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加密貨幣新聞文章

黃金與比特幣:數位資產奪取避險寶座,引發巨變

2024/04/23 11:07

在黃金和比特幣作為價值儲存手段的論點中,鏈上分析師 Willy Woo 認為比特幣擁有顯著的優勢。隨著進步侵蝕黃金的稀缺性,比特幣的有限供應和減半事件導致的礦工獎勵減少加劇了其稀缺性。吳認為,新黃金供應的湧入將挑戰其作為避險資產的地位,而比特幣透明且預定的發行時間表使其成為可行的數位黃金。

黃金與比特幣:數位資產奪取避險寶座,引發巨變

Gold vs. Bitcoin: A Seismic Shift in the Battle for Value Conservation

黃金與比特幣:價值保護之戰的巨大轉變

In the annals of financial history, the rivalry between gold and Bitcoin has been a captivating saga. For millennia, gold has reigned supreme as the epitome of monetary stability and value preservation. However, the tides are shifting, and Bitcoin, the enigmatic digital asset, is vying for supremacy as the preferred safe haven.

在金融史上,黃金和比特幣之間的競爭一直是個引人入勝的傳奇故事。幾千年來,黃金作為貨幣穩定和保值的縮影一直佔據著至高無上的地位。然而,潮流正在發生變化,比特幣這種神秘的數位資產正在爭奪作為首選避風港的霸主地位。

The Erosion of Gold's Scarcity

黃金稀缺性的侵蝕

Gold's allure stems from its long-held scarcity. For over six millennia, the precious metal has been a prized possession, its value underpinned by its limited supply. However, technological advancements in mining have chipped away at gold's scarcity narrative. In recent decades, accelerated production rates have flooded the market, undermining gold's traditional status as a safe-haven asset.

黃金的吸引力源自於其長期的稀缺性。六千年以來,這種貴金屬一直是一種珍貴的財產,其價值因其有限的供應而受到支撐。然而,採礦技術的進步已經削弱了黃金的稀缺性。近幾十年來,生產力的加快湧入市場,削弱了黃金作為避險資產的傳統地位。

Bitcoin's Ascending Scarcity

比特幣的稀缺性不斷上升

In stark contrast to gold's diminishing scarcity, Bitcoin's supply is on a downward trajectory. Bitcoin's issuance rate is governed by a pre-programmed Halving mechanism, which reduces the number of new bitcoins created by half every four years. This process ensures that Bitcoin becomes increasingly scarce over time, making it an attractive proposition for investors seeking a hedge against inflation.

與黃金日益稀缺的情況形成鮮明對比的是,比特幣的供應量正在下降。比特幣的發行率由預先編程的減半機制控制,該機制每四年將新創建的比特幣數量減少一半。這個過程確保比特幣隨著時間的推移變得越來越稀缺,這對於尋求對沖通貨膨脹的投資者來說是一個有吸引力的主張。

A Historic Shift in Preference

偏好的歷史性轉變

Traditionally, gold has been the undisputed choice for central banks and investment institutions. Its historical resilience and wide acceptance have made it the bedrock of global financial reserves. However, the increasing supply of gold is raising concerns among analysts, who now believe that Bitcoin is poised to supplant gold as the preferred store of value.

傳統上,黃金一直是央行和投資機構無可爭議的選擇。其歷史上的韌性和廣泛接受度使其成為全球金融儲備的基石。然而,黃金供應的增加引起了分析師的擔憂,他們現在認為比特幣有望取代黃金成為首選的價值儲存手段。

Bitcoin's Digital Gold Status

比特幣的數位黃金地位

Willy Woo, a renowned on-chain analyst, argues that Bitcoin's predetermined and transparent issuance schedule makes it the true digital equivalent of gold. Unlike gold, where the supply is subject to human manipulation, Bitcoin's supply is mathematically defined, providing investors with unparalleled security and confidence.

著名鏈上分析師 Willy Woo 認為,比特幣預定且透明的發行時間表使其成為真正的黃金數字等價物。與黃金的供應受人為操縱不同,比特幣的供應是透過數學定義的,為投資者提供了無與倫比的安全性和信心。

The Impending Bitcoin Rally

即將到來的比特幣反彈

Woo's analysis also suggests that Bitcoin is on the cusp of a significant upward surge. The Bitcoin Price ratio, an indicator that compares the coin's current valuation to its previous all-time high, indicates that the coin is gearing up for a major rally. This suggests that Bitcoin's price has yet to fully reflect its intrinsic value and is poised to reach unprecedented heights.

吳的分析也表明,比特幣正處於大幅上漲的風口浪尖。比特幣價格比率是一種將比特幣當前估值與先前的歷史高點進行比較的指標,表明比特幣正在為大幅上漲做好準備。這表明比特幣的價格尚未完全反映其內在價值,並有望達到前所未有的高度。

A Unique Blend of Demand and Dominance

需求與主導地位的獨特結合

Woo believes that the upcoming Bitcoin rally will be a blend of robust market demand and increasing dominance. By analyzing how the Bitcoin Price ratio behaved during previous Halving events, he forecasts that the current leg up will be marked by a combination of strong buying pressure and a shift in sentiment away from traditional safe havens, such as gold, towards Bitcoin.

Woo 認為,即將到來的比特幣反彈將是強勁的市場需求和日益增強的主導地位的結合。透過分析比特幣價格比率在先前減半事件中的表現,他預測當前的上漲將由強勁的購買壓力和情緒從黃金等傳統避風港轉向比特幣的共同影響。

Conclusion

結論

The battle for value conservation is reaching a turning point. As gold's scarcity narrative weakens, Bitcoin's inherent scarcity and digital gold status are propelling it towards becoming the new safe haven of choice. The impending Bitcoin rally, fueled by increasing demand and dominance, will further cement its position as the premier store of value in the 21st century financial landscape.

價值保護之戰正達到一個轉捩點。隨著黃金稀缺性的敘事減弱,比特幣固有的稀缺性和數位黃金地位正在推動其成為新的避風港選擇。在需求增加和主導地位的推動下,即將到來的比特幣反彈將進一步鞏固其作為 21 世紀金融格局中首要價值儲存手段的地位。

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