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以太坊的本地令牌Ether(Eth)見證了自2023年11月以來的最低每週結束,強調了頂級山寨幣的掙扎程度
Ethereum’s native token, Ether (ETH), closed its lowest weekly candle since November 2023, highlighting just how much the top altcoin has struggled over the past few months.
以太坊的原住民令牌Ether(ETH)結束了自2023年11月以來最低的每週蠟燭,突出了過去幾個月上頂級山寨幣在苦難中掙扎了多少。
Ethereum 1-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
以太坊1天圖表。資料來源:Cointelegraph/TradingView
In the past 83 days, it declined by 51%, translating to an average daily loss of approximately 0.61%. If the losses are compounded daily, the rate increases to about 0.84%.
在過去的83天中,它下降了51%,平均每日損失約為0.61%。如果每天損失複合,則匯率將增加到約0.84%。
Ethereum exchange outflows hit 27-month high
以太坊交換流出達到27個月高
According to IntoTheBlock, a crypto analytics platform, Ethereum witnessed significant outflows as they reached $1.8 billion over the past week. It was the highest weekly outflow since December 2022, and in an X post, the platform added,
根據加密分析平台Intotheblock的說法,以太坊在過去一周達到18億美元時目睹了大量流出。該平台添加了自2022年12月以來的每週最高流出。
Ethereum net flows on aggregated exchanges. Source: X.com
以太坊淨流在聚合交換上流動。資料來源:X.com
Fellow onchain data provider CryptoQuant paints a similar picture. The 30-day simple-moving average of Ethereum netflows dropped to roughly 30,000 ETH last week, which was last recorded toward the end of December 2022.
OnChain數據提供商CryptoQuant繪製了類似的圖片。上週,以太坊Netfrows的30天簡單流動平均值下降到大約30,000 ETH,最後記錄在2022年12月底。
Exchange exchange total netflows. Source: CryptoQuant
交易所交換總NetFlows。資料來源:加密
Likewise, Ethereum’s MVRV (market value to realized value) ratio dropped to 0.8 for the first time since Oct. 18, 2023, as observed in the chart.
同樣,以太坊的MVRV(市場價值與實現價值)比例自2023年10月18日以來首次下降至0.8。
Related: Crypto ETPs see 4th straight week of outflows, totalling $876M — CoinShares
相關:加密ETP,請參閱第四周的流出,總計8.76億美元 - Coinshares
The MVRV ratio is a metric that calculates ETH’s market price to the average price at which all ETH in circulation was last moved.
MVRV比率是一個指標,可計算ETH的市場價格到上次移動的所有ETH的平均價格。
Ethereum MVRV ratio. Source: CryptoQuant
以太坊MVRV比。資料來源:加密
An MVRV ratio below 1 indicates undervaluation, signaling a potential buying opportunity. For context, when the MVRV ratio dropped to 0.8 on Oct. 18, 2023, Ether registered a local bottom near $1,600, followed by a bullish reversal and the beginning of the 2024 bull run.
低於1的MVRV比率表示低估,表明潛在的購買機會。在上下文中,當2023年10月18日的MVRV比率下降到0.8時,以太幣在$ 1,600 $ 1,600上註冊了一個本地底部,隨後是看漲的逆轉和2024年公牛奔跑的開始。
Is the Ethereum bottom in?
以太坊底部嗎?
Ether price is currently consolidating near its psychological level at $2,000, following a steady correction since the beginning of 2025.
自2025年初以來,穩定的更正後,以太價格目前正固結在其心理水平上的2,000美元。
With respect to this intraday price action, Mikybull, a technical analyst, points out that Ethereum is “showing a bullish reversal” with a diamond price pattern.
關於這種日內價格行動,技術分析師Mikybull指出,以太坊“顯示出具有鑽石價格模式的看漲逆轉”。
Ethereum 4-hour analysis by Mikybull. Source: X.com
Mikybull的以太坊4小時分析。資料來源:X.com
A diamond pattern after a downtrend suggests a potential bullish reversal. Based on this pattern’s measured target, Ether could rebound about 20% to $2,600 from its current price.
下降趨勢後的鑽石模式表明可能看漲逆轉。基於該模式的測量目標,以太幣可以從目前的價格反彈約20%至2,600美元。
Ethereum weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView
以太坊每週圖。資料來源:Cointelegraph/TradingView
On the flip side, Ether’s weekly chart closed below the 200-day EMA level for the first time since October 2023. Since 2020, ETH price has remained under this indicator for less than 15% of the time. Previously, Ether rebounded in the following week every time it dropped below this trendline in 2023.
另一方面,Ether的每週圖表自2023年10月以來首次關閉了200天的EMA水平。自2020年以來,ETH Price在此指標下一直保持在此指標下的時間不到15%。以前,以太在接下來的一周內反彈,每次下降到2023年的趨勢線以下。
Related: Bitcoin ‘Monte Carlo’ model forecasts $713K peak in 6 months
相關:比特幣“蒙特卡洛”模型預測6個月內$ 713K峰值
However, a prolonged period under this line may extend ETH’s bottom price target. Thus, it will be critical for Ethereum to bounce back above this EMA trendline to confirm the bottom over the next few days or weeks.
但是,在這條線下延長時期可能會延長ETH的最低價格目標。因此,以太坊在接下來的幾天或幾週內確認底部的底部將是至關重要的。
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.
本文不包含投資建議或建議。每個投資和交易舉動都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應進行自己的研究。
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