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在短短幾天內,加密鯨魚就累積了約 25 億美元的狗狗幣和 XRP。鯨魚是大型投資者,他們購買
Two of the most popular altcoins, Dogecoin and XRP, have been bought over three days in large numbers. Now residing in the wallets of whale investors, it has been seen as a positive outcome for the pair.
兩種最受歡迎的山寨幣——狗狗幣和瑞波幣——在三天內被大量購買。現在,它已經存在於鯨魚投資者的錢包裡,這對這對貨幣組合來說被視為一個積極的結果。
In just a few short days, around $2.5 billion in Dogecoin and XRP has been accumulated by crypto whales. Whales are large-scale investors who buy substantial amounts and hold currencies for a long period of time. According to one trader on Twitter, the feeding frenzy began with XRP. This then went on to a two-day period where 470 million Dogecoin were purchased in a 48-hour period. Whales now hold $158.86 million in assets at the time of writing.
在短短幾天內,加密鯨魚就累積了約 25 億美元的狗狗幣和 XRP。鯨魚是大規模投資者,他們大量購買並長期持有貨幣。據推特上的一位交易員稱,這場瘋狂的餵食始於 XRP。在接下來的兩天時間裡,48 小時內買了 4.7 億個狗狗幣。截至本文撰寫時,鯨魚目前持有 1.5886 億美元的資產。
The same trader then went on to discuss the price of both assets, predicting they will have a huge rise in February. However, he also noted that over the last month, inflows have declined. They had moved from $134 billion to $68 billion. This is a common trend for the month of January, which typically sees a lull in investment after the rush of the pre-holiday months.
該交易員隨後繼續討論這兩種資產的價格,並預測它們將在 2 月大幅上漲。不過,他也指出,上個月資金流入量有所下降。其價值已從 1,340 億美元增至 680 億美元。這是一月的普遍趨勢,在節前的幾個月投資高峰之後,通常會出現投資平靜期。
These accumulations by whales never occur out of the blue. When whales move to buy large currency stocks, it is typically a precursor to bigger price movements. This is because they can shape the market. Accumulation is seen as positive sentiment by them, whereas a large sell-off is viewed as the opposite. This movement by cryptowhales is believed to be a good signal, and the above-mentioned social media trader believes that Dogecoin could go as high as $0.66 at the start of February or just after.
鯨魚的這些累積從來不會突然發生。當鯨魚開始購買大型貨幣股票時,通常是價格大幅波動的前兆。這是因為他們可以塑造市場。他們將吸籌視為正面情緒,而大幅拋售則視為相反情緒。加密鯨魚的這一舉動被認為是一個好的信號,上述社群媒體交易員認為,狗狗幣可能在 2 月初或之後飆升至 0.66 美元。
The truth is that Dogecoin really is at a pivotal point in its development, regardless of any whale action. The Dogecoin price has been hanging around a level of $0.33 with little deviation. In December, it had quickly dropped to $0.27, which spooked many but also led to a quick reversal. Many social media investors tagged this as a precursor to a bullish comeback.
事實是,無論鯨魚行動如何,狗狗幣確實正處於發展的關鍵時刻。狗狗幣價格一直徘徊在 0.33 美元的水平附近,幾乎沒有偏差。 12 月,它迅速跌至 0.27 美元,這讓許多人感到震驚,但也導致了迅速逆轉。許多社群媒體投資者將此標記為看漲捲土重來的先兆。
This $0.33 level is seen as a crucial point. Given the right support, if it holds above this level, it could begin a bull run and recover. The accumulation of the coin by whales does hold some hope, showing a recovery is probably incoming. However, it will need backing from other, more fluid investors and a fresh wave of confidence. The worry is that the breaking of this level then sees a rebound, which has been seen recently in the Bitcoin price.
0.33 美元的水平被視為一個關鍵點。如果有正確的支撐,如果它保持在這個水平之上,它可能會開始牛市並復甦。鯨魚對代幣的累積確實帶來了一些希望,表明復甦可能即將到來。然而,它需要其他流動性更強的投資者的支持和新一波的信心。令人擔憂的是,突破該水平後會出現反彈,最近的比特幣價格就出現了這種情況。
There are several other factors that make Dogecoin a popular cryptocurrency for a bull run in 2025. It is the most popular of all the memecoins, has endorsements from celebrity billionaires, and has done very well in other crypto-positive seasons. However, the biggest signal of the cryptocurrency's potential lies in how it has done historically during the year of Bitcoin halving.
還有其他幾個因素使狗狗幣成為2025 年牛市中受歡迎的加密貨幣。的季節中表現出色。然而,加密貨幣潛力的最大訊號在於它在比特幣減半一年的歷史表現。
A bitcoin halving event is when the price for mining, and thus producing Bitcoin, is halved. This is an inflationary measure and reduces the supply. Taking part every four years, it is important as Bitcoin tends to spike in price both three months and six months afterwards. That is what happened this year, although the six-month spike was pushed back a little due to external factors.
比特幣減半事件是指採礦價格以及生產比特幣的價格減半。這是一種通貨膨脹措施,會減少供應。每四年參加一次,這一點很重要,因為比特幣的價格往往會在三個月和六個月後飆升。這就是今年發生的情況,儘管六個月的飆升由於外部因素有所推遲。
Other cryptocurrencies and coins follow similar patterns when this occurs. In the 2020 event, Bitcoin began to pick up in the weeks that followed, reaching a high of 11k by August. Its real breakout occurred in December, and it had reached 30k by the start of the new year. Thus, the upturn would continue for some time, reaching a high at the end of the proceeding annum.
發生這種情況時,其他加密貨幣和硬幣也會遵循類似的模式。在 2020 年的事件中,比特幣在接下來的幾週內開始回升,到 8 月達到 11k 的高點。真正的突破發生在12月,到新年伊始就達到了3萬。因此,好轉將持續一段時間,並在去年年底達到高點。
As Bitcoin rose, Dogecoin followed a very similar trajectory. It picked up after the Bitcoin halving event, then at the end of the year had a major price rise. By the start of the new year, it had risen 470% since the start of the event. This continued until the trend changed and cooled off halfway through the year.
隨著比特幣的上漲,狗狗幣也遵循了非常相似的軌跡。比特幣減半事件後價格回升,然後在年底出現大幅上漲。到新年伊始,該指數自活動開始以來已上漲 470%。這種情況一直持續到年中趨勢改變並降溫。
The big question is whether Dogecoin will repeat the cycle this time. Last year's event took place in April, and it is worth noting that some of the spikes in the price of Bitcoin have been delayed. This will probably be reflected in Dogecoin's changes, if and when they happen. However, it has already risen 113% in value since the halving event. This suggests that if it followed the same leap in value it did after the 2020 halving, it would see a high of $48 before a decline.
最大的問題是狗狗幣這次是否會重複這個循環。去年的事件發生在四月份,值得注意的是,比特幣價格的一些飆升已經被推遲。如果發生的話,這可能會反映在狗狗幣的變化中。然而,自減半事件以來,其價值已上漲 113%。這表明,如果它的價值與 2020 年減半後的漲幅相同,那麼在下跌之前將達到 48 美元的高點。
This would lead to a stupendously high market cap for Dogecoin, which is unlikely. Therefore a more conservative estimate is probably welcome. Economic factors like rate cuts may impact this. However, with historical data behind it and the movements of whales, now could be the time to buy and hold.
這將導致狗狗幣的市值達到驚人的高位,但這是不可能的。因此,更保守的估計可能會受到歡迎。降息等經濟因素可能會影響這一點。然而,根據其背後的歷史數據和鯨魚的動向,現在可能是買入並持有的時機。
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