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值得注意的統計信息:
Cryptocurrencies traded in a tight sideways range on Thursday, awaiting the release of inflation data on Friday. Any rally in markets may be limited as traders digest a mixed U.S. economic snapshot and await the pending release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Friday, according to economists at ING.
加密貨幣週四在橫向范圍內交易,等待週五發布通貨膨脹數據。根據ING的經濟學家的說法,隨著貿易商消化混合的美國經濟快照並等待週五的消費者價格指數(CPI)等待發布的任何集會。
The snapshot of the world's largest economy showed that jobless claims fell last week, but consumer spending dropped in June, while May data for personal spending was revised down. Economists had expected a modest increase in consumer spending.
全球最大經濟體的快照表明,失業者的主張上週下降,但消費者支出在6月下降,而5月的個人支出數據進行了修改。經濟學家預計消費者支出會適度增加。
The snapshot also showed that the trade deficit widened in June as imports rose more than economists expected. Economists had expected the trade deficit to narrow.
快照還表明,隨著進口量的增長遠遠超過經濟學家預期的,貿易赤字在6月擴大。經濟學家預計貿易赤字會縮小。
Meanwhile, the University of Michigan's preliminary reading of consumer sentiment for July came in better than expected, showing a slight improvement from last month. Economists had expected consumer sentiment to worsen.
同時,密歇根大學對7月份消費者情緒的初步閱讀比預期的要好,比上個月有所改善。經濟學家預計消費者情緒會惡化。
The slew of economic data showed that the U.S. economic recovery continues to be slow and uneven, with some bright spots but also some setbacks. This mixed picture could have implications for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy outlook.
大量的經濟數據表明,美國的經濟復甦持續緩慢而不平衡,有一些明亮的斑點,但也有一些挫折。這張混合的情況可能會對美聯儲的貨幣政策前景產生影響。
The Fed is expected to keep interest rates stable at its meeting next week, but traders will be looking for clues about the Fed's plans for future rate hikes or cuts.
預計美聯儲將在下週的會議上保持穩定的利率,但交易者將尋找有關美聯儲未來加息或削減計劃計劃的線索。
The pending release of the CPI on Friday is expected to show that inflation continues to moderate, but traders will be watching closely for any surprises in the data.
預計CPI的待定發布預計將表明通貨膨脹率會繼續中等,但交易者將密切關注數據中的任何驚喜。
The Institution Is Averaging Down On Bitcoin - Ben Cowan
該機構的平均比特幣 - 本·考恩(Ben Cowan)
Plan B, the creator of the Stock-to-Flow Bitcoin price model, had previously stated that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) serves as a metric for evaluating the relative attractiveness of investing in stocks compared to holding onto BTC.
B Plan B Plan是股票與流量比特幣價格模型的創建者,此前曾表示,比特幣(BTC)的價格與持有BTC相比,比特幣(BTC)是評估股票投資相對吸引力的指標。
In a recent X post, Plan B presented a chart comparing the price of Bitcoin to the total market cap of the U.S. stock market. The chart showed that the price of Bitcoin has dropped significantly from its all-time high, while the total market cap of the U.S. stock market has remained relatively stable.
在最近的X帖子中,計劃B提出了一張圖表,將比特幣價格與美國股票市場的總市值進行了比較。該圖表顯示,比特幣的價格已從其歷史最高高度下降,而美國股票市場的總市值仍然相對穩定。
According to Plan B, this difference in price action may indicate that the institution is averaging down on Bitcoin. In other words, the institution is buying more Bitcoin as the price falls.
根據計劃B的說法,價格行動的這種差異可能表明該機構的平均比特幣。換句話說,隨著價格下跌,該機構正在購買更多的比特幣。
"Is the institution interested in stocks or Bitcoin? Well, they are averaging down on Bitcoin. Pay attention to the yellow line (U.S. stocks) and compare it to the purple line (Bitcoin price). It's clear that the institution isn't focused on the stock market at all. They've moved on to something else entirely, and that's Bitcoin," said Plan B.
“該機構對股票還是比特幣感興趣嗎?好吧,它們平均對比特幣。請注意黃線(美國股票),並將其與紫色線(比特幣價格)進行比較。很明顯,該機構根本不專注於股票市場。
This analysis aligns with recent reports that large institutions, such as BlackRock and Charles Schwab, have applied for spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) products. The approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF could open the door for more institutional money to flow into the cryptocurrency market.
該分析與最近的報導相吻合,即貝萊德和查爾斯·施瓦布(Charles Schwab)等大型機構已申請了現貨比特幣交換基金(ETF)產品。比特幣ETF的批准可以為更多的機構資金打開大門,以流入加密貨幣市場。
According to The Cryptomist, Bitcoin bulls are defending support at this level. It is crucial for this support to hold to avoid bearish retests of this zone. Afterwards, bulls need to break $87,700 to push towards $90,000.
根據隱秘主義者的說法,比特幣公牛在此級別上為支持。對於避免對該區域的看跌重新測試至關重要。之後,公牛需要打破87,700美元才能向90,000美元推出。
"Strong reaction on this test at support, which is crucial for bulls to hold to prevent bearish retest of this zone. Afterwards, bulls need to break $87.7k for $90k," said The Cryptomist.
“在支持下進行這項測試的強烈反應,這對於公牛持有以防止看跌該區域至關重要。之後,公牛需要以$ 90萬美元的價格打破$ 87.7K,”該加密主義者說。
However, Crypto Caesar believes that Bitcoin is struggling at resistance and that it isn't likely to go far.
但是,加密凱撒(Crypto Caesar)認為,比特幣在抵抗方面正在掙扎,而且不太可能走得更遠。
"Don't get your hopes up too high. We're meeting resistance here at this Fib level, and we're not really going anywhere. We'll have to wait and see if we can break out of this range to continue the uptrend. But for now, it's a waiting game."
“不要讓您的希望太高。我們在此FIB級別上會遇到阻力,而且我們不會真正去任何地方。我們必須拭目以待,看看我們是否可以突破此範圍以繼續上升趨勢。但是,目前,這是一款等待的遊戲。”
"We're still in a bull market, but we're seeing some signs of weakness from Bitcoin. It's struggling to break through this resistance, and it's starting to get a bit messy. We'll need to see some more strength from Bitcoin if we want to see it continue to rise," said Crypto Caesar.
“我們仍然處於牛市的狀態,但是我們看到了比特幣的弱點跡象。它正在努力打破這種阻力,而且它開始變得有些混亂。如果我們希望看到它繼續上升,我們需要看到比特幣的更多力量,”加密凱撒說。
Moreover, Ben Cowen pointed out that a "death cross" is coming up soon for Bitcoin.
此外,本·科文(Ben Cowen)指出,比特幣即將出現“死亡十字架”。
"Local lows tend to occur around that time," said Ben Cowen.
本·考寧說:“當地低點往往會發生。”
suggest that the death cross may be a useful indicator of upcoming local lows in the Bitcoin market.
表明死亡十字架可能是即將在比特幣市場中即將到來的當地低點的有用指標。
The analysis aligns with the observation that the 50-week moving average has acted as a significant support or resistance level throughout the history of the Bitcoin market.
該分析與觀察到的觀察結果一致,即50週的移動平均線在整個比特幣市場的歷史中都充當了顯著的支持或阻力水平。
Historically, when the price of Bitcoin falls below the 50-week moving average, it tends to continue trending downwards, leading to lower lows in the market. Conversely, when the price of Bitcoin stays above the 50-week moving average, it tends to continue trending upwards, leading to higher highs in the market.
從歷史上看,當比特幣的價格低於50週的移動平均水平時,它往往會繼續向下趨勢,從而導致市場低點。相反,當比特幣的價格停留在50週的移動平均水平上時,它往往會繼續向上趨勢,從而導致市場高漲。
In this case, the analysis suggests
在這種情況下,分析建議
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