了解 2025 年比特幣 (BTC) 價格趨勢的最新分析

探索關鍵的市場見解、專家預測、鯨魚活動以及可能導致歷史新高的潛在看漲情景。

Bitcoin (BTC) price analysis for 2025 Q1 showcases a turbulent start with limited price movements. Despite recent drops and bearish trends, key developments and predictions signal potential recovery and growth in 2025.

2025 年第一季比特幣 (BTC) 價格分析顯示，比特幣開局動盪，價格波動有限。儘管近期出現下跌和看跌趨勢，但關鍵事態發展和預測表明 2025 年可能出現復甦和增長。

Fresh Updates: BTC Price Action, MicroStrategy Moves, Whale Activity

最新動態：BTC 價格走勢、MicroStrategy 趨勢、鯨魚活動

Bitcoin price experienced a downturn on Monday evening, briefly dipping below $92,000 before recovering to $92,800 by Tuesday morning in Asian markets. This volatility was largely influenced by traders booking profits and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties.

週一晚間，比特幣價格經歷了低迷，一度跌破 92,000 美元，然後在週二上午在亞洲市場恢復至 92,800 美元。這種波動很大程度上受到交易者獲利了結和持續的宏觀經濟不確定性的影響。

According to QCP Capital's Telegram broadcast, the market is unlikely to witness any significant "New Year fireworks," especially given the high funding levels. They also noted that January's average returns (+3.3%) are comparable to December's (+4.8%), and anticipate a limited price range in Q1 before a potential upswing.

根據 QCP Capital 的 Telegram 廣播，市場不太可能見證任何重大的“新年煙火”，特別是考慮到融資水平很高。他們還指出，1 月份的平均回報率（+3.3%）與 12 月的平均回報率（+4.8%）相當，並預計第一季的價格範圍有限，然後可能會出現上漲。

Options markets also reflect these sentiments. Traders are buying call options for March, indicating optimism for higher prices. However, declining premiums suggest a limited enthusiasm for a price surge in Q1 2025.

期權市場也反映了這些情緒。交易員正在買入 3 月的看漲期權，這表明對價格上漲持樂觀態度。然而，保費下降表明人們對 2025 年第一季價格上漲的熱情有限。

At the time of writing (New Year's Eve, December 31), BTC price had risen by 0.19% and was being traded at $94,094. The RSI value was approaching 50, while the MACD was attempting to rise.

截至本文撰寫時（12 月 31 日除夕夜），BTC 價格上漲了 0.19%，交易價格為 94,094 美元。 RSI 值接近 50，而 MACD 試圖上升。

If BTC continues to perform well and increase, bullish momentum could build, enhancing the possibility of reaching ATH in 2025.

如果 BTC 繼續表現良好並上漲，看漲勢頭可能會增強，從而增強 2025 年達到 ATH 的可能性。

MicroStrategy Continues Bitcoin Accumulation

MicroStrategy 繼續累積比特幣

MicroStrategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) remains committed to acquiring more Bitcoin. The company added another 2,138 BTC at a cost of $209 million in its eighth consecutive week of purchases, bringing its total holdings to 446,400 BTC, valued at $27.9 billion.

MicroStrategy（納斯達克股票代碼：MSTR）仍致力於購買更多比特幣。該公司在連續第八週購買了 2,138 BTC，耗資 2.09 億美元，使其總持有量達到 446,400 BTC，價值 279 億美元。

Despite these efforts, Bitcoin prices fell following the announcement, and MicroStrategy's stock dropped 8% to its lowest since November. However, CEO Michael Saylor expressed optimism, advocating dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategies and hinting at further purchases in 2025. There are speculations about a potential pause in January due to market resistance and overleveraging concerns.

儘管做出了這些努力，比特幣價格在公告發布後還是下跌，MicroStrategy 的股價下跌 8% 至 11 月以來的最低水準。不過，執行長 Michael Saylor 表達了樂觀態度，提倡美元成本平均 (DCA) 策略，並暗示 2025 年將進一步購買。

Bitcoin Whale Deposits Coincide with Price Declines

比特幣鯨魚存款與價格下跌同時發生

Significant whale activity has further influenced market dynamics. A notable Bitcoin whale deposited 778 BTC (approximately $72 million) into Kraken, maintaining consistent selling activity since December 20.

鯨魚的大量活動進一步影響了市場動態。一位著名的比特幣鯨魚向 Kraken 存入了 778 BTC（約 7,200 萬美元），自 12 月 20 日以來一直保持持續的拋售活動。

These deposits coincided with Bitcoin's price declines, reinforcing bearish sentiment. The whale still holds a substantial 24,665 BTC, valued at $2.27 billion, indicating the potential for continued market impact.

這些存款恰逢比特幣價格下跌，加劇了看跌情緒。該鯨魚仍持有大量 24,665 枚 BTC，價值 22.7 億美元，顯示市場有可能持續受到影響。

Technically, Bitcoin faces challenges, trading below its 50 EMA with the next significant support at $76,160 (200 EMA). Failure to hold this level could lead to increased selling pressure. Key levels to watch include $85,456 as critical support and $96,471 as immediate resistance.

從技術上講，比特幣面臨挑戰，交易價格低於 50 EMA，下一個重要支撐位為 76,160 美元（200 EMA）。未能維持這一水平可能會導致拋售壓力增加。值得關注的關鍵水平包括關鍵支撐位 85,456 美元和直接阻力位 96,471 美元。

Broader Cryptocurrency Market Trends

更廣泛的加密貨幣市場趨勢

Bitcoin's struggles have impacted the broader cryptocurrency market:

比特幣的困境影響了更廣泛的加密貨幣市場：

- Ether (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA) fell up to 3% before recovering.

- 以太坊 (ETH)、XRP、Solana (SOL) 和卡爾達諾 (ADA) 在恢復之前跌幅高達 3%。

- Memecoins such as Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) dropped by 5%.

- 狗狗幣 (DOGE) 和柴犬 (SHIB) 等 Memecoin 下跌了 5%。

- The CoinDesk 20 index, which tracks major cryptocurrencies, lost 2.7% in 24 hours.

- 追蹤主要加密貨幣的 CoinDesk 20 指數在 24 小時內下跌 2.7%。

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to Bitcoin saw $420 million in outflows, with Fidelity's FBTC leading the withdrawals at $154 million. This trend underscores cautious investor sentiment and a potential pivot away from Bitcoin in the short term.

與比特幣掛鉤的交易所交易基金 (ETF) 流出了 4.2 億美元，其中富達 (Fidelity) 的 FBTC 資金流出最多，達 1.54 億美元。這一趨勢凸顯了投資者的謹慎情緒以及短期內可能遠離比特幣的可能性。

2025 Forecast: A Potential Turnaround?

2025 年預測：潛在的改善？

Despite current headwinds, several analysts predict brighter prospects for Bitcoin in 2025. Blockware's projections suggest Bitcoin could surge to $150K-$400K, driven by factors such as the U.S. government's potential strategic Bitcoin reserve.

儘管目前存在阻力，但一些分析師預測2025 年比特幣的前景將更加光明。至40 萬美元。

Crypto analyst MAGS highlighted Bitcoin's historical patterns, noting parabolic rises post-ATH breakouts:

加密貨幣分析師 MAGS 強調了比特幣的歷史模式，並指出 ATH 突破後的拋物線上漲：

- 2013: Peaked 273 days after ATH breakout.

- 2013 年：ATH 突破後 273 天達到高峰。

- 2017: Peaked 233 days after ATH breakout.

- 2017 年：ATH 突破後 233 天達到高峰。

- 2021: Peaked 328 days after ATH breakout.

- 2021 年：ATH 突破後 328 天達到高峰。

For 2025, this model suggests a peak between June and October. CoinCodex predicts Bitcoin may reach $110K by January 2025, signaling a strong start to the year.

對於 2025 年，模型顯示 6 月至 10 月之間會出現高峰。 CoinCodex 預測，到 2025 年 1 月，比特幣價格可能會達到 11 萬美元，這標誌著今年的強勁開局。

Conclusion

結論

Bitcoin remains a robust asset in the long term despite short-term challenges. Key factors to monitor include whale activity, support/resistance levels, and broader market sentiment.

儘管存在短期挑戰，但從長期來看，比特幣仍然是一種強勁的資產。需要監控的關鍵因素包括鯨魚活動、支撐/阻力水平以及更廣泛的市場情緒。

While 2024

而2024年