比特幣：重新平衡美國帳戶的戰略儲備？

疾馳的通貨膨脹，稅收上升和深淵債務：我們的領導人兼顧了這些滴答炸彈。有些顯示令人震驚的數字，而另一些人則喜歡沉默。

As galloping inflation, rising taxes, and abyssal debt continue to plague the nation, our leaders are faced with the daunting task of defusing these economic ticking bombs. Some choose to display the alarming figures boldly, while others opt for the relative safety of silence. However, amidst the current and impending economic crises, one idea is emerging that could potentially alter the course of history: the integration of Bitcoin into the strategy to rebalance the American accounts.

隨著通貨膨脹，稅收上升和深淵債務繼續困擾國家，我們的領導人面臨著破壞這些經濟滴答炸彈的艱鉅任務。有些選擇大膽地顯示令人震驚的數字，而另一些人則選擇相對的沉默。但是，在當前和即將發生的經濟危機中，一個想法可能會改變歷史的進程：將比特幣整合到重新平衡美國賬戶的戰略中。

This concept was recently brought to light by VanEck, a renowned investment management firm, which envisions a scenario where the United States would embark on a large-scale accumulation of one million BTC to counter a national debt that is projected to soar to 116 trillion dollars.

該概念最近是由著名的投資管理公司Vaneck揭示的，該公司設想了一種情況，即美國將開始大規模積累100萬BTC，以抵抗預計將飆升至116萬億美元的國家債務。

The firm's proposal is rooted in the belief that a substantial allocation to Bitcoin could serve as a hedge against inflation and a catalyst for reducing the national debt. This strategy would entail the government purchasing BTC over a seven-year period, beginning in 2023 and concluding in 2029.

該公司的提議源於這樣一種信念，即向比特幣的大量分配可以作為抵抗通貨膨脹的對沖和減少國家債務的催化劑。該策略將需要政府在2023年開始的七年內購買BTC，並於2029年結束。

According to VanEck's analysis, if Washington were to successfully accumulate one million BTC by 2029, it could lead to a reduction of 21 trillion dollars in the national debt by 2049. This would represent approximately 18% of the projected debt at that time.

根據Vaneck的分析，如果華盛頓到2029年將成功積累了100萬BTC，到2049年，這可能會導致國家債務的21萬億美元。這將佔當時預計債務的18％。

To achieve this goal, the flagship cryptocurrency would need to experience an annual growth of 25%, ultimately reaching a price of 21 million dollars per unit.

為了實現這一目標，旗艦加密貨幣將需要體驗25％的年增長率，最終達到每單位的2100萬美元。

While this scenario may appear promising on paper, it is crucial to note that its realization hinges on several key assumptions, including a sustained demand for BTC, favorable regulatory developments, and widespread institutional adoption.

儘管這種情況可能在紙上看起來很有希望，但至關重要的是要注意，它的實現取決於幾個關鍵假設，包括對BTC的持續需求，有利的監管發展以及廣泛的機構採用。

Moreover, the volatility of BTC and the potential for sharp drops or regulatory bans could significantly impact the strategy's effectiveness.

此外，BTC的波動率以及急劇下降或監管禁令的潛力可能會嚴重影響該戰略的有效性。

As Vivek, a renowned crypto analyst, succinctly observes:

正如著名的加密分析師Vivek簡潔地觀察到：

“VanEck predicts that by 2050, Bitcoin will become a reserve asset for central banks with a weighting of 2%, thus reaching 3 million dollars per unit.”

“ Vaneck預測，到2050年，比特幣將成為中央銀行的儲備金，重量為2％，因此每單位達到300萬美元。”

However, this scenario relies on several optimistic assumptions. What if the crypto suffers a sharp drop or a regulatory ban?

但是，這種情況取決於幾個樂觀的假設。如果加密貨幣遭受急劇下降或監管禁令該怎麼辦？

If the United States is considering diversifying its reserves with Bitcoin, the national debt continues to soar. Demand for Treasury bonds is weakening and economic stability is wavering. All of these signals could disrupt the Bitcoin market. The future will tell us whether this bet is a financial revolution or an illusion.

如果美國正在考慮用比特幣多樣化其儲備，那麼國家債務將繼續飆升。對國庫債券的需求正在削弱，經濟穩定正在動搖。所有這些信號可能會破壞比特幣市場。未來會告訴我們這個賭注是金融革命還是幻想。

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La révolution blockchain et crypto est en marche ! Et le jour où les impacts se feront ressentir sur l’économie la plus vulnérable de ce Monde, contre toute espérance, je dirai que j’y étais pour quelque chose

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