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儘管最近出現波動,X 的一位技術分析師認為,比特幣可能正在形成一個看漲的威科夫再累積模式。這種模式表明,大型企業可能會悄悄地以折扣價購買,在潛在的飆升之前將價格鞏固在一定範圍內。雖然勢頭仍然看漲,但多頭和空頭都未能大幅推高或壓低價格,這表明一些大型參與者可能故意將價格維持在即期匯率。從歷史上看,比特幣在減半後往往會打破先前的歷史高點,由於稀缺性增加,供應減少可能會推高價格。機構透過現貨比特幣 ETF 的採用預計也將在推動需求方面發揮作用。
Bitcoin's Consolidation Phase: Wyckoff Re-accumulation Pattern Hints at Bullish Future
比特幣的盤整階段:威科夫再累積模式暗示看漲未來
Bitcoin's recent price fluctuations have left investors grappling with uncertainty. However, amidst the short-term volatility, one analyst remains steadfastly bullish on the world's most valuable cryptocurrency, citing compelling technical developments that suggest a potential bull run on the horizon.
比特幣最近的價格波動讓投資者面臨不確定性。然而,在短期波動中,一位分析師仍然堅定地看好全球最有價值的加密貨幣,理由是引人注目的技術發展表明潛在的多頭市場即將到來。
Wyckoff Re-accumulation: A Stealthy Accumulation Phase
威科夫重新累積:隱形累積階段
According to a renowned analyst, Bitcoin may be in the midst of a Wyckoff Re-accumulation phase, a technical pattern that typically precedes a significant price surge. This pattern involves a period of sideways consolidation, where large players, known as whales, are believed to be accumulating coins in a discreet manner.
一位著名分析師表示,比特幣可能正處於威科夫重新累積階段,這是一種通常出現在價格大幅上漲之前的技術模式。這種模式涉及一段橫向盤整期,其中被稱為「鯨魚」的大型參與者被認為正在以謹慎的方式累積代幣。
During this phase, price action tends to remain subdued within a defined trading range. Currently, Bitcoin is hovering within a zone bounded by $60,000 on the lower end and its all-time high of $74,000 on the upper end.
在此階段,價格走勢往往在規定的交易區間內保持低迷。目前,比特幣徘徊在下限為 60,000 美元、上限為歷史高點 74,000 美元的區域內。
Bullish Momentum Intact
看漲勢頭完好無損
Although the price action has been lackluster, the momentum remains bullish. Bulls have repeatedly defended the $60,000 support level and failed to breach the psychological barrier of $74,000. This suggests that whales may be deliberately keeping prices subdued, potentially accumulating coins at discounted rates.
儘管價格走勢平淡,但動能仍看漲。多頭多次守住 6 萬美元的支撐位,但未能突破 7.4 萬美元的心理關卡。這表明鯨魚可能故意壓低價格,可能以折扣價累積代幣。
Furthermore, bears have been unable to capitalize on the April 13th sell-off. Despite the initial drop, bulls swiftly pushed prices back above the support level, indicating a strong underlying demand. Only a decisive break below $60,000 accompanied by significant volume would shift control to the sellers.
此外,空頭未能從 4 月 13 日的拋售中獲利。儘管最初下跌,但多頭迅速將價格推回到支撐位上方,顯示潛在需求強勁。只有果斷跌破 6 萬美元並伴隨大量成交量,控制權才會轉移給賣家。
Halving Catalyst and Institutional Adoption
減半催化劑及機構採用
The technical indicators aside, several fundamental factors also support the analyst's bullish outlook. The recent halving of Bitcoin's block rewards has reduced the supply of new coins entering the market by 50%. This artificial scarcity could potentially drive prices higher, assuming demand remains consistent.
除了技術指標之外,幾個基本面因素也支持分析師的看漲前景。最近比特幣的區塊獎勵減半,導致進入市場的新幣供應量減少了 50%。假設需求保持穩定,這種人為的稀缺可能會推高價格。
Moreover, the growing institutional adoption of Bitcoin through spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) is expected to provide a significant boost to its price. Data from Lookonchain shows that spot ETF issuers have been accumulating Bitcoin, indicating a growing appetite for the asset among institutional investors.
此外,機構透過現貨交易所交易基金(ETF)越來越多地採用比特幣,預計將顯著提振其價格。 Lookonchain 的數據顯示,現貨 ETF 發行人一直在累積比特幣,這表明機構投資者對該資產的興趣不斷增長。
Conclusion: A Patient Play
結論:耐心的遊戲
While optimism prevails, the analyst emphasizes that the potential rally may not materialize immediately. Historical data suggests that Bitcoin tends to break previous all-time highs following a halving. Therefore, if this pattern holds true, BTC could potentially reach fresh record highs by the year's end.
儘管樂觀情緒盛行,但分析師強調,潛在的反彈可能不會立即實現。歷史數據表明,比特幣在減半後往往會突破先前的歷史高點。因此,如果這種模式成立,比特幣可能會在年底創下新的歷史新高。
In the meantime, investors are advised to exercise patience and avoid making impulsive decisions based on short-term fluctuations. The Wyckoff Re-accumulation phase provides a window of opportunity for accumulation, as whales continue to quietly stockpile coins before the next bull run.
同時,建議投資人保持耐心,避免根據短期波動做出衝動決策。威科夫重新累積階段提供了一個累積的機會窗口,因為鯨魚在下一次牛市之前繼續悄悄儲存代幣。
As the market evolves, investors should remain vigilant and monitor price action closely. However, the current technical and fundamental indicators suggest that Bitcoin's long-term prospects remain bullish, and the current price dip may present an opportune moment for savvy investors to increase their holdings.
隨著市場的發展,投資人應保持警覺並密切關注價格走勢。然而,目前的技術和基本面指標表明,比特幣的長期前景仍然看漲,當前的價格下跌可能為精明的投資者提供增持的良機。
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