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比特幣的價格走勢最近引起了分析師的興趣,其中包括頂級加密貨幣分析師阿里,他警告比特幣還會出現更多下跌。
Top crypto analyst Ali has observed a pattern of price dips following each rejection of Bitcoin’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio from its 90-day average.
頂級加密貨幣分析師 Ali 觀察到,每次比特幣的市值與實現價值 (MVRV) 比率低於 90 天平均值後,價格都會下跌。
According to Ali’s analysis, each time the MVRV ratio is rejected from this key level, it has preceded a substantial price correction.
根據阿里的分析,每次MVRV比率從這個關鍵水準被拒絕時,都預示著價格的大幅回檔。
After each rejection, BTC’s price has dropped significantly. For instance, following the rejection in May, BTC’s price dropped by 16%. Subsequently, it faced further rejections, leading to price drops of 26% in June and July, 29% in August, and 19% in September.
每次被拒絕後,BTC 的價格都會大幅下跌。例如,在 5 月被拒絕後,BTC 的價格下跌了 16%。隨後,它又遭到拒絕,導致 6 月和 7 月價格下跌 26%,8 月下跌 29%,9 月下跌 19%。
Moreover, the latest rejection, which occurred in late September, has already caused a 10% decline in BTC’s value.
此外,9月下旬發生的最新拒絕已導致BTC價值下跌10%。
Another crucial aspect highlighted by Ali is the MVRV oscillator, which is represented by the purple dots on his chart. This oscillator measures Bitcoin’s momentum and indicates shifts between positive and negative trends.
Ali 強調的另一個重要方面是 MVRV 振盪器,在他的圖表上用紫色點表示。該振盪器衡量比特幣的動量並表明積極趨勢和消極趨勢之間的轉變。
Whenever Bitcoin’s MVRV ratio faces rejection at the 90-day average, it signals a transition to negative momentum, which aligns with the sharp price declines.
每當比特幣的 MVRV 比率面臨 90 天平均線的拒絕時,就標誌著向負動能的轉變,這與價格的急劇下跌相一致。
As observed in Ali’s chart, each MVRV rejection has been followed by a shift in the oscillator to indicate negative momentum, coinciding with the substantial price drops.
正如 Ali 的圖表中所觀察到的,每次 MVRV 拒絕之後都會出現振盪器的變化,以表明負動量,與價格大幅下跌同時發生。
This pattern suggests that Bitcoin’s current price weakness may not be over. Ali’s analysis points out that the oscillator’s transition to negative momentum has typically led to further drops. If the trend continues as it has over the past several months, traders should be prepared for more volatility.
這種模式表明比特幣當前的價格疲軟可能尚未結束。阿里的分析指出,振盪指標向負動量的轉變通常會導致進一步下跌。如果這種趨勢像過去幾個月一樣持續下去,交易者應該為更大的波動做好準備。
Historical trends, as outlined by Ali, indicate that Bitcoin may experience additional losses if the pattern repeats. With Bitcoin already down by 10% since the latest rejection, the potential for further price dips remains a concern for traders.
正如阿里所概述的歷史趨勢表明,如果這種模式重複,比特幣可能會遭受額外損失。自從最近一次拒絕以來,比特幣已經下跌了 10%,價格進一步下跌的可能性仍然是交易者擔心的問題。
According to CoinGecko at press time, Bitcoin is trading at $61,151.45 with a 0.45% decrease in the last day and a 6.60% drop over the past week.
根據 CoinGecko 截至發稿,比特幣交易價格為 61,151.45 美元,最後一天下跌 0.45%,過去一周下跌 6.60%。
In light of the MVRV ratio rejection, analysts and traders are keeping a close watch for signs of continued weakness in Bitcoin’s price.
鑑於 MVRV 比率被拒絕,分析師和交易員正在密切關注比特幣價格持續疲軟的跡象。
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