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比特幣(BTC)價格略有上漲至84000美元,而Pepe(Pepe),EOS(EOS),Bonk(Bonk)和Farcoin(Fartcoin)在過去24小時中上漲了5%以上。
Crypto market prices crawled back slightly on April 1 as investors bought the dip following a brutal quarter in which Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) dropped by 12% and 45%, respectively.
加密貨幣市場價格在4月1日略有回報,因為投資者在一個殘酷的季度購買了蘸醬,而比特幣(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)分別下降了12%和45%。
Bitcoin price slipped slightly to $84,000, while Pepe (PEPE), EOS (EOS), Bonk (BONK), and Farcoin (FARTCOIN) gained over 5% in the past 24 hours. Meanwhile, total trading volume across exchanges rose by 18%.
比特幣價格略有下跌至84,000美元,而Pepe(Pepe),EOS(EOS),Bonk(Bonk)和Farcoin(Fartcoin)在過去24小時內增長了5%以上。同時,交易所之間的總交易量增長了18%。
This rebound was notable as U.S. stock index futures continued their downtrend. Futures tied to the Dow Jones fell by 250 points, while the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices dropped by 0.50%.
這種反彈是值得注意的,因為美國股票指數期貨繼續下降。與道瓊斯道瓊斯瓊斯息息相關的期貨下跌了250分,而納斯達克100和標準普爾500指數下降了0.50%。
One potential catalyst for the performance of Bitcoin and other altcoins is data showing that BTC and ETH balances on exchanges have declined, signaling that selling pressure may be easing.
比特幣和其他AltCoins性能的一種潛在催化劑是數據表明,交易所的BTC和ETH餘額已經下降,這表明銷售壓力可能正在緩解。
CoinGlass data shows that there were 2.2 million coins on exchanges, down from 2.25 million in March. ETH balances have slipped to 14.5 million, the lowest point in years.
Coinglass數據顯示,交易所有220萬枚硬幣,低於3月的225萬硬幣。 ETH餘額已跌至1450萬,是多年來最低點。
BTC, altcoin rebound may be a dead cat bounce
BTC,Altcoin反彈可能是一隻死的貓反彈
However, the rebound could also be part of a dead cat bounce, as market risks remain elevated. A dead cat bounce refers to a situation where an asset in a downtrend experiences a temporary recovery before resuming its decline. It’s also known as a bull trap.
但是,隨著市場風險仍然升高,反彈也可能是死貓反彈的一部分。死貓反彈是指下降趨勢中的資產在恢復其下降之前經歷暫時恢復的情況。它也被稱為牛陷阱。
The case for this being a dead cat bounce has strengthened due to several looming risks. Chief among them is Donald Trump’s upcoming Liberation Day on Wednesday, when he is expected to announce sweeping tariffs in an effort to raise funds for tax cuts and boost U.S. manufacturing.
由於幾種迫在眉睫的風險,這是死貓反彈的情況。其中最主要的是唐納德·特朗普(Donald Trump)即將在周三舉行的解放日,當時他有望宣布全面關稅,以籌集資金減稅並促進美國製造業。
Other countries, especially in the European Union, have warned that they will respond with retaliatory tariffs. This could spark a trade war and drive inflation higher, potentially forcing the Federal Reserve to delay its planned interest rate cuts.
其他國家,尤其是在歐盟中,警告說,他們將以報復性關稅做出回應。這可能引發貿易戰並推動通貨膨脹率更高,可能迫使美聯儲推遲其計劃的降低利率降低。
Bitcoin price technicals point to more downside
比特幣價格技術指向更多缺點
Another reason the current BTC and altcoin rebound may be a dead cat bounce lies in technical analysis. The chart above shows that Bitcoin is still flashing bearish signals. It remains below the 50-day moving average, a sign that bears remain in control.
當前的BTC和Altcoin反彈可能是技術分析的另一個原因。上圖顯示,比特幣仍在閃爍看跌信號。它保持低於50天的移動平均線,該標誌仍處於控制狀態。
Bitcoin has also fallen below the key resistance level at $89,156, which marks the neckline of the double-top pattern at $108,410. It has even completed a break-and-re test pattern by briefly retesting that neckline.
比特幣還低於關鍵阻力水平,為89,156美元,這標誌著雙頂圖案的領口為108,410美元。它甚至通過短暫重新測試該領口來完成斷路測試模式。
Therefore, there is a strong likelihood that Bitcoin will resume its downtrend and potentially retest last month’s low of $76,485. The bearish outlook will remain intact as long as the price stays below the resistance level at $95,000.
因此,比特幣很有可能會恢復其下降趨勢,並有可能重新測試上個月的76,485美元。只要價格保持在阻力水平低於95,000美元,看跌前景將保持完整。
If this forecast plays out, altcoins like Pepe, EOS, Bonk, and Fartcoin are also likely to resume their downward trend.
如果這種預測會播出,那麼Pepe,EOS,Bonk和Fartcoin等Altcoins也可能會恢復其下降趨勢。
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