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美國最新的核心消費價格指數(CPI)報告給人帶來了意外的驚喜,通貨膨脹降溫的速度比預期的要快。結果,對降低降低的市場期望激增。
The latest U.S. core Consumer Price Index (CPI) report delivered an unexpected surprise, with inflation cooling faster than anticipated.
美國最新的核心消費價格指數(CPI)報告給人帶來了意外的驚喜,通貨膨脹降溫的速度比預期的要快。
Core CPI came in at 3.1%, slightly below the projected 3.2%, while headline inflation also saw a minor decline, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
根據勞工統計局的數據,Core CPI的收入率為3.1%,略低於預計的3.2%,而標題通貨膨脹也略有下降。
As a result, market expectations for rate cuts have surged, with the probability of a May cut jumping to 31.4%, more than tripling from last month. Similarly, forecasts for three rate cuts by year-end have spiked fivefold to 32.5%.
結果,市場對降低降低的期望激增,可能削減的可能性降至31.4%,比上個月的三倍以上。同樣,按年底削減三稅率的預測已飆升了5倍,達到32.5%。
The likelihood of four cuts has surged from a mere 1% to 21%.
四次削減的可能性從僅1%升至21%。
"With today’s data adding to the case for rate cuts and risk assets rallying in response, it’s possible that recession risks have already been fully priced in," Crypto Research Strategist at 21Shares, Matt Mena, said in an email sent to AMBCrypto.
馬特·梅納(Matt Mena)的Crypto研究策略師在發送給Ambcrypto的一封電子郵件中說:“隨著今天的數據增加了削減稅率和風險資產的響應,可能已經完全定價了衰退風險。”
"Bitcoin has rebounded, retesting $85K, while index futures push higher. This dynamic suggests that any rate cuts materializing this year could unleash a flood of liquidity, propelling equities and crypto higher."
“比特幣已經反彈,重新測試了85,000美元,而指數期貨則提高了。這種動態表明,今年實現的任何速度都可以釋放出大量的流動性,推動股票和加密貨幣。”
Despite the cooling inflation, Bitcoin’s price has struggled to maintain momentum, slipping from over $84,000 to around $83,000 as traders weighed the impact of President Trump’s trade policies and broader macroeconomic uncertainty.
儘管通貨膨脹率冷卻,但比特幣的價格仍在努力維持動力,從超過84,000美元下滑至$ 83,000,因為交易員權衡了特朗普總統的貿易政策和更廣泛的宏觀經濟不確定性的影響。
According to the latest data from CoinMarketCap, BTC was trading at $83,030.57, reflecting a modest 0.57% gain in the past 24 hours.
根據CoinMarketCap的最新數據,BTC的交易價格為83,030.57美元,反映了過去24小時內的0.57%的增長率。
"With inflation cooling and recession fears still looming but not worsening, Bitcoin could be on the verge of its next major breakout, pushing past the stubborn sub-$90K range," Mena added.
梅納補充說:“隨著通貨膨脹冷卻和衰退的擔憂仍在迫在眉睫,但並沒有惡化,比特幣可能處於下一個重大突破的邊緣,推動了頑固的低於90k美元的範圍。”
"A decisive move beyond this level could see BTC testing $95K resistance before making a run toward the highly anticipated $100K mark, solidifying its place in six-digit territory."
“超出此水平的決定性舉動可以使BTC測試$ 95K的電阻,然後才能朝著備受期待的10萬美元大關奔跑,從而鞏固了其在六位數領土上的地位。”
While the market seems to be optimistic about potential rate cuts, Federal Reserve officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell and Governor Christopher Waller, have reiterated their cautious stance on rate cuts, signaling no rush to ease policy.
儘管市場似乎對削減潛在利率感到樂觀,但包括杰羅姆·鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)主席和州長克里斯托弗·沃勒(Christopher Waller)在內的美聯儲官員對削減稅率的謹慎立場重申了這一點,這表明沒有急於緩解政策。
However, analysts warn that delaying cuts could trigger a bear market in the coming months.
但是,分析師警告說,延遲削減可能會在未來幾個月內引發熊市。
In fact, investor Anthony Pompliano speculated on 10th March that President Trump might be deliberately pressuring financial markets to force the Fed into action.
實際上,投資者安東尼·龐塞諾(Anthony Pompliano)於3月10日推測,特朗普總統可能會故意迫使金融市場迫使美聯儲采取行動。
"Is this a master plan or are we watching uncontrolled destruction?!" he questioned.
“這是總體規劃還是我們正在觀看不受控制的破壞?!”他問。
Mena further highlighted that the Crypto Fear and Greed Index has plunged to levels not seen since the Terra Luna collapse, reflecting heightened market anxiety.
MENA進一步強調,自Terra Luna崩潰以來,加密貨幣的恐懼和貪婪指數已跌至未見水平,反映了市場焦慮的加劇。
However, shifting narratives suggest a potential turnaround.
但是,不斷變化的敘述暗示了潛在的轉變。
With Jerome Powell recognizing Bitcoin as "digital gold," analysts see this as a step toward broader acceptance.
杰羅姆·鮑威爾(Jerome Powell)將比特幣視為“數字黃金”,分析師將這是邁向更廣泛接受的一步。
Additionally, expectations of interest rate cuts and monetary expansion could provide a much-needed boost to Bitcoin and the broader crypto market, setting the stage for a potential recovery.
此外,人們對降低利率和貨幣的擴張的期望可能會為比特幣和更廣泛的加密市場提供急需的提升,從而為潛在的恢復奠定了基礎。
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