分析師 Tony“The Bull”Severino 表示，狗狗幣價格可能會反映 XRP 在上一次牛市期間的表現

儘管大多數主要加密貨幣在 2021 年多頭市場中飆升至歷史新高，但 XRP 卻難以突破先前的高峰。

A prominent crypto analyst has drawn parallels between the price action of Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) and XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) during the previous bull market, suggesting that DOGE may struggle to reach new all-time highs this cycle.

一位著名的加密貨幣分析師將狗狗幣 (CRYPTO: DOGE) 和 XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) 在上一次牛市期間的價格走勢進行了比較，表明 DOGE 在本週期可能難以達到新的歷史高點。

While most major cryptocurrencies surged to new all-time highs in the 2021 bull run, XRP struggled to break past its previous peak. Now, crypto analyst Tony "The Bull" Severino has drawn a comparison to Dogecoin displaying similar price action, noting the question of what if Dogecoin “pulls an XRP this cycle?”

儘管大多數主要加密貨幣在 2021 年多頭市場中飆升至歷史新高，但 XRP 卻難以突破先前的高峰。現在，加密貨幣分析師托尼·“公牛”·塞維裡諾(Tony “The Bull” Severino) 與表現出類似價格走勢的狗狗幣進行了比較，並指出了這樣的問題：如果狗狗幣“在本週期拉動XRP 會怎樣？

Drawing Parallels Between XRP And Dogecoin Price According to a technical analysis of the XRP and Dogecoin price charts Tony shared on Twitter, Dogecoin’s price action in the past few years closely mirrors that of XRP’s price years back.

XRP 和狗狗幣價格的相似之處 根據 Tony 在 Twitter 上分享的 XRP 和狗狗幣價格圖表的技術分析，過去幾年狗狗幣的價格走勢與幾年前 XRP 的價格走勢密切相關。

Despite being one of the top cryptocurrencies by market cap, XRP faced unique challenges that slowed down its surge alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum during the last bull run.

儘管 XRP 是市值最高的加密貨幣之一，但它面臨著獨特的挑戰，在上一次牛市期間，其與比特幣和以太坊一起的飆升速度放緩。

Although XRP saw a notable price increase and peaked at $1.95, it faced resistance at the 0.786 Fib extension from its 2020 low. As such, the XRP price failed to break above its 2018 all-time high of $3.84 before the 2022 bear market, much to the disappointment of many bullish proponents. Since then, XRP has largely traded between $0.7 and $0.5 without any sustained upward momentum needed to reclaim its former highs.

儘管 XRP 價格顯著上漲並達到 1.95 美元的峰值，但它在 2020 年低點的 0.786 Fib 擴展處面臨阻力。因此，XRP 價格在 2022 年熊市之前未能突破 2018 年歷史高點 3.84 美元，這讓許多看漲支持者感到失望。此後，XRP 的交易價格基本上在 0.7 美元至 0.5 美元之間，沒有任何持續的上漲動力來恢復其先前的高點。

The analyst further highlighted the Dogecoin price action using a monthly candlestick chart for the DOGE/USD pair. He noted that Dogecoin’s price was recently rejected at the 0.5 Fibonacci extension level from its 2022 low, a pattern that closely mirrors XRP’s performance, where the price was similarly repelled at the 0.5 Fibonacci extension from its 2020 low.

該分析師使用 DOGE/USD 貨幣對的月度燭台圖進一步強調了狗狗幣的價格走勢。他指出，狗狗幣的價格最近在2022 年低點的0.5 斐波那契擴展水平處被拒絕，這種模式與XRP 的表現密切相關，其價格同樣在2020 年低點的0.5 斐波那契擴展水平處被拒絕。

What Does This Mean For DOGE? The crypto community is no stranger to the repeat of market cycles, and there remains the potential for a market leader like Dogecoin to follow in the footsteps of XRP in 2021. If this XRP pattern were to play out, it would keep the price of Dogecoin suppressed in the current bull cycle. Specifically, the Dogecoin price could face significant resistance at the 0.786 Fibonacci extension level, located near $0.42.

這對狗狗意味著什麼？加密貨幣社群對市場週期的重複並不陌生，像狗狗幣這樣的市場領導者仍然有可能在 2021 年追隨 XRP 的腳步。在目前的牛市週期中受到抑制。具體來說，狗狗幣價格可能會在 0.786 斐波那契擴展位（0.42 美元附近）面臨重大阻力。

Tony Severino’s analysis comparing the two cryptocurrencies has sparked discussions among many crypto participants. One participant, @WLitecoin, commented that this scenario is highly plausible, pointing out that it is rare for a cryptocurrency that performed exceptionally well in one cycle to repeat that success in the next. They argue that many of the top buyers from the 2021 cycle are likely to act as resistance during the current cycle and create downward pressure on the Dogecoin price.

Tony Severino 對兩種加密貨幣的分析引發了許多加密貨幣參與者的討論。一位參與者 @WLitecoin 評論說，這種情況非常有可能，並指出在一個週期中表現出色的加密貨幣很少能在下一個週期中重複這種成功。他們認為，2021 年周期中的許多頂級買家可能會在當前週期中充當阻力，並對狗狗幣價格造成下行壓力。

On the other hand, another commenter (@JVNTrade) believes the two cryptocurrencies are very different. According to them, Dogecoin has ties to Donald Trump and Elon Musk, so its price action will play out differently from XRP.

另一方面，另一位評論者（@JVNTrade）認為這兩種加密貨幣非常不同。據他們稱，狗狗幣與唐納德·川普和伊隆·馬斯克有聯繫，因此其價格走勢將與 XRP 不同。

At the time of writing, DOGE is trading at $0.135 and has increased by 10.82% in the past 24 hours. XRP is trading at $0.55 and has decreased by 0.73% in the past 24 hours.

截至撰寫本文時，DOGE 的交易價格為 0.135 美元，在過去 24 小時內上漲了 10.82%。 XRP 的交易價格為 0.55 美元，在過去 24 小時內下跌了 0.73%。