ETH 合併加劇 ETH 安全擔憂，現貨 ETF 希望陷入困境

以太坊合併後，SEC 主席 Gensler 將 ETH 標記為一種證券，因為它過渡到了權益證明 (PoS)。這種分類增加了 ETH 現貨 ETF 市場未來的不確定性，分析師 Eric Balchunas 估計，儘管缺乏積極跡象，但獲得批准的可能性為 25%。然而，人們對 ETH 現貨 ETF 的希望仍然存在，這使得 ETH 受到市場相關新聞和討論的影響。

Ethereum Merge Implications for ETH Security Classification and Spot ETF Prospects

以太幣合併對 ETH 安全分類和現貨 ETF 前景的影響

Following the Ethereum Merge's transition to Proof-of-Stake (PoS), SEC Chair Gary Gensler has designated ETH as a security. This classification has cast uncertainty over the future of an ETH-spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) market.

在以太坊合併過渡到權益證明 (PoS) 後，SEC 主席加里·詹斯勒 (Gary Gensler) 指定 ETH 作為一種證券。這種分類為 ETH 現貨交易所交易基金 (ETF) 市場的未來帶來了不確定性。

Despite the SEC's classification, optimism for an ETH-spot ETF approval persists, albeit with tempered expectations. Eric Balchunas, an ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, maintains a 25% probability of approval but acknowledges a lack of positive signals or concrete engagement from regulators.

儘管 SEC 做出了分類，但對 ETH 現貨 ETF 批准的樂觀情緒仍然存在，儘管預期有所減弱。彭博資訊 (Bloomberg Intelligence) 的 ETF 分析師 Eric Balchunas 維持了 25% 的批准機率，但承認監管機構缺乏積極信號或具體參與。

Previously, Gensler cautioned against interpreting the SEC's approval of Bitcoin-spot ETFs as a harbinger of broader approval for crypto-spot ETFs. Nevertheless, hopes for an ETH-spot ETF market remain alive, exposing ETH to market-related news and commentary.

先前，Gensler 警告不要將 SEC 對比特幣現貨 ETF 的批准解釋為加密貨幣現貨 ETF 獲得更廣泛批准的先兆。儘管如此，人們對 ETH 現貨 ETF 市場的希望仍然存在，使 ETH 受到市場相關新聞和評論的影響。

Technical Analysis

技術分析

Bitcoin Analysis

比特幣分析

BTC remains above its 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), reinforcing bullish price momentum. A breakout above Tuesday's high of $71,570 would potentially propel BTC towards its March 14 all-time high (ATH) of $73,808. A decisive move beyond this level could inspire further bullish sentiment, targeting $75,000.

BTC 仍高於 50 天和 200 天指數移動平均線（EMA），增強了看漲價格動能。突破週二高點 71,570 美元可能會推動 BTC 升至 3 月 14 日歷史高點 (ATH) 73,808 美元。突破該水準的決定性舉措可能會激發進一步的看漲情緒，目標為 75,000 美元。

ETF market flow data remains a key focus on Wednesday. However, a decline below the $69,000 support level could invite a bearish push towards $64,000.

ETF 市場流量數據仍然是周三的主要焦點。然而，跌破 69,000 美元的支撐位可能會導致看跌推向 64,000 美元。

The 14-day relative strength index (RSI) reading of 60.06 indicates that BTC has room to regain its ATH before entering overbought territory.

14 天相對強弱指數（RSI）讀數為 60.06，顯示 BTC 在進入超買區域之前還有恢復 ATH 的空間。

Conclusion

結論

While the SEC's classification of ETH as a security presents challenges for spot ETF approval, the possibility of regulatory acceptance lingers. The technical outlook for BTC remains positive, with potential for further upside if it sustains its current momentum.

儘管 SEC 將 ETH 歸類為證券對現貨 ETF 批准提出了挑戰，但監管機構接受的可能性仍然存在。比特幣的技術前景依然樂觀，如果維持目前的勢頭，還有進一步上漲的潛力。