減半引發比特幣投機：「歐米茄時刻」預計將暴漲

隨著比特幣進入新時代，Jan3 首席策略師 Samson Mow 預測，最近的減半可能會引發「歐米茄蠟燭」——劇烈的價格變動可能會將比特幣推升至 100 萬美元。減半使礦工獎勵每四年減少 50%，平衡了供需，確保了比特幣的稀有性和價值。 Mow 強調了 SEC 批准的基於現貨的比特幣 ETF 和區塊獎勵減少的影響，這表明 BTC 市場出現了嚴重的供應衝擊。

Bitcoin's Omega Moment: Halving Sparks Speculation of Meteoric Rise

比特幣的歐米茄時刻：減半引發人們對比特幣暴漲的猜測

As the Bitcoin ecosystem embarks on a pivotal chapter, Samson Mow, Jan3's esteemed Chief Strategist, has illuminated the transformative potential of the recent halving event. Mow's insights, shared with Forbes, paint a compelling narrative of potential exuberance and unprecedented price movements in the Bitcoin market.

隨著比特幣生態系統開啟關鍵篇章，Jan3 受人尊敬的首席策略師 Samson Mow 闡明了最近減半事件的變革潛力。繆先生與《富比士》分享的見解，對比特幣市場的潛在繁榮和前所未有的價格走勢進行了令人信服的敘述。

The Significance of Halvings

減半的意義

At the heart of Mow's analysis lies the concept of Bitcoin halvings, an integral mechanism within the cryptocurrency's design. Halvings, occurring approximately every four years, serve to progressively reduce the block rewards received by miners. This ingenious mechanism regulates the issuance of new Bitcoins, ensuring its scarcity and preserving its inherent value.

Mow 分析的核心是比特幣減半的概念，這是加密貨幣設計中不可或缺的機制。大約每四年發生一次減半，旨在逐步減少礦工獲得的區塊獎勵。這種巧妙的機制規範了新比特幣的發行，確保其稀缺性並保留其內在價值。

The precise mechanics involve a 50% reduction in block rewards every 210,000 blocks mined. For instance, the most recent halving witnessed a decrease from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block. This systematic reduction in rewards helps control inflation and extends the finite supply of 21 million Bitcoins.

精確的機制涉及每開採 21 萬個區塊，區塊獎勵就會減少 50%。例如，最近的減半見證了每個區塊從 6.25 BTC 減少到 3.125 BTC。這種系統性的獎勵減少有助於控制通貨膨脹並擴大 2,100 萬比特幣的有限供應。

The Impact of Spot-Based Bitcoin ETFs

現貨比特幣 ETF 的影響

Mow also highlights the significance of the recently approved spot-based Bitcoin ETFs. These ETFs, which track the underlying value of Bitcoin without the need for physical custody, provide institutional investors with an avenue to gain exposure to the digital asset. Mow believes that the combination of declining block rewards and increased institutional adoption via ETFs could trigger a significant supply shock in the market.

繆先生也強調了最近批准的現貨比特幣 ETF 的重要性。這些 ETF 無需實體託管即可追蹤比特幣的潛在價值，為機構投資者提供了獲取數位資產的途徑。 Mow 認為，整體獎勵下降和 ETF 的機構採用增加可能會引發市場嚴重的供應衝擊。

The Omega Candle Phenomenon

歐米茄蠟燭現象

Mow introduces the evocative term "Omega candles" to describe substantial price movements expected in the Bitcoin market. These events are characterized by their volatility and significant price shifts, often driven by a sustained imbalance between demand and supply. Preceding the recent halving, Omega candle events were anticipated due to the growing demand for Bitcoins relative to the diminishing supply.

Mow 引入了令人回味的術語「歐米茄蠟燭」來描述比特幣市場預期的大幅價格變動。這些事件的特徵是波動性和重大的價格變動，通常是由供需之間的持續不平衡所造成的。在最近的減半之前，由於相對於供應量的減少，比特幣的需求不斷增長，因此預計會出現歐米茄蠟燭事件。

Optimistic Projections for Bitcoin's Future

對比特幣未來的樂觀預測

Mow's analysis aligns with the optimistic outlook shared by other industry experts. Geoff Kendrick of Standard Chartered foresees a surge in cash inflows into Bitcoin, akin to the influx experienced by gold following the introduction of gold ETFs.

繆先生的分析與其他行業專家的樂觀前景一致。渣打銀行 (Standard Chartered) 的 Geoff Kendrick 預計，流入比特幣的現金流將激增，類似於黃金 ETF 推出後流入黃金的情況。

Despite a recent dip in Bitcoin's price following the halving, analysts remain confident in its long-term growth potential. Michael Sullivan's analysis, for example, suggests a potential rise to $245,000 by 2029, assuming a 30% compound annual growth rate.

儘管近期比特幣價格在減半後下跌，但分析師仍對其長期成長潛力充滿信心。例如，Michael Sullivan 的分析表明，假設複合年增長率為 30%，到 2029 年可能會升至 245,000 美元。

Evidence of Market Recovery

市場復甦的證據

Recent market trends provide further evidence of Bitcoin's resilience and potential for recovery. Over the past week, Bitcoin's price has surged by approximately 7.1%, signaling a promising trajectory for the digital asset in the near future.

最近的市場趨勢進一步證明了比特幣的彈性和復甦潛力。過去一周，比特幣的價格飆升了約 7.1%，這表明該數位資產在不久的將來將迎來光明的發展軌跡。

Conclusion

結論

As the Bitcoin ecosystem navigates this transformative phase, Samson Mow's insights and the broader market outlook paint an intriguing picture of potential price exuberance. The halving event, coupled with the emergence of spot-based Bitcoin ETFs and a positive sentiment among industry analysts, suggests that Bitcoin may be poised for a significant surge in value. While short-term fluctuations are inherent to any asset class, the underlying fundamentals of Bitcoin remain strong, hinting at its enduring appeal as a store of value and a transformative force in the financial landscape.

隨著比特幣生態系統經歷這一變革階段，Samson Mow 的見解和更廣泛的市場前景描繪了潛在價格繁榮的有趣景象。減半事件，加上現貨比特幣 ETF 的出現以及產業分析師的正面情緒，顯示比特幣的價值可能會大幅上漲。雖然短期波動是任何資產類別所固有的，但比特幣的基本面仍然強勁，這暗示著其作為價值儲存手段和金融格局變革力量的持久吸引力。