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比特幣正面臨關鍵的測試,因為其價格繼續搖擺而沒有明確的方向,而緊張的宏觀經濟條件則壓制了。
Bitcoin (BTC) is facing a crucial test as its price continues to swing without clear direction, weighed down by tense macroeconomic conditions. Despite the volatility, Bitcoin remains resilient above the $81,000 mark—an important psychological and technical level that bulls have managed to defend.
比特幣(BTC)正面臨著重要的測試,因為其價格繼續不明確,並由緊張的宏觀經濟條件壓制。儘管有波動性,但比特幣仍然有彈性高於$ 81,000,這是公牛設法捍衛的重要心理和技術水平。
The recent surge brought temporary optimism, but concerns over US tariffs and the escalating standoff with China continue to loom, fueling fears of a potential global recession if no agreement is reached. While the broader economic environment remains unstable, there are signs that the worst may be behind for now. According to data from CryptoQuant, the weekly volume of long position liquidations has significantly decreased over the past month—from $2.2 billion to $1.2 billion.
最近的激增帶來了暫時的樂觀情緒,但人們對美國關稅和與中國的不斷貸款的擔憂繼續迫在眉睫,如果未達成協議,人們對潛在的全球衰退的擔憂引起了人們的擔憂。儘管更廣泛的經濟環境仍然不穩定,但仍有跡象表明目前最糟糕的是。根據CryptoQuant的數據,在過去一個月中,每周長位清算的每週數量大大減少,從22億美元到12億美元。
This suggests that traders are becoming more cautious with leverage and position sizing, potentially stabilizing short-term price action. The reduction in liquidations also reflects a cooling of aggressive speculative activity, which often precedes healthier market conditions. However, for Bitcoin to build on its current strength, bulls must push the price above resistance levels around $85K–$87K. Until then, the market remains on edge, awaiting stronger signals of recovery or renewed downside momentum driven by macro factors.
這表明,交易者對槓桿和位置規模越來越謹慎,潛在地穩定了短期價格行動。清算的減少還反映了積極投機活動的冷卻,這通常是在更健康的市場條件之前進行的。但是,要使比特幣以目前的實力為基礎,公牛必須將價格提高到85,000美元至8.7萬美元以上。在此之前,市場一直處於邊緣狀態,等待著更強的恢復信號或由宏觀因素驅動的下行勢頭。
Bitcoin Shows Signs Of Stabilization Amid Global Uncertainty
在全球不確定性中,比特幣顯示出穩定的跡象
Massive price swings continue to shake both the crypto and equity markets, with heightened volatility driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions and financial uncertainty. Bitcoin, in particular, has experienced intense pressure in recent weeks, yet the asset has managed to hold key support levels, signaling that bulls may be regaining control.
大幅度的價格波動繼續動搖加密貨幣和股票市場,隨著持續的地緣政治緊張局勢和財務不確定性的驅動,波動性的提高。尤其是比特幣,最近幾周經歷了巨大的壓力,但是資產設法持有關鍵支持水平,表明公牛可能正在恢復控制。
While the worst of the drawdown might be over, sentiment remains mixed as traders weigh the impact of US tariffs, global economic fragility, and the growing risk of a recession. The broader macroeconomic environment continues to unsettle investors. Trade war escalations, particularly the ongoing standoff between the US and China, have added to fears that global growth could take a significant hit.
儘管最糟糕的趨勢可能已經結束,但隨著交易者權衡美國關稅,全球經濟脆弱性和衰退越來越多的風險的影響,情緒仍然混亂。更廣泛的宏觀經濟環境繼續使投資者感到不安。貿易戰的升級,特別是美國與中國之間的持續僵局,加劇了人們擔心全球增長可能會受到重大打擊。
Despite this, Bitcoin appears to be stabilizing. Bulls are cautiously stepping in, attempting to reclaim higher levels and reestablish momentum. Supporting this cautiously optimistic outlook, CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler shared recent insights revealing that over the past month, the weekly volume of long position liquidations has dropped from $2.2 billion to $1.2 billion.
儘管如此,比特幣似乎仍在穩定。公牛謹慎地介入,試圖恢復更高的水平並重新建立動力。加密分析師阿克塞爾·阿德勒(Axel Adler)在支持這種謹慎樂觀的前景中分享了最近的見解,表明,在過去一個月中,每周長位清算的每週數量從22億美元下降到12億美元。
This decline suggests a shift in trader behavior—toward reduced leverage and smaller positions—indicating increased caution amid the chaos. Such behavior often precedes market stabilization, as excessive risk-taking subsides and the foundation for healthier price action begins to build. While risks remain, including unpredictable economic policy and geopolitical fallout, Bitcoin’s resilience and the reduced liquidation trend point to a market that is beginning to regain balance. Bulls now need to confirm strength by pushing past critical resistance zones, but for now, signs of a potential recovery are slowly emerging.
這種下降表明,交易者行為的變化 - 降低了槓桿作用和較小的位置,這表明在混亂中謹慎行事。這種行為通常是在市場穩定之前先於市場穩定之前的,因為過度的冒險費用和更健康的價格行動的基礎開始建立。儘管仍然存在風險,包括不可預測的經濟政策和地緣政治後果,但比特幣的韌性以及降低的清算趨勢點開始恢復平衡。現在,公牛需要通過推動臨界阻力帶來確認力量,但就目前而言,潛在恢復的跡象正在緩慢地出現。
BTC Faces Short-Term Resistance Amid Recovery Effort
BTC面對恢復工作的短期抵抗
Bitcoin is currently trading at $83,400 after a strong bullish move pushed it back above the key $81,000 support level. This recent surge has provided temporary relief for bulls, but significant hurdles remain before a full recovery can be confirmed. The $81K mark has proven to be a crucial psychological and technical level in this cycle, and reclaiming it is essential for the uptrend to continue.
在強勁看漲的舉動將其推遲到關鍵$ 81,000的支持水平之上之後,比特幣目前的交易價格為83,400美元。最近的激增為公牛提供了暫時的緩解,但是在完全恢復之前仍然存在重大障礙。事實證明,$ 81K的商標已被證明是這個週期中的至關重要的心理和技術水平,並且對上升趨勢的繼續是至關重要的。
Despite the positive momentum, BTC now faces immediate resistance at the 4-hour 200 moving average, which currently sits near $83,500. This technical level has consistently acted as a short-term barrier since Bitcoin lost the $100K milestone earlier in the cycle. A decisive break and close above this zone would be an important signal of strength, potentially paving the way for a push toward the $85K–$87K range.
儘管有積極的勢頭,但BTC現在仍面臨著4小時移動平均線的立即阻力,目前的距離為83,500美元。自比特幣在周期早些時候失去了1萬美元的里程碑以來,這種技術水平一直是短期障礙。決定性的突破並在該區域上方接近,這將是強度的重要信號,這可能為推向85,000美元的$ 87K範圍鋪平了道路。
However, if bulls fail to maintain control and BTC slips back below $81K, it could trigger renewed panic selling and a deeper continuation of the downtrend. In that scenario, the $80K level becomes the last line of defense before a potential move toward $75K. With volatility remaining high and macroeconomic risks still in play, the coming days will be crucial for Bitcoin’s short-term trajectory.
但是,如果公牛無法維持控制權,而BTC的滑倒低於$ 81K,它可能會引發新的恐慌銷售和更深的下降趨勢延續。在這種情況下,$ 80K的水平成為可能轉向75,000美元之前的最後一道防線。隨著波動率仍然很高,宏觀經濟風險仍在起作用,未來幾天對於比特幣的短期軌跡至關重要。
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