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最近的市場走勢引發了人們對比特幣價格可能跌破 65,000 美元的猜測。儘管出現短期調整,但每小時的時間框架顯示出積極的前景,可能突破 72,000 美元上方,導致軋空。清算熱圖顯示了上限和下限目標,而技術指標顯示回調至 65,000 美元,使該水準成為關鍵支撐區域。
Bitcoin Price Poised for Rebound Amidst Bearish Correction
比特幣價格在看跌調整中可望反彈
Recent market fluctuations have prompted concerns regarding the trajectory of Bitcoin's price, with a sharp sell-off intensifying after the token's failure to establish a foothold above $72,000. However, despite this bearish pressure, Bitcoin has managed to maintain within a crucial support zone, raising questions about whether the bears are preparing for a potential reversal.
最近的市場波動引發了人們對比特幣價格走勢的擔憂,在該代幣未能站穩 72,000 美元上方後,拋售加劇。然而,儘管存在這種看跌壓力,比特幣仍設法維持在關鍵支撐區域內,引發了人們對空頭是否正在為潛在逆轉做準備的疑問。
Short-Term Indicators Suggest Correction
短期指標顯示修正
Analyzing short-term indicators, the 4-hour chart indicates resistance at the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), with candles closing below these levels despite repeated attempts to rise above them. This suggests that Bitcoin's short-term price remains in a corrective mode.
分析短期指標,4 小時圖顯示 50 日簡單移動平均線 (SMA) 處存在阻力,蠟燭圖收盤價低於這些水平,儘管多次嘗試突破這些水平。這顯示比特幣的短期價格仍處於修正模式。
Hourly Chart Provides Mixed Signals
每小時圖表提供混合訊號
The hourly time frame, however, presents a slightly different picture. The futures contract on the hourly chart shows that Open Interest (OI) has fallen below a key support line. While some short liquidations have occurred, the premium remains negative, and funding rates are still low. This indicates that futures markets are relatively clean, a necessary condition for an uptrend.
然而,每小時的時間範圍呈現出略有不同的情況。小時圖上的期貨合約顯示,未平倉合約(OI)已跌破關鍵支撐線。儘管發生了一些空頭清算,但溢價仍然為負,融資利率仍然很低。這顯示期貨市場相對乾淨,是上漲趨勢的必要條件。
Liquidation Heatmaps Indicate Key Levels
清算熱圖顯示關鍵水平
Liquidation heatmaps provide insight into potential upper and lower targets. New long liquidation levels have emerged below $65,000, while the region above $69,300 appears dense, suggesting that a breakout above $72,000 could trigger a significant short squeeze. Conversely, if the $66,000 level is breached, a liquidity flush towards $64,000 and $65,000 is likely.
清算熱圖可讓您深入了解潛在的上限和下限目標。新的多頭清算水準出現在 65,000 美元下方,而 69,300 美元上方的區域似乎密集,這表明突破 72,000 美元可能會引發嚴重的空頭擠壓。相反,如果突破 66,000 美元的水平,流動性可能會衝向 64,000 美元和 65,000 美元。
Institutional Buying Pauses
機構購買暫停
Institutional activity, as measured by exchange-traded funds (ETFs), has been subdued this week, with ARK experiencing outflows on Wednesday and Grayscale selling less than in previous weeks. This break in institutional buying aligns with the current correction and suggests that a pause in buying pressure is expected before renewed interest ends this correctionary phase.
以交易所交易基金 (ETF) 衡量的機構活動本週受到抑制,ARK 週三出現資金流出,而 Grayscale 的拋售量低於前幾週。機構買盤的中斷與目前的調整一致,並表明在新的興趣結束此調整階段之前,預計購買壓力將暫停。
Technical Indicators Signal Pullback
技術指標回調訊號
Technical indicators on the short-term timeframe are bearish, with a pending bearish cross on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator and a bearish signal line crossing on the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This points towards a pullback towards a retest of the previous trading range between $65,000 and $66,000.
短期時間框架的技術指標看跌,移動平均線收斂分歧(MACD)指標出現看跌交叉,相對強弱指數(RSI)出現看跌訊號線交叉。這表明價格將回調,重新測試先前 65,000 美元至 66,000 美元之間的交易區間。
Conclusion
結論
Based on the analysis of short-term indicators and market dynamics, Bitcoin appears to be poised for a rebound amidst a bearish correction. The $65,000 level remains crucial, and if breached, a liquidity flush to the $62,000 and $63,000 ranges could occur. However, the presence of strong support at these levels and the indication of a potential short squeeze suggest that a bullish reversal is within reach.
根據短期指標和市場動態的分析,比特幣似乎有望在看跌調整中反彈。 65,000 美元的水平仍然至關重要,如果突破,流動性可能會衝至 62,000 美元和 63,000 美元的範圍。然而,這些水平的強勁支撐以及潛在的空頭擠壓的跡象表明看漲逆轉指日可待。
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