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比特幣本週的反彈令人驚嘆,上週一下跌低於74,000美元,交易近85,000美元
Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded spectacularly this week, trading close to $85,000 after dipping below $74,000 last Monday due to macroeconomic turmoil triggered by Trump’s tariff drama. While retail investors indulged in panic selloffs, Binance whales have demonstrated remarkable composure. According to CryptoQuant data, these whales are consolidating their positions rather than selling off, signaling cautious optimism during volatile times. This has gone off to pay dividends for the Bitcoin price.
本週比特幣(BTC)的反彈令人驚嘆,由於特朗普的關稅戲劇引發的宏觀經濟動盪,上週一下跌低於74,000美元後,近74,000美元的交易價格接近85,000美元。儘管散戶投資者沉迷於恐慌拋棄,但造鯨表現出了顯著的鎮定。根據加密數據,這些鯨魚正在鞏固其位置,而不是賣掉,在動盪時期,謹慎的樂觀情緒。這已經消失了,以比特幣價格支付股息。
Analysts Note Binance Whale Activity
分析師注意二鯨活動
CryptoQuant analyst @Darkfost_Coc noted, “It appears that Binance whales are not panicking. On the contrary, both the Exchange Whale Ratio and whale inflows on the Binance exchange are decreasing.” This behavior suggests a strategic approach rather than fear-driven reactions, which could be underpinning the Bitcoin price’s recent surge.
隱式分析師@DarkFost_Coc指出:“看來二鯨並不感到恐慌。相反,二心交換中的交換鯨比和鯨魚流入都在減少。”這種行為暗示了一種戰略方法,而不是以恐懼驅動的反應,這可能是比特幣價格最近的激增的基礎。
“How are Binance whales reacting to market uncertainty?It appears that Binance whales are not panicking. On the contrary, both the Exchange Whale Ratio and whale inflows on Binance are decreasing.” – By @Darkfost_Coc Read more ✍️https://t.co/7qfYSAWQo2 #crypto #bitcoin #Binance
“二鯨如何對市場不確定性做出反應?看來二元鯨並不感到恐慌。相反,交換鯨的比率和飼料的鯨魚流入都在減少。” - @darkfost_coc撰寫更多閱讀✍️Https://t.co/7qfysawqo2 #crypto #bitcoin #binance #binance
Two critical metrics highlight this trend. The Exchange Whale Ratio on the Binance exchange, which compares the top 10 inflows to total inflows, shows a steady increase in its 365-day moving average (DMA). This indicates growing long-term whale activity during bullish phases. However, the 30-day DMA reveals a short-term dip in whale participation, returning to levels seen in late 2024. This decline suggests reduced selling pressure and a preference for holding assets.
兩個關鍵指標突出了這一趨勢。將前10個流入與總流入相提並論的二元交換的交換鯨比顯示了其365天移動平均線(DMA)的穩定增加。這表明看漲期間長期的長期鯨魚活動的增長。但是,為期30天的DMA揭示了鯨魚參與的短期下降,恢復到2024年底的水平。這種下降表明銷售壓力降低和對持有資產的偏愛。
The second metric, Binance Whale to Exchange Flow, tracks whale inflows over 30 days and shows a sharp drop of over $3 billion, similar to corrections observed in 2024. This reduction in inflows signals that whales are refraining from aggressive selling and instead consolidating their holdings.
第二個度量標準鯨交換流量,跟踪鯨魚在30天內的流入,顯示出超過30億美元的急劇下降,類似於2024年觀察到的矯正。流入的信號減少了鯨魚避免侵略性銷售的信號,而不是鞏固其持股。
U.S. Institutional Investors React Differently
美國機構投資者的反應不同
While Binance whales remain calm, U.S. institutional investors have taken a more cautious stance. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw massive outflows last week, with BlackRock’s IBIT fund alone losing $343 million. This divergence highlights differing strategies between retail-focused U.S. markets and whale-dominated activity on the Binance exchange.
雖然唯一的鯨魚保持冷靜,但美國機構投資者採取了更加謹慎的立場。現貨比特幣ETF上週出現了大量流出,僅貝萊德的IBIT基金僅損失了3.43億美元。這種差異凸顯了以零售為重點的美國市場與以鯨魚為主導的活動之間的不同策略。
As Bitcoin edges closer to $85K, the steadfast behavior of Binance whales may be pivotal in maintaining upward momentum amidst ongoing market chaos. Given that, let’s take a quick peek at the latest Bitcoin action and deduce where the price might go in the coming day or two.
隨著比特幣邊緣接近85,000美元,養老鯨的堅定行為可能是在持續的市場混亂中保持向上動力的關鍵。鑑於這一點,讓我們快速瀏覽一下最新的比特幣動作,並推斷出在接下來的一兩天中價格可能在哪裡。
Bitcoin Price Analysis: $85K Poses Major Resistance
比特幣價格分析:$ 85K構成主要抵抗力
Bitcoin commenced trading around the $85,250 mark, working in a trading range from the previous day. In the early hours, Bitcoin tried to ascend, but promptly faced correction as it fell to $84,750 support. At 4:30 UTC, a death cross was observed on the MACD, which led Bitcoin to abandon the support. However, Bitcoin resisted the downtrend and formed a trading range around the $84,600 mark, eventually falling to the $84,250 support.
比特幣的交易量約為85,250美元,與前一天相比在交易範圍內工作。在凌晨,比特幣試圖上升,但由於跌至84,750美元的支持而迅速面臨更正。在UTC的4:30,在MACD上觀察到了一個死亡十字架,這導致比特幣放棄了支撐。但是,比特幣抵制下降趨勢,並形成了84,600美元的交易範圍,最終跌至84,250美元的支持。
Chart 1: published on TradingView, April 14, 2025
圖表1:在2025年4月14日在TradingView上發布
With a golden cross now in support, Bitcoin attempted an uptrend at 9:00 UTC. But the Bitcoin price could not keep the momentum going, as a downward trend ensued. This downtrend took BTC to $83,580. Overbought conditions were now seen, as the downward trend reversal occurred, characterized by heavy fluctuations. Bitcoin finally found support at $83,000. Another golden cross followed, and Bitcoin started climbing against, facing rejection at $85,330. Since then, Bitcoin has displayed range-bound behavior, stabilizing around the $84,600 mark.
現在有了金十字架,比特幣在9:00 UTC嘗試了上升趨勢。但是,隨著下降趨勢的隨之而來,比特幣價格無法保持勢頭。這種下降將BTC降至83,580美元。現在,由於發生下降的趨勢逆轉,現在已經看到了過高的條件,其特徵是波動。比特幣終於找到了83,000美元的支持。緊隨其後的是金十字架,比特幣開始攀登,面臨85,330美元的拒絕。從那時起,比特幣表現出界限限制行為,穩定在$ 84,600大關左右。
Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will Bitcoin Break $85,000 Resistance?
比特幣價格預測:比特幣會打破$ 85,000的電阻嗎?
Bitcoin has been able to test the $85,300 resistance but has failed to break it in the past week. Even yesterday, it was seen hovering above $85,000 but could not produce any further gains. For now, if Bitcoin resists the selling pressure effectively, we could see an upward breakout out of this range. However, the RSI also seems to be reacting sensitively to the Bitcoin price movement. Given that, an upward breakout may corroborate a correction right after. In that case, Bitcoin would prefer holding on to the $83,500 level.
比特幣能夠測試85,300美元的電阻,但在過去一周中未能打破它。即使昨天,也看到徘徊在85,000美元以上,但無法取得任何進一步的收益。目前,如果比特幣有效地抵抗了銷售壓力,我們可以看到該範圍內的向上突破。但是,RSI似乎也對比特幣價格運動有敏感的反應。鑑於此,向上的突破可能會在此後立即證實校正。在這種情況下,比特幣更喜歡保持$ 83,500的水平。
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