比特幣價格預測：今年 BTC 會達到 10 萬美元嗎？這是分析師的說法

在這個行業中，對比特幣 (BTC) 67,371 美元的過高估價更為常見。然而，許多分析師和投資者認為，比特幣

Price Surges Driven by Spot Bitcoin ETF Inflows, upcoming US Election, and Soaring Government Debt

現貨比特幣 ETF 流入、即將到來的美國大選以及政府債務飆升推動價格飆升

The recent strength in Bitcoin ( BTC ) price can largely be attributed to the launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have attracted a net total of $2.11 billion in funds since Oct. 11. These ETFs, launched in January 2024, now hold over $60 billion in assets under management (AUM).

比特幣(BTC) 價格近期的走強很大程度上歸因於現貨比特幣ETF 的推出，自10 月11 日以來，這些ETF 已淨吸引了總計21.1 億美元的資金。推出，目前持有超過600 億美元管理資產（AUM）。

Institutions began showing interest in cryptocurrencies as early as 2017, when the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) first announced plans to launch a Bitcoin ETF. However, the SEC ultimately decided against approving any ETFs that would track the spot price of Bitcoin.

早在 2017 年，美國證券交易委員會 (SEC) 首次宣布計劃推出比特幣 ETF 時，機構就開始對加密貨幣表現出興趣。然而，美國證券交易委員會最終決定不批准任何追蹤比特幣現貨價格的 ETF。

Instead, the SEC opted to approve ETFs that would track Bitcoin futures contracts, which are derivatives that allow investors to bet on the future price of Bitcoin without having to actually own the cryptocurrency. This decision was met with disappointment by many in the crypto community, who argued that spot ETFs would be a more accurate and liquid way to track the price of Bitcoin.

相反，美國證券交易委員會選擇批准追蹤比特幣期貨合約的 ETF，這些衍生性商品允許投資者押注比特幣的未來價格，而無需實際擁有該加密貨幣。這項決定令加密社群的許多人感到失望，他們認為現貨 ETF 將是追蹤比特幣價格的更準確和流動的方式。

Despite the setback, several asset managers continued to file applications for spot Bitcoin ETFs with the SEC. Their efforts paid off in October 2024, when the SEC finally approved the first spot Bitcoin ETF. The launch of this ETF was quickly followed by several others, and together they attracted billions of dollars in institutional資金.

儘管遭遇挫折，一些資產管理公司仍繼續向 SEC 提交現貨比特幣 ETF 申請。他們的努力在 2024 年 10 月得到了回報，美國證券交易委員會最終批准了第一個現貨比特幣 ETF。該ETF的推出很快又推出了其他幾隻ETF，它們總共吸引了數十億美元的機構資金。

This influx of institutional demand has been a major driving force behind the recent rally in Bitcoin price. After bottoming out at $3,200 in late December 2022, Bitcoin has rallied by over 2,000% to reach its current price of $67,371.

機構需求的湧入是近期比特幣價格上漲的主要動力。比特幣在 2022 年 12 月下旬觸底 3,200 美元後，已上漲超過 2,000%，達到目前價格 67,371 美元。

If Bitcoin continues to rally at this pace, it could easily reach $100,000 within the next 12 months. In fact, some analysts believe that Bitcoin could even rally to $200,000 or more in 2024.

如果比特幣繼續以這種速度上漲，它可能會在未來 12 個月內輕鬆達到 10 萬美元。事實上，一些分析師認為，2024 年比特幣甚至可能漲至 20 萬美元或更高。