比特幣回落至 91,000 美元：下一步是什麼？

經過過去幾天的大幅飆升後，比特幣已回落至 91,000 美元的低點。這次回檔是在恐慌性拋售開始消退之際發生的

Bitcoin price has retraced significantly over the past few days, reaching lows of $91,000. This pullback comes as panic selling begins to subside, bringing us closer to the 20-day moving average. Historically, these moving averages have acted as reliable support zones, providing a potential launchpad for Bitcoin’s next move.

過去幾天，比特幣價格大幅回落，觸及 91,000 美元的低點。這次回檔發生之際，恐慌性拋售開始消退，讓我們更接近 20 日移動平均線。從歷史上看，這些移動平均線一直充當可靠的支撐區域，為比特幣的下一步走勢提供了潛在的啟動平台。

A Bold Prediction: $140,000 Bitcoin Peak

大膽預測：比特幣高峰將達到 14 萬美元

Here’s my wild prediction for Bitcoin’s current bull run: the peak could reach $140k. Let me explain why.

這是我對比特幣當前牛市的瘋狂預測：高峰可能達到 14 萬美元。讓我解釋一下原因。

I’m using the Fibonacci extension tool, a popular technical analysis method to estimate this. By measuring from the swing low of the current rally to its swing high, then plotting back to the most recent low, the Fibonacci levels point toward $140k as a potential target. This pattern isn’t random—it’s based on historical price action, which often mirrors past trends.

我正在使用斐波那契擴展工具，這是一種流行的技術分析方法來估計這一點。透過從當前反彈的波動低點到波動高點進行衡量，然後繪製回最近的低點，斐波那契水平指向 14 萬美元作為潛在目標。這種模式不是隨機的，它基於歷史價格行為，通常反映了過去的趨勢。

Let’s break it down further with examples of Bitcoin’s previous bull runs to see how the Fibonacci extension has consistently marked peaks.

讓我們用比特幣之前牛市的例子來進一步分析，看看斐波那契擴展是如何持續達到高峰的。

Example 1: The Previous Bull Trend

範例 1：之前的多頭趨勢

In a prior bull trend, we measured from the swing low to the swing high and then back to the previous low. The Fibonacci extension aligned almost perfectly with the bull market’s peak, reinforcing its reliability as a predictive tool.

在先前的多頭趨勢中，我們從波動低點到波動高點進行測量，然後回到先前的低點。斐波那契延伸幾乎與多頭市場的頂峰完美吻合，增強了其作為預測工具的可靠性。

Example 2: Repeating The Process

範例 2：重複此過程

Looking at another historical cycle, we again plotted the swing low, swing high, and the preceding low. Once again, the Fibonacci extension levels matched the peak of that bull run.

看看另一個歷史週期，我們再次繪製了擺動低點、擺動高點和前一個低點。斐波那契擴展水平再次與牛市的峰值相匹配。

Example 3: A Consistent Pattern

範例 3：一致的模式

Using the same methodology in yet another bull market, we observed that the Fibonacci extension accurately identified the market top.

在另一個牛市中使用相同的方法，我們觀察到斐波那契擴展準確地確定了市場頂部。

These examples show a pattern: Bitcoin’s bull markets often follow similar structures, with Fibonacci extension levels serving as reliable indicators of potential peaks. Now, applying the same process to the current market cycle, we see $140k as a plausible target.

這些例子顯示了一種模式：比特幣的多頭市場通常遵循類似的結構，斐波那契擴展水平作為潛在峰值的可靠指標。現在，將相同的過程應用於當前的市場週期，我們認為 14 萬美元是一個合理的目標。

Will Bitcoin Really Hit $140,000?

比特幣真的會達到 14 萬美元嗎？

The question remains: Will Bitcoin actually reach $140k in this bull cycle? Based on historical patterns, the possibility is there. However, as with any market prediction, nothing is guaranteed. Market conditions, external factors, and unforeseen events can unexpectedly influence price movements.

問題依然存在：比特幣在本次牛市週期中真的會達到 14 萬美元嗎？從歷史法則來看，這種可能性是存在的。然而，與任何市場預測一樣，沒有任何事情是有保證的。市場狀況、外部因素和不可預見的事件可能會意外地影響價格走勢。

That said, having a potential target like $140,000 gives traders a reference point for planning their strategies. It’s essential to remain adaptable and stay informed about market developments, as no one can predict the future with absolute certainty.

也就是說，140,000 美元等潛在目標為交易者規劃策略提供了參考點。保持適應能力並隨時了解市場發展至關重要，因為沒有人能夠絕對確定地預測未來。

Final Thoughts

最後的想法

While this analysis is based on historical data and technical tools, it’s important to remember that trading involves risk. My trading bias could be wrong, and markets are inherently unpredictable. Always do your own research, and trade only what you can afford to lose.

雖然此分析基於歷史數據和技術工具，但重要的是要記住交易涉及風險。我的交易偏見可能是錯的，而市場本質上是不可預測的。一定要做好自己的研究，只交易你能承受損失的東西。

In conclusion, Bitcoin’s current pullback to the 20-day moving average could pave the way for its next move, potentially leading to new highs. The Fibonacci extension tool suggests $140k as a possible peak, but as always, trade cautiously and stay informed.

總之，比特幣目前回調至 20 日移動均線可能為其下一步走勢鋪路，並有可能創下新高。斐波那契擴展工具建議 14 萬美元為可能的峰值，但一如既往，請謹慎交易並隨時了解情況。

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如需像這樣更深入的技術分析，請務必訂閱 UseTheBitcoin 的 YouTube 頻道並點擊通知鈴聲。我們每天發布涵蓋加密貨幣市場的視頻，所以不要錯過！