隨著第四次減半的臨近，專家預測比特幣市值將達到數兆美元

隨著比特幣第四次減半的臨近，分析師預計其價值將大幅飆升，市值可能達到驚人的 35 兆美元。在全球預期不斷增長和專家預測不一的情況下，採礦獎勵從每個區塊 6.25 比特幣減少到 3.125 比特幣，這將重塑加密貨幣的經濟。

Bitcoin Primed for Historic Surge as Fourth Halving Looms, Experts Predict Trillion-Dollar Market Cap

隨著第四次減半的臨近，比特幣有望迎來歷史性飆升，專家預測市值將達到兆美元

As the long-awaited fourth Bitcoin halving approaches, crypto experts are abuzz with predictions of a dramatic surge in the cryptocurrency's value, potentially catapulating it to a staggering $35 trillion market capitalization.

隨著人們期待已久的第四次比特幣減半的臨近，加密貨幣專家們紛紛預測，這種加密貨幣的價值將大幅飆升，市值可能會飆升至驚人的 35 兆美元。

This pivotal event, scheduled to occur later today, will witness a 50% reduction in the block reward for Bitcoin miners, from 6.25 to 3.125 Bitcoin per block. This supply constriction is anticipated to reshape the cryptocurrency's economics and trigger a significant increase in demand from investors.

這一關鍵事件定於今天晚些時候發生，屆時比特幣礦工的區塊獎勵將減少 50%，從每個區塊 6.25 比特幣減少到 3.125 比特幣。預計這種供應緊張將重塑加密貨幣的經濟並引發投資者需求的大幅增加。

Analyzing historical data, Noelle Acheson, Bitcoin analyst and author of the "Crypto is Macro Now" newsletter, suggests that Bitcoin could reach an impressive $450,000 within a year after the halving. However, if the current cycle mirrors the 2016 halving, Acheson predicts a more conservative target of $270,000.

比特幣分析師、《Crypto is Macro Now》通訊作者 Noelle Acheson 透過分析歷史數據表明，比特幣在減半後的一年內可能會達到令人印象深刻的 45 萬美元。然而，如果當前週期與 2016 年減半相同，艾奇遜預計更保守的目標為 27 萬美元。

More bullish predictions come from highly regarded analyst PlanB, who employs the "Stock-to-Flow" ratio to assess Bitcoin's value. According to PlanB's model, Bitcoin's price is poised to reach a staggering $1.8 million per coin, resulting in a market capitalization of approximately $35 trillion.

更樂觀的預測來自備受推崇的分析師 PlanB，他使用「庫存與流量」比率來評估比特幣的價值。根據 PlanB 的模型，比特幣的價格預計將達到每枚 180 萬美元，市值約為 35 兆美元。

Duncan Ash, head of strategy at Coincover, concurs that the supply-demand dynamics will create upward pressure on Bitcoin's price. However, he anticipates that the increased price will eventually deter new investors, bringing the market to a more balanced equilibrium.

Coincover 策略主管鄧肯·阿什 (Duncan Ash) 也認為，供需動態將對比特幣價格造成上行壓力。然而，他預計價格上漲最終將阻止新投資者，使市場達到更平衡的平衡。

"In the mid to long term, we're likely to see a stabilizing effect on the market," Ash adds. "The industry will emerge with more users, a higher market cap, and greater liquidity."

「從中長期來看，我們可能會看到市場的穩定效應，」阿什補充道。 “該行業將出現更多的用戶、更高的市值和更大的流動性。”

The upcoming halving stands out as the first to occur outside of the Federal Reserve's zero-interest-rate policy era. It also follows the launch of Wall Street Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and China's expulsion of Bitcoin miners in 2021.

即將到來的減半是聯準會零利率政策時代之外的首次減半。此前，華爾街比特幣交易所交易基金（ETF）的推出以及中國於 2021 年驅逐了比特幣礦工。

Amid the excitement surrounding the halving, concerns have been raised about the security of Bitcoin wallets. Binance, one of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchanges, recently issued a "credible" iPhone hack warning, urging users to update their software and enhance security measures.

在圍繞減半的興奮之中，人們對比特幣錢包的安全性提出了擔憂。全球最大的加密貨幣交易所之一幣安最近發布了「可信」的 iPhone 駭客攻擊警告，敦促用戶更新軟體並加強安全措施。

Despite these concerns, the overwhelming consensus among experts is that Bitcoin is poised for unprecedented growth. The halving event is expected to disrupt the cryptocurrency's economics and trigger a surge in demand that could propel it to new heights.

儘管存在這些擔憂，專家們的壓倒性共識是，比特幣有望實現前所未有的成長。減半事件預計將擾亂加密貨幣的經濟並引發需求激增，從而將其推向新的高度。

As investors eagerly anticipate the halving, it remains to be seen whether Bitcoin's price will follow the bullish predictions and reach the stratospheric levels forecast by some analysts. However, one thing is certain: this historic event is bound to have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency market and the broader economic landscape.

由於投資者熱切期待減半，比特幣的價格是否會遵循看漲預測並達到一些分析師預測的高點還有待觀察。然而，有一點是確定的：這一歷史性事件必將對加密貨幣市場和更廣泛的經濟格局產生深遠影響。