $35 trillion. This major reduction in Bitcoin mining rewards, from 6.25 to 3.125 Bitcoin per block, is poised to reshape the cryptocurrency's economics amidst heightened global anticipation and a spectrum of analyst predictions.

隨著世界領先的加密貨幣比特幣今天即將迎來備受期待的第四次減半事件，專家預測其價值將大幅飆升，市值可能達到 35 兆美元。比特幣挖礦獎勵大幅減少，從每個區塊 6.25 比特幣減少到 3.125 比特幣，在全球預期增強和一系列分析師預測的背景下，這將重塑加密貨幣的經濟。

Bitcoin Primed for Record-Breaking Heights, Halving Event May Propel Value to Unprecedented Levels

比特幣即將創下破紀錄的高度，減半事件可能會將價值推向前所未有的水平

Amidst the burgeoning excitement preceding the halving, Bitcoin's price has exhibited a remarkable recovery, climbing over 330% since its recent low of $15,000 per Bitcoin in late 2022. Despite recent market fluctuations, the sentiment remains optimistic, fueled by the anticipation of China's potential involvement in elevating Bitcoin's price.

在減半前的興奮情緒中，比特幣的價格出現了顯著的復甦，自2022 年底每比特幣15,000 美元的近期低點以來，上漲了330% 以上。參與減半的預期，人們的情緒仍然樂觀。

However, cautionary warnings have also emerged, with Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, issuing a "credible" iPhone hack warning for its Bitcoin wallet. Nevertheless, one respected analyst, citing historical performance, projects that the halving could propel Bitcoin's price to nearly $1.8 million, giving it a market capitalization of approximately $35 trillion. This bold prediction starkly contrasts with the conservative warnings issued by some Wall Street analysts.

然而，警告也隨之出現，全球最大的加密貨幣交易所幣安為其比特幣錢包發布了「可信」的 iPhone 駭客攻擊警告。儘管如此，一位受人尊敬的分析師引述歷史表現預測，減半可能會將比特幣的價格推至近 180 萬美元，使其市值達到約 35 兆美元。這一大膽的預測與一些華爾街分析師發出的保守警告形成鮮明對比。

Bitcoin Halving: A Pivotal Event Reshaping Market Dynamics

比特幣減半：重塑市場動態的關鍵事件

The Bitcoin halving, an event that occurs every four years, reduces the block reward granted to miners by half. This supply reduction is designed to regulate Bitcoin's overall circulation and scarcity, potentially influencing its market dynamics. The upcoming halving marks the fourth such event, following those in 2012, 2016, and 2020.

比特幣減半是每四年發生一次的事件，使礦工獲得的區塊獎勵減少了一半。這種供應減少旨在調節比特幣的整體流通和稀缺性，這可能會影響其市場動態。即將到來的減半是繼 2012 年、2016 年和 2020 年後第四次發生此類事件。

Notably, this halving is unique in several respects. It is the first to occur outside of the Federal Reserve's zero-interest-rate policy era, also known as the "zirp-era." Additionally, it is the first halving since the introduction of multiple Wall Street Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the exodus of Bitcoin miners from China in 2021.

值得注意的是，這次減半在幾個方面都是獨一無二的。這是聯準會零利率政策時代（也稱為「zirp 時代」）之外的第一次出現。此外，這是自 2021 年推出多個華爾街比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 以及比特幣礦工撤離中國以來的首次減半。

Experts Weigh In: Predictions and Market Implications

專家參與：預測與市場影響

Analysts have offered diverse perspectives on the potential impact of the halving. Noelle Acheson, Bitcoin analyst and author of the Crypto is Macro Now newsletter, notes that based on historical performance, Bitcoin could potentially reach $450,000 within a year or $270,000 if the current cycle follows a similar trajectory to 2016.

分析師對減半的潛在影響提出了不同的觀點。比特幣分析師、《Crypto is Macro Now》通訊作者Noelle Acheson 指出，根據歷史表現，比特幣可能在一年內達到45 萬美元，如果當前週期遵循與2016 年類似的軌跡，比特幣可能會達到27 萬美元。

Alternatively, using data from Axios, Acheson suggests that Bitcoin's price "could reach $350,000 (using the previous cycle as a guide), or $1.8 million (applying the 2016 cycle performance)," potentially giving Bitcoin a $35 trillion market valuation.

另外，Acheson 使用Axios 的數據表示，比特幣的價格“可能達到35 萬美元（以上一周期為指導），或180 萬美元（以2016 年周期表現為基準）”，這可能使比特幣的市場估值達到35 兆美元。

Duncan Ash, head of strategy at Coincover, anticipates an initial market imbalance due to increased demand and limited supply following the halving. However, he predicts that this imbalance will eventually stabilize, resulting in a more balanced market with a higher market capitalization and liquidity.

Coincover 策略主管鄧肯·阿什 (Duncan Ash) 預計，由於減半後需求增加和供應有限，市場最初會出現失衡。不過，他預期這種失衡最終將趨於穩定，從而形成一個更平衡、市值和流動性更高的市場。

Long-Term Effects: Stabilizing Market and Enhanced Ecosystem

長期影響：穩定市場和增強生態系統

In the long run, the halving is anticipated to strengthen Bitcoin's ecosystem, increasing its user base and fostering greater market stability. This event serves as a reminder of Bitcoin's finite supply and its potential as a store of value.

從長遠來看，減半預計將加強比特幣的生態系統，增加其用戶基礎並促進更大的市場穩定性。這事件提醒人們比特幣的供應有限及其作為價值儲存的潛力。

As the cryptocurrency industry continues to evolve, the halving event underscores Bitcoin's fundamental characteristics and its ability to generate market excitement. While predictions may vary and risks do exist, the halving remains a significant milestone that could reshape the cryptocurrency landscape for years to come.

隨著加密貨幣產業的不斷發展，減半事件凸顯了比特幣的基本特徵及其引發市場興奮的能力。儘管預測可能有所不同且風險確實存在，但減半仍然是一個重要的里程碑，可能會重塑未來幾年的加密貨幣格局。