選舉日比特幣飆升至 7 萬美元大關

週二上午，領先的加密貨幣交易價格突破 70,000 美元，上漲 2.4%。

Bitcoin price today: Surged back to the $70,000 mark on Election Day, as the neck-and-neck race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump neared a close.

今天，比特幣價格在選舉日飆升至 70,000 美元大關，卡馬拉·哈里斯 (Kamala Harris) 和唐納德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 之間的激烈競爭接近尾聲。

Bitcoin was trading above $70,000 on Tuesday morning, gaining 2.4%. Just days ago, Bitcoin was hovering near its all-time high. Last week, Bitcoin peaked at $73,562, just shy of its record high of $73,737 reached in March. Then it slipped, briefly dipping below $68,000. Over the past few days, Bitcoin’s price has remained largely stagnant as the market awaited the election results.

週二上午，比特幣交易價格突破 7 萬美元，上漲 2.4%。就在幾天前，比特幣還徘徊在歷史高點附近。上週，比特幣觸及 73,562 美元峰值，僅略低於 3 月創下的歷史新高 73,737 美元。然後價格下跌，短暫跌破 68,000 美元。過去幾天，由於市場等待選舉結果，比特幣的價格基本上保持停滯。

Election uncertainty has fueled fear and doubt within the crypto community. Several polls published over the weekend showed Harris gaining ground on Trump. And a new poll from famed Iowa pollster Ann Selzer published by the Des Moines Register showed her ahead of Trump by three points in Iowa, a Trump-friendly state.

選舉的不確定性加劇了加密貨幣社群的恐懼和懷疑。週末公佈的幾項民調顯示，哈里斯領先川普。 《得梅因紀事報》發布的愛荷華州著名民調專家安·塞爾澤的最新民調顯示，她在對川普友好的愛荷華州領先川普三分。

According to 538’s simulations, Harris wins 50 times out of 100, while Trump wins 49 times out of 100. Other models, such as Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s averages, show that Trump has a 54% chance of winning the election, compared to Harris’ 46%.

根據538 的模擬，哈里斯在100 次選舉中獲勝50 次，而川普在100 次選舉中獲勝49 次。機會為54%，而川普的獲勝機會為54%。

What will happen to Bitcoin under Trump or Harris?

川普或哈里斯領導下的比特幣會發生什麼事？

There’s little doubt that Bitcoin will soar if Trump wins. The former president positioned himself as a “crypto candidate,” actively embracing digital assets as part of his campaign. He even started accepting campaign donations in various cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ether, Dogecoin, and Solana, among others.

毫無疑問，如果川普獲勝，比特幣將會飆升。這位前總統將自己定位為“加密貨幣候選人”，並積極擁抱數位資產作為其競選活動的一部分。他甚至開始接受各種加密貨幣的競選捐款，包括比特幣、以太幣、狗狗幣和 Solana 等。

Of course, not all crypto enthusiasts are Trump supporters, but many welcome his recent pro-crypto stance. For instance, at a Bitcoin conference, Trump promised to fire SEC Chair Gary Gensler on his first day in office — a move that resonates strongly with crypto advocates, as Gensler’s policies have often been unpopular in the cryptosphere. Trump further promised to establish a national Bitcoin reserve, an ambitious goal that has captivated many in the crypto community.

當然，並非所有加密貨幣愛好者都是川普的支持者，但許多人歡迎他最近支持加密貨幣的立場。例如，在一次比特幣會議上，川普承諾在上任第一天解僱SEC 主席加里·詹斯勒(Gary Gensler)，這一舉動引起了加密貨幣倡導者的強烈共鳴，因為詹斯勒的政策在加密領域往往不受歡迎。川普進一步承諾建立國家比特幣儲備，這是一個雄心勃勃的目標，吸引了加密社群的許多人。

Harris, who had previously been cautious about discussing cryptocurrencies, recently began to address the topic more openly. She has called for stronger regulatory oversight of the crypto market, emphasizing the need for clear rules to ensure consumer protection and financial stability.

哈里斯先前對討論加密貨幣持謹慎態度，最近開始更公開地討論這個話題。她呼籲加強對加密貨幣市場的監管，並強調需要製定明確的規則以確保消費者保護和金融穩定。

Given Harris’ late and lukewarm response to Bitcoin, many anticipate an immediate dip in leading cryptocurrency’s price if she wins, followed by a possible rebound later.

鑑於哈里斯對比特幣的反應遲緩且冷淡，許多人預計，如果她獲勝，主要加密貨幣的價格將立即下跌，隨後可能會反彈。

Other major cryptocurrencies are rising, too

其他主要加密貨幣也在上漲

The rise in Bitcoin’s price has had an impact on the entire cryptocurrency market. Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is currently trading around $2,500, reflecting a slight jump of 0.5% over the past 24 hours. Other major cryptocurrencies, such as Solana, Cardano, Dogecoin, and Shiba Inu, gained 2.8%, 2.6%, 12.9%, and 7.6%, respectively.

比特幣價格的上漲對整個加密貨幣市場產生了影響。以太幣是市值第二大的加密貨幣，目前交易價格約為 2,500 美元，在過去 24 小時內小幅上漲 0.5%。其他主要加密貨幣，如 Solana、Cardano、Dogecoin 和 Shiba Inu 分別上漲 2.8%、2.6%、12.9% 和 7.6%。