以太坊（ETH）在季度時間表上面臨技術威脅

以太坊通過持續的向下勢頭壓制，即使是近期的集會也可能不足以立即改變更廣泛的趨勢

The crypto market has seen better days, especially for Ethereum, which has been weighed down by persistent downward momentum. Even a near-term rally may not be enough to shift the broader trend immediately.

加密市場已經過了更好的日子，尤其是對於以太坊而言，這已經被持續的向下勢頭所壓制。即使是近期集會也可能不足以立即改變更廣泛的趨勢。

As it stands, the ETH price is now at an important technical moment, with crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino warning of a possible close below a significant long-term indicator. With just days remaining in the first quarter of 2025, Severino took to the social media platform X to highlight the implications of Ethereum’s position relative to its 3-month Bollinger Band basis, which could spell trouble.

就目前而言，現在的ETH價格正處於重要的技術時刻，加密分析師Tony“ The Bull” Severino警告可能關閉一個重要的長期指標。在2025年第一季度剩下的幾天之內，Severino進入了社交媒體平台X，以強調以太坊相對於其3個月的Bollinger樂隊的含義，這可能會帶來麻煩。

The 3M Bollinger Band is a version of the standard Bollinger Bands indicator applied to a 3-month (quarterly) chart. In this case, each candlestick on the chart represents three months of price action, so it covers ETH’s price behavior from a long-term perspective. Speaking of long-term price action, the Ethereum / U.S. Dollar 3-month index shared by Severino shows that the altcoin has been trading within these Bollinger bands since July 2022.

3M Bollinger樂隊是標準Bollinger帶指標的版本，該指示器適用於3個月（季度）圖表。在這種情況下，圖表上的每個燭台代表了三個月的價格行動，因此從長期的角度來看，它涵蓋了ETH的價格行為。說到長期價格行動，Severino共享的以太坊 /美元3個月指數表明，自2022年7月以來，Altcoin一直在這些Bollinger樂隊中進行交易。

As shown in the price chart below, Ethereum is currently trading close to the lower Bollinger band, which is just around the $2,000 price level. Interestingly, the current candlestick, which only has a few days to close, is highlighted by a lower wick protruding below the lower band. This means the Ethereum price has already broken below the Bollinger Band for a brief period this quarter, but only a close below could quickly seal the deal.

如下面的價格圖所示，以太坊目前正在接近下Bollinger樂隊的交易，該樂隊略大於2,000美元的價格水平。有趣的是，當前只有幾天要關閉的燭台是由下部較低帶突出的較低的燈芯突出的。這意味著本季度短期內，以太坊價格已經在Bollinger樂隊以下損壞了，但是只有下面的近距離可以迅速達成這筆交易。

If Ethereum does close below the Bollighter Band, it will undoubtedly signal an incoming wave of bearish momentum that might outshine its current lackluster price action. The cryptocurrency might lose the $2,000 psychological price threshold completely and lose many support levels up until $1,500 before any strong rebound. Tony Severino noted that there are only seven days left to save Ethereum from closing below the 3M Bollinger Band and avoid a bearish potential.

如果以太坊在鮑里特樂隊以下確實關閉，則無疑會表明傳入的看跌勢頭可能會超過其目前的低廉價格動作。加密貨幣可能會完全失去2,000美元的心理價格閾值，並在1,500美元的重擊之前失去許多支持水平。托尼·塞維諾（Tony Severino）指出，只剩下7天的時間來挽救以太坊免於在300萬布林樂隊以下關閉並避免看跌潛力。

In another post on X, the analyst expanded on the implications of ETH’s current structure. Many investors are hoping for a swift rebound and a return to all-time highs, but he cautioned that such an optimistic run might take a long time to manifest. Any bullish trend in the short term might not be enough to reverse the larger downward trend that has been developing for the past 12 months. A meaningful structural change will require sustained bullish pressure over multiple quarters, not just a short-term bounce.

在X上的另一篇文章中，分析師擴展了ETH當前結構的含義。許多投資者希望迅速反彈並回到歷史最高點，但他警告說，這種樂觀的運行可能需要很長時間才能表現出來。短期內的任何看漲趨勢都不足以扭轉過去12個月發展的更大下降趨勢。有意義的結構變化將需要多個季度的持續看漲壓力，而不僅僅是短期反彈。

“Think in terms of quarters, not months, weeks, or days,” Severino added.

Severino補充說：“就四分之一而不是幾個月，幾週或幾天而言，請考慮一下。”

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,052.

在寫作時，以太坊的交易價格為2,052美元。