2025 年是比特幣達到新高度的一年嗎？投資人應該知道什麼

2025 年伊始，加密貨幣市場出現了意想不到的活力，引發了投資者的新興趣以及對比特幣和其他數位資產未來的瘋狂猜測。

Bitcoin Surges Past $96K as January Surprises Continue, Setting Stage for a Remarkable Year

一月份驚喜不斷，比特幣飆升至 9.6 萬美元以上，為非凡的一年奠定基礎

After a surprising yet promising start to the year,رة cryptocurrency markets are buzzing with activity and anticipation. As several major cryptocurrencies experienced significant gains, according to data from Binance, the market has become a hotbed of predictions and potential strategies for investors.

在經歷了令人驚訝但充滿希望的今年開局後，加密貨幣市場充滿了活躍和期待。根據幣安的數據，隨著幾種主要加密貨幣的大幅上漲，市場已成為投資者預測和潛在策略的溫床。

Bitcoin’s surprising jump by 3.25% has pushed it beyond the $96,000 mark, reigniting optimistic projections for even higher peaks. Experts within the cryptocurrency space have weighed in on these developments.

比特幣令人驚訝地上漲了 3.25%，突破了 96,000 美元大關，重新引發了對更高高峰的樂觀預測。加密貨幣領域的專家對這些發展進行了權衡。

“We are seeing a promising bullish divergence in Bitcoin’s RSI, which is a technical indicator that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to assess overbought or oversold conditions,” said Iván Bolé, a financial market analyst at Real Vision Pro.

Real Vision Pro 金融市場分析師 Iván Bolé 表示：“我們看到比特幣 RSI 出現了有希望的看漲背離，這是一項衡量近期價格變化幅度以評估超買或超賣狀況的技術指標。”

“This divergence suggests that Bitcoin’s price movements are not keeping up with its strength, indicating potential upward momentum for the digital currency. Historically, Bitcoin prices have often surged following halving events.”

「這種差異表明比特幣的價格走勢未能跟上其強勢，表明數位貨幣存在潛在的上漲動力。從歷史上看，比特幣價格往往會在減半事件後飆升。

The last halving event occurred in April 2024, setting the stage for potentially remarkable peaks in 2025 if historical trends continue to hold.

上一次減半事件發生在 2024 年 4 月，如果歷史趨勢繼續保持下去，則為 2025 年可能出現的顯著高峰奠定了基礎。

“Bitcoin halving events usually coincide with market peaks. The latest halving took place in April 2024, and if we add the duration of previous cycles, it could set the stage for a remarkable 2025,” said Enrique Nievas, a cryptocurrency analyst.

「比特幣減半事件通常與市場高峰同時發生。最近一次減半發生在 2024 年 4 月，如果我們加上先前週期的持續時間，可能會為非凡的 2025 年奠定基礎。

Prominent analysts have offered varying forecasts for Bitcoin’s trajectory. Sebastián Serrano, head of product at ParaFin, advocates a more conservative approach.

著名分析師對比特幣的發展軌跡提出了不同的預測。 ParaFin 產品主管 Sebastián Serrano 主張採取更保守的方法。

“I’m projecting a price target of around $150,000 for Bitcoin by the end of 2025. This projection is based on several factors, including the dwindling supply of Bitcoin and the increasing demand for the digital asset,” said Serrano.

「我預計到 2025 年底，比特幣的目標價約為 15 萬美元。這項預測基於多個因素，包括比特幣供應量的減少和數位資產需求的增加，」塞拉諾說。

However, more optimistic predictions paint a brighter picture.

然而，更樂觀的預測描繪了更光明的前景。

“If Donald Trump gets reelected and does what he said he would do, like establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the U.S., that could encourage other nations to follow suit, which would drive up the price of Bitcoin,” said Richard Teng, head of digital assets at Binance.

「如果唐納德·川普再次當選並按照他所說的去做，例如在美國建立比特幣戰略儲備，這可能會鼓勵其他國家效仿，從而推高比特幣的價格，」該公司負責人理查德·滕（Richard Teng）表示。

“Bitcoin’s price could reach an unprecedented $500,000 by 2025, bolstered by his plans, which could lead to a new wave of adoption and value creation for the digital asset.”

「在他的計劃的推動下，到 2025 年，比特幣的價格可能會達到前所未有的 50 萬美元，這可能會引發數位資產新一輪的採用和價值創造。”

Analyst PlanB, known for his Stock-to-Flow model, remains confident in Bitcoin’s potential.

以其股票流量模型而聞名的分析師 PlanB 對比特幣的潛力仍然充滿信心。

“The halving event will continue to drive up the price of Bitcoin. My model predicts that Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by 2025,” said PlanB.

「減半事件將繼續推高比特幣的價格。我的模型預測，到 2025 年，比特幣的價格可能會達到 50 萬美元。

These projections are influenced not only by supply and demand dynamics but also by broader economic and geopolitical factors.

這些預測不僅受到供需動態的影響，也受到更廣泛的經濟和地緣政治因素的影響。

“Donald Trump’s potential return to the U.S. presidency adds another layer to these forecasts. His previous statements about forming a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the U.S. have fueled optimism about Bitcoin’s future, potentially impacting global economic strategies,” said Nievas.

「唐納德·川普可能重返美國總統寶座，這為這些預測增添了另一層內容。他之前關於在美國建立比特幣戰略儲備的聲明激發了人們對比特幣未來的樂觀情緒，可能會影響全球經濟戰略。

As the year progresses and the dust settles, both new and seasoned investors will need to carefully navigate this rapidly changing environment, balancing optimism with due diligence as cryptocurrency enters a potentially transformative year.

隨著時間的推移和塵埃落定，隨著加密貨幣進入潛在的變革之年，新投資者和經驗豐富的投資者都需要謹慎應對這個快速變化的環境，在樂觀與盡職調查之間取得平衡。