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今天,我們分析 LTC(萊特幣)、AVAX(Avalanche)和 SOL(Solana)相對於兩種基本加密貨幣的價值趨勢變化
Today we analyze the variations in the value trends of LTC (Litecoin), AVAX (Avalanche), and SOL (Solana) as opposed to the 2 main cryptos.
今天我們分析 LTC(萊特幣)、AVAX(Avalanche)和 SOL(Solana)相對於兩種主要加密貨幣的價值趨勢變化。
Value analysis of crypto Litecoin (LTC), Avalanche (AVAX) and Solana (SOL)
加密貨幣萊特幣(LTC)、Avalanche(AVAX)和Solana(SOL)的價值分析
Litecoin has been struggling for a long time now.
萊特幣已經掙扎很久了。
If compared to the start of the year the price of Bitcoin is still at +29%, and Ethereum is still in line with the value it had at the end of 2023, LTC instead is even at -17%.
如果與年初相比,比特幣的價格仍為 +29%,以太坊仍與 2023 年底的價值一致,那麼萊特幣的價格甚至為 -17%。
It must be recalled that last year there was the halving of Litecoin, given that it is a cryptocurrency still based on proof-of-work like Bitcoin.
必須記住,去年萊特幣減半了,因為它是一種像比特幣一樣基於工作量證明的加密貨幣。
LTC has dropped to 4.5 billion dollars in market capitalization, which has caused it to plummet to the 19th place in the ranking of the top cryptos by capitalization.
LTC 市值已跌至 45 億美元,這導致其在頂級加密貨幣市值排名中跌至第 19 位。
Litecoin was once second only to Bitcoin, as it was born back in 2011 as a transactional alternative to BTC.
萊特幣誕生於 2011 年,作為 BTC 的交易替代品,一度僅次於比特幣。
Furthermore, even though the all-time high price peak was reached in 2021, above $410, that peak was only slightly higher than the peak of the previous cycle, recorded back in 2017.
此外,儘管 2021 年達到歷史最高價格峰值,高於 410 美元,但該峰值僅略高於 2017 年記錄的上一個週期的峰值。
So in reality it has been struggling for years, so much so that during the last speculative bubble it was not able to do significantly better than it did during the previous bubble.
因此,事實上,它多年來一直在苦苦掙扎,以至於在上一次投機泡沫期間,它的表現並沒有比上一次泡沫時期好得多。
In the bear-market of 2022, its price fell even below $45, and last year, due to the anticipation of its halving, it rose to just over $100. After a decline at the end of the year, at the start of 2024, it returned above $100, but since mid-April, it has started a drop that seems to be still ongoing.
在2022年的熊市中,其價格甚至跌破45美元,而去年,由於減半預期,其價格升至100美元出頭。經過年底的下跌後,2024年初又回到了100美元上方,但自4月中旬以來,它開始了下跌,而且似乎仍在持續。
At the moment its price is around $60, which is not much higher than the bottom of the last bear-market, but 85% lower than the all-time highs of three years ago.
目前其價格約為 60 美元,與上一次熊市的底部相比並沒有高出多少,但比三年前的歷史高點低了 85%。
In the short term, the situation does not appear good at all, even though in the medium/long term it will certainly have some chance of bouncing back.
短期來看,情況似乎不太好,但中長期來看一定會有反彈的機會。
The trend of the price of Avalanche (AVAX)
Avalanche (AVAX) 價格走勢
A very different discussion is the one that concerns Avalanche.
另一種非常不同的討論是有關雪崩的討論。
In fact, AVAX is a much younger cryptocurrency, which up until now has gone through a single major bull run.
事實上,AVAX 是一種年輕得多的加密貨幣,到目前為止,它已經經歷了一次主要的牛市。
Moreover, it is 12th overall in terms of market capitalization.
此外,就市值而言,其整體排名第12位。
Despite this, since the beginning of the year it has been losing far more even than LTC, with a -39% that puts it kind of on the same level as Cardano, from this standpoint.
儘管如此,自今年年初以來,它的損失遠遠超過 LTC,從這個角度來看,其損失率為-39%,與卡爾達諾處於同一水平。
After reaching its all-time high at 146$ in 2021, it experienced a major drop with the implosion of the Terra/Luna crypto ecosystem, after which it fell further after the collapse of FTX.
在 2021 年達到 146 美元的歷史高點後,隨著 Terra/Luna 加密生態系統的崩潰,它經歷了大幅下跌,之後又在 FTX 崩潰後進一步下跌。
The decline was so vast and noticeable that in fact its bear-market continued until October of last year, when it fell even below $10.
跌幅如此之大、如此引人注目,以至於實際上其熊市一直持續到去年 10 月,當時甚至跌破了 10 美元。
Starting from November, however, it recorded a major rebound, concluded shortly after mid-March 2024 above 60$.
然而,從 11 月開始,它出現大幅反彈,並在 2024 年 3 月中旬後不久達到 60 美元以上。
Since then, it has started a long decline that seems to be still ongoing.
從那時起,它開始了長期下跌,而且似乎仍在繼續。
The current price of around $23 is certainly more than double the bottom of the bear-market of 2022/2023, but it is also just a bit over a third of this year’s annual high. Moreover, it is still 84% lower than the all-time high of three years ago.
目前約 23 美元的價格無疑是 2022/2023 年熊市底部的兩倍多,但也僅是今年年度高點的三分之一多一點。而且,仍比三年前的歷史高點低84%。
Avalanche, however, is a project closely tied to DeFi, so it is also mandatory to observe its TVL.
然而,Avalanche 是一個與 DeFi 緊密相關的項目,因此也必須遵守其 TVL。
The problem seems to lie precisely in the fact that, after the peak of over 11 billion dollars in 2021, its TVL during the bear-market plummeted even below 500 million, only to rise not a lot to the present 880 million dollars.
問題似乎恰恰在於,在2021年超過110億美元的峰值之後,其在熊市期間的TVL甚至跌破了5億美元,但漲幅不大,達到目前的8.8億美元。
In such a situation, there don’t appear to be realistic possibilities of a major rebound in the short term, even though in the medium/long term the potential would be there.
在這種情況下,短期內似乎不存在大幅反彈的現實可能性,儘管從中長期來看存在潛力。
The trend of the price of Solana (SOL)
Solana (SOL) 價格走勢
Still different is the discussion that concerns Solana.
與 Solana 相關的討論仍然不同。
To tell the truth, SOL is, together with BNB and TON, one of the few altcoins that seem to have the potential to move within the crypto markets even independently of BTC and ETH. However, they can still achieve this only sporadically.
說實話,SOL 與 BNB 和 TON 一樣,是為數不多的有潛力在加密貨幣市場中獨立發展的山寨幣之一,甚至可以獨立於 BTC 和 ETH。然而,他們仍然只能偶爾實現這一目標。
Solana is the fifth cryptocurrency in the world by market capitalization, but it is undoubtedly close to the one that precedes it (BNB). Moreover, if stablecoins are excluded, it is really close to 3rd place, given
以市值計算,Solana 是世界第五大加密貨幣,但毫無疑問它接近它之前的加密貨幣 (BNB)。此外,如果排除穩定幣,它確實接近第三名,因為
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