Dogecoin偏離了既定的看漲趨勢

Cryptorank數據表明，Dogecoin偏離了2021年公牛奔跑中的歷史看漲趨勢。最重要的模因硬幣已經開始了一年的趨勢

Dogecoin has started this year with a bearish trend, suffering significant crashes since January. In January, the meme coin closed the month with a meager 4% gain. However, its price has nosedived since the start of February, notching up a 20% loss.

Dogecoin已於今年開始以看跌趨勢，自1月以來遭受了重大撞車事故。一月份，模因硬幣以4％的幅度微不足道關閉。但是，自2月初以來，其價格已經昂貴，損失了20％。

This is a far cry from the bullish run that Dogecoin enjoyed at the start of 2021. Back then, DOGE recorded a 711% gain in January and followed it up with a 26% gain in February. The meme coin closed the first four months of 2021 in the green, notching up gains of 11% and 546% in March and April, respectively.

這與Dogecoin在2021年初所享受的看漲奔跑相去甚遠。當時，Doge在一月份記錄了711％的收益，隨後在2月獲得了26％的收益。模因硬幣在2021年的前四個月中關閉了綠色，分別在3月和4月的收入分別提高了11％和546％。

But this 2025 bull run is playing out differently, especially with Dogecoin suffering a 20% loss this month and looking likely to close the month in the red. A monthly close in the red could invalidate similarities between the 2021 and 2025 bull runs and raise concerns about how this market cycle could play out.

但是，這種2025年的公牛奔跑的表現有所不同，尤其是在本月Dogecoin損失20％的情況下，看起來可能會在紅色中結束。紅色的每月結束可能會使2021年至2025年公牛奔跑之間的相似之處無效，並引起人們對這種市場週期如何發揮的擔憂。

However, the historical trend in the 2017 bull run provides some optimism amid Dogecoin’s current price action in this bull run. In 2017, the meme coin started the year in the red, with a monthly loss of 7% and 2% in January and February, respectively. But DOGE went on a bull run the following three months, recording a gain of 59%, 124%, and 256% in March, April, and May, respectively.

但是，由於Dogecoin在這次公牛奔跑中的當前價格行動中，2017年公牛奔跑的歷史趨勢帶來了一些樂觀。 2017年，模因硬幣以紅色開始，每月損失7％和2％，分別為1月和2月。但是Doge在接下來的三個月中進行了公牛的比賽，在3月，4月和5月的收益分別為59％，124％和256％。

DOGE still at risk of further crashes in the short term

在短期內，門檻仍然有進一步崩潰的風險

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Ali Martinez has suggested that Dogecoin is still at risk of further price crashes in the short term.

同時，加密分析師阿里·馬丁內斯（Ali Martinez）建議，狗狗幣在短期內仍處於進一步的價格崩潰的危險中。

In an X post, the analyst revealed that DOGE just saw a death cross between the market value to realized value (MVRV) and its 200-day moving average (MA). He added that the last two times this happened, prices dropped 26% and 44%.

在X帖子中，分析師透露，Doge剛剛看到具有實現價值的市場價值（MVRV）與其200天移動平均線（MA）之間的死亡交叉。他補充說，這發生了最後兩次，價格下降了26％和44％。

At the time of writing, the Dogecoin price is trading at around $0.26, down over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

根據CoinMarketCap的數據，在撰寫本文時，Dogecoin價格的交易價格約為0.26美元，在過去24小時內下降了3％以上。