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該研究確定了促進比特幣(BTC),以太坊(ETH)和Dogecoin(Doge)(Doge)等流行數字資產的上升和隨後下跌的關鍵因素。
Cryptocurrency tokens often experience sharp price declines after reaching all-time highs (ATHs). A recent study has identified several key factors that contribute to both the rise and subsequent fall of popular digital assets, such as Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE).
加密貨幣令牌在達到歷史高(ATH)後通常會急劇下降。最近的一項研究確定了幾個關鍵因素,這些因素導致流行數字資產的上升和隨後跌倒,例如比特幣(BTC),以太坊(ETH)和Dogecoin(Doge)。
According to the research, conducted by Casinoenligne-guru.com, profit-taking, fading interest, regulatory changes and speculative hype are the primary drivers of post-ATH downturns.
根據Casineenligne-guru.com進行的研究,獲利,淡出的利益,監管變化和投機性炒作是後衰退後的主要驅動力。
Among other factors highlighted in the study, exchange listings can have a significant impact on token prices. For example, Solana (SOL) hit $260 in November 2021 after being listed on Binance, greatly increasing its visibility.
在研究中強調的其他因素中,交流清單可能會對令牌價格產生重大影響。例如,Solana(Sol)在二手賽上列出後,在2021年11月達到260美元,大大提高了其可見性。
Social media influence also plays a role in driving price spikes. Dogecoin surged to $0.73 in May 2021, largely fueled by viral support from figures such as Elon Musk.
社交媒體影響力在推動價格峰值方面也起著作用。 Dogecoin在2021年5月飆升至0.73美元,這在很大程度上受到了埃隆·馬斯克(Elon Musk)等數字的病毒支持。
Ethereum's ATH of $4,878 in November 2021 was attributed to the rise of decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs).
2021年11月,以太坊的ATH $ 4,878歸因於分散的金融(DEFI)和無遺體代幣(NFTS)的興起。
Moreover, market-wide bull runs, such as the one in 2021, also contribute to token price surges. Bitcoin reached $64,000 in April 2021 as institutional interest soared.
此外,整個市場的公牛運行,例如2021年的公牛,也有助於代幣的價格飆升。隨著機構利益飆升,比特幣在2021年4月達到64,000美元。
The report further explains that the most common reason for sharp declines is profit-taking. Investors seeking to secure gains often sell large portions of their holdings, leading to a rapid price correction.
該報告進一步解釋說,急劇下降的最常見原因是獲利。尋求獲得收益的投資者經常出售其大部分持股,從而迅速更正。
In 2021, Bitcoin's price fell from $64,000 to $30,000 in just two months due to such selling pressure.
2021年,由於這種銷售壓力,比特幣的價格從64,000美元下降到短短兩個月的$ 30,000。
Fading demand after hype-driven peaks can contribute to further price declines, as can unfavorable regulation. Shiba Inu (SHIB) lost 80% of its value after reaching its ATH in 2021, as excitement around the token diminished without new developments.
炒作驅動的峰值之後的需求逐漸降低,可能會導致進一步的價格下降,而不利的監管也可能導致價格下降。 Shiba Inu(Shib)在2021年到達ATH後損失了80%的價值,因為在沒有新事態發展的情況下,令牌上的興奮會減少。
The study also notes that speculative pump-and-dump cycles accelerate losses.
該研究還指出,投機性的泵送循環加速了損失。
“Tokens that rise rapidly due to hype often face extreme volatility when investor enthusiasm fades,” the research states.
研究指出:“由於投資者熱情逐漸消失,由於炒作而迅速上升的代幣通常會面臨極端波動。”
Importantly, the study concludes that ATHs are often unsustainable without long-term adoption and real-world utility.
重要的是,研究得出的結論是,沒有長期採用和現實世界實用性,ATHS通常是不可持續的。
While social media hype and exchange listings may fuel short-term gains, the true test of a token's value lies in its ability to maintain investor interest and innovation.
儘管社交媒體炒作和交流清單可能會促進短期收益,但對代幣價值的真實測試在於其維持投資者的興趣和創新的能力。
“Crypto investors need to distinguish between temporary market excitement and sustainable growth,” the study states. “Without strong fundamentals, most tokens fail to hold onto their peak valuations.”
研究指出:“加密投資者需要區分臨時市場興奮和可持續增長。” “沒有強大的基本原理,大多數代幣都無法保持其高峰估值。”
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