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作為山寨幣市場的領導者,一些參與者預計 ETH 將引領山寨幣的看漲價格走勢。然而,就目前情況而言,山寨幣正在努力跟上市場的步伐。
Ethereum [ETH] has underperformed since April, especially when compared to Bitcoin [BTC]. As the龙头 of the altcoin market, some participants expected ETH to lead the altcoins’ bullish price action. However, currently, the altcoin is failing to keep up with the market.
自 4 月以來,以太坊 [ETH] 的表現一直不佳,尤其是與比特幣 [BTC] 相比。作為山寨幣市場的龍頭,一些參與者預計ETH將引領山寨幣的看漲價格走勢。然而,目前,山寨幣未能跟上市場的步伐。
ETH/BTC Chart by TradingView
ETH/BTC 圖表(TradingView)
The ETH/BTC chart has been in a clear downtrend since April 2023. Until April 2024, the lows from June 2022 at 0.049 were defended, but the persistent downtrend over the last six months took ETH/BTC to lows not seen since April 2021.
自2023 年4 月以來,ETH/BTC 圖表一直處於明顯的下跌趨勢。 2021 年4 月以來的最低點。
What’s causing Ethereum to lose value?
是什麼導致以太坊貶值?
Long-term Ethereum holders might be concerned to see Ethereum losing ground to Bitcoin at such a rapid rate. One reason the token is dropping out is the inflation present in the network since the Dencun update in March 2024.
以太坊的長期持有者可能會擔心以太坊以如此快的速度輸給比特幣。該代幣退出的原因之一是自 2024 年 3 月 Dencun 更新以來網路中存在的通貨膨脹。
The Dencun update integrated EIP 4844, which drastically reduced the transaction fees of L2 transactions. While this is good news for users, the falling network fees meant a smaller amount of ETH was being burned, rendering the token slightly inflationary over the last six months.
Dencun更新整合了EIP 4844,大幅降低了L2交易的交易費用。雖然這對用戶來說是個好消息,但網路費用的下降意味著銷毀的 ETH 數量減少,導致該代幣在過去六個月內略有通膨。
This was evident in the rising ETH supply chart.
這在 ETH 供應量不斷上升的圖表中顯而易見。
Optimism activity trends strongly bullish
樂觀活動趨勢強烈看漲
Arbitrum [ARB] and Polygon Ecosystem Token [POL] saw a higher transaction volume, but Optimism [OP] was the clear winner. This showed that the L2s were growing in popularity.
Arbitrum [ARB] 和 Polygon 生態系統代幣 [POL] 的交易量較高,但 Optimism [OP] 顯然是贏家。這顯示 L2 越來越受歡迎。
In particular, Optimism outperforming the rest could be largely attributed to the launch of Coinbase’s Base L2 on top of the Optimism Superchain.
特別是,Optimism 的表現優於其他公司,很大程度上要歸功於 Coinbase 在 Optimism 超級鏈之上推出的 Base L2。
An inflationary ETH and its performance against Bitcoin counters the narrative that Ethereum is sound money. A pickup in activity could ease this concern, but the lack of market conviction in ETH can be highlighted by the ETH/BTC chart.
通貨膨脹的 ETH 及其相對於比特幣的表現反駁了以太坊是健全貨幣的說法。活動的回升可能會緩解這種擔憂,但 ETH/BTC 圖表可以凸顯市場對 ETH 缺乏信心。
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