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兩家被稱為「鯨魚」的大型比特幣投資者正在大幅增持比特幣,反映出唐納德·川普上台後人們對風險資產的興趣日益濃厚。
Two large Bitcoin investors, known as whales, are significantly increasing their holdings, reflecting growing interest in risk assets after Donald Trump’s win in the United States presidential election.
兩家被稱為「鯨魚」的大型比特幣投資者正在大幅增持比特幣,反映出唐納德·川普贏得美國總統大選後,人們對風險資產的興趣日益濃厚。
On Nov. 6, Trump was declared the winner of the presidential election, securing his second term, which will begin on Jan. 20, 2025.
11 月 6 日,川普被宣布贏得總統選舉,確保他的第二個任期,將於 2025 年 1 月 20 日開始。
Trump’s victory bolstered investor appetite for risk assets such as Bitcoin ( BTC ) $75,877 , which hit a new all-time high of $76,400 shortly after Trump was elected president.
川普的勝利提振了投資者對比特幣(BTC)等風險資產的興趣,比特幣價格為75,877美元,在川普當選總統後不久就創下了76,400美元的歷史新高。
A day after Trump’s victory, an unknown whale wallet “bc1qh” acquired over $50.4 million worth of Bitcoin from Binance, the world’s largest centralized exchange (CEX), Arkham Intelligence data shows.
Arkham Intelligence 數據顯示,川普獲勝後的第二天,一個不知名的鯨魚錢包「bc1qh」從全球最大的中心化交易所 (CEX) 幣安收購了價值超過 5,040 萬美元的比特幣。
Whale wallet “bc1qh” portfolio. Source: Arkham Intelligence
鯨魚錢包「bc1qh」投資組合。來源:阿卡漢情報
Another Bitcoin whale, address “bc1qa,” bought over $92 million worth of Bitcoin on Nov. 7. The whale’s transactions show that it only started acquiring Bitcoin the week before the US election, beginning with a $52 million BTC acquisition on Nov. 1.
另一位比特幣鯨魚(地址為「bc1qa」)在11 月7 日購買了價值超過9,200 萬美元的比特幣。 11 月1 日收購了價值5,200 萬美元的比特幣。
The two whales have acquired $142 million worth of Bitcoin since Trump’s victory, showing the growing investor demand for Bitcoin.
自川普獲勝以來,這兩隻鯨魚已經收購了價值1.42億美元的比特幣,顯示出投資者對比特幣的需求不斷增長。
Whale wallet “bc1qa.” Source: Arkham Intelligence
鯨魚錢包“bc1qa”。來源:阿卡漢情報
Whales can significantly impact a cryptocurrency’s price action due to the high amount of market-moving capital. Traders often follow whale buying patterns for cues on a cryptocurrency’s short-term price trajectory.
由於大量的市場波動資本,鯨魚可以顯著影響加密貨幣的價格走勢。交易者經常遵循鯨魚購買模式來尋找加密貨幣短期價格軌跡的線索。
The Republican president inspired more optimistic price projections. Trump’s victory could set Bitcoin on track to a rally above $100,000 before the end of 2024, Bitget Research’s chief analyst, Ryan Lee, told Cointelegraph:
共和黨總統激發了更樂觀的價格預測。 Bitget Research 首席分析師 Ryan Lee 告訴 Cointelegraph,川普的勝利可能會讓比特幣在 2024 年底前上漲至 10 萬美元以上:
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Related: Top Polymarket whale profits $20M from Trump victory
相關:頂級 Polymarket 鯨魚從川普的勝利中獲利 2000 萬美元
New Bitcoin whales started emerging a day ahead of Trump’s victory
在川普獲勝前一天,新的比特幣鯨魚開始出現
Fresh Bitcoin whale addresses have emerged, anticipating Trump’s victory ahead of the election results.
新的比特幣鯨魚地址已經出現,預計川普在選舉結果之前獲勝。
On Nov. 6, whales acquired and withdrew over 1,806 Bitcoin worth over $132 million through 11 newly created cryptocurrency wallets.
11 月 6 日,鯨魚透過 11 個新創建的加密貨幣錢包獲取並提取了超過 1,806 個比特幣,價值超過 1.32 億美元。
The withdrawals from the world’s largest centralized exchange (CEX), Binance, were flagged by crypto intelligence platform Lookonchain in a Nov. 6 X post.
加密情報平台 Lookonchain 在 11 月 6 日的貼文中標記了從全球最大的中心化交易所 (CEX) 幣安提款的情況。
11 whale wallets withdraw $132 million BTC. Source: Lookonchain
11 個鯨魚錢包提取了 1.32 億美元的 BTC。來源:Lookonchain
Related: Trump win confirmed? Jim Cramer says markets predict Harris victory
相關:川普獲勝確認?吉姆·克萊默表示市場預測哈里斯將獲勝
Options markets point to Bitcoin rally above $80,000
期權市場表明比特幣將反彈至 80,000 美元以上
Showcasing the growing investor sentiment, Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of over $75,000 on Nov. 6, as traders have continued accumulating on early election results showing Trump’s lead.
比特幣在 11 月 6 日創下了超過 75,000 美元的歷史新高,這顯示了投資者情緒的不斷增長,因為交易員們繼續累積顯示川普領先的早期選舉結果。
While higher price volatility is widely expected after the elections, some analysts see this as necessary for the next leg up in the bull cycle.
儘管人們普遍預期選舉後價格波動會更大,但一些分析師認為,這對於牛市週期的下一輪上漲是必要的。
Notably, Bitfinex analysts predict a Bitcoin rally to $80,000 before the end of 2024, driven by the options market structure and the prospect of a Republican presidential victory. The analysts told Cointelegraph:
值得注意的是,Bitfinex 分析師預測,在選擇權市場結構和共和黨總統獲勝前景的推動下,比特幣將在 2024 年底前上漲至 8 萬美元。分析師告訴 Cointelegraph:
Daily BTC volume throughout the US elections. Source: Standard Chartered Research, Bitfinex
美國大選期間的每日 BTC 交易量。資料來源:渣打銀行研究部、Bitfinex
Industry regulations for the next four years are also perceived as more optimistic, as Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong called the current Republican Senate majority the “most pro-crypto Congress ever.”
未來四年的行業監管也被認為更加樂觀,Coinbase 執行長 Brian Armstrong 稱目前的共和黨參議院多數派是「有史以來最支持加密貨幣的國會」。
The Republican Senate could indeed prioritize innovation-friendly crypto policies with less friction for US crypto companies, according to Andrey Lazutkin, chief technology officer and chief product officer of Tangem Wallet, who told Cointelegraph:
Tangem Wallet 技術長兼首席產品長 Andrey Lazutkin 告訴 Cointelegraph,共和黨參議院確實可以優先考慮有利於創新的加密政策,以減少美國加密公司的摩擦:
Some of the most anticipated innovations that the Trump administration could introduce include the first staked Ether ETF, which could come with more favorable regulation in the next four years, a Nansen analyst told Cointelegraph.
Nansen 分析師告訴 Cointelegraph,川普政府可能推出的一些最受期待的創新包括首個質押以太 ETF,該 ETF 可能會在未來四年內受到更有利的監管。
Magazine: Harris’ unrealized gains tax could ‘tank markets’: Nansen’s Alex Svanevik, X Hall of Flame
雜誌:哈里斯的未實現利得稅可能會「破壞市場」:Nansen 的 Alex Svanevik,X Hall of Flame
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