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據幾位知名比特幣分析師稱,未來幾個月 BTC 的價格可能會跌至 6 萬美元。
Several high-profile Bitcoin analysts have predicted that the price of BTC may crash to $60,000 in the coming months. This comes as the cryptocurrency’s momentum has stalled recently, and its recent major gains may prove fragile.
幾位備受矚目的比特幣分析師預測,未來幾個月比特幣的價格可能會跌至 6 萬美元。這是因為加密貨幣的勢頭最近陷入停滯,其近期的主要漲幅可能很脆弱。
Several analysts predicted a bullish 2025 for Bitcoin but still claimed that its price would first hit a sharp decline in the short term before a future bullish cycle materialized.
幾位分析師預測 2025 年比特幣將看漲,但仍聲稱,在未來的看漲週期實現之前,其價格將首先在短期內大幅下跌。
These Bitcoin price predictions were compiled by Ali Martinez, a prominent analyst in the space. Bitcoin's forward price momentum has declined sharply recently, prompting concerns that the $110,000 goal by New Year's Eve is becoming unrealistic.
這些比特幣價格預測由該領域著名分析師阿里馬丁內斯 (Ali Martinez) 編制。比特幣的遠期價格動力最近急劇下降,引發人們擔心新年前夕 11 萬美元的目標變得不切實際。
However, some leading analysts believe that the lack of support at different price points and the existing supply shock can cause BTC to drop even further.
然而,一些權威分析師認為,缺乏不同價位的支撐以及現有的供應衝擊可能會導致BTC進一步下跌。
“We're now opening Monday trading below $95,000. This is very, very bad. We are now, as I like to call [it], slipping [into] the $92,000 range. Getting too close… literally opens Pandora’s Box into a massive crash. The possibility has significantly increased that we could easily go to $73,000. You are sitting at the last line of support,” claimed Tone Vays.
「我們週一開盤價低於 95,000 美元。這非常非常糟糕。我們現在,正如我喜歡稱之為的那樣,正在滑入 92,000 美元的範圍。距離太近…實際上會打開潘朵拉魔盒,導致一場巨大的崩潰。我們輕鬆達到 73,000 美元的可能性顯著增加。你正坐在最後一道支援線,」Tone Vays 聲稱。
For the past week, Bitcoin's price has been in a “key support area” between $97,000 and $93,800. If the asset's value drops below this range, we could see a sharp drop to $70,000, as there is minimal support below it. Unfortunately, BTC's price is currently hanging at the bottom end of this range.
過去一周,比特幣的價格一直處於 97,000 美元至 93,800 美元之間的「關鍵支撐區域」。如果資產價值跌破該範圍,我們可能會看到其急劇跌至 70,000 美元,因為其下方的支撐很小。不幸的是,比特幣的價格目前徘徊在該區間的底部。
He also noted several trends that clearly reflect a growing nervousness in the Bitcoin community. For example, investors sent more than $3 billion in BTC to exchanges in the last week, as Bitcoin whales have limited their exposure. The ETFs, normally a source of immense returns, have also witnessed outflows exceeding $1 billion.
他也指出了一些明顯反映出比特幣社群日益緊張的趨勢。例如,由於比特幣鯨魚限制了他們的曝險,投資者上周向交易所發送了超過 30 億美元的 BTC。 ETF 通常是巨額回報的來源,但目前的資金流出也超過 10 億美元。
Even bullish predictions for the future still contain a hint of pessimism. For example, analysts from the Into the Cryptoverse podcast compared Bitcoin to the price movements of Invesco QQQ in the 90s. It shot up in a very similar manner to BTC this year, crashed dramatically, and then rose again to completely outpace this first bull market.
即使對未來的樂觀預測仍包含著悲觀的暗示。例如,Into the Cryptoverse 播客的分析師將比特幣與 90 年代 Invesco QQQ 的價格走勢進行了比較。它的上漲方式與今年 BTC 非常相似,然後急劇下跌,然後再次上漲,完全超過了第一次多頭市場。
“Bitcoin one year from now I think is something around $250,000. But knowing that it is hyper-volatile, Mark Newton, our technician, thinks that the cycle of Bitcoin turns a little bit down early next year, maybe Bitcoin gets to the 60s. $60,000 before $250,000,” claimed Thomas Lee, Fundsrat Capital CIO and CNBC Contributor.
「我認為一年後比特幣的價格約為 25 萬美元。但我們的技術人員馬克牛頓(Mark Newton)知道比特幣的波動性非常大,他認為明年初比特幣的週期會稍微下降,也許比特幣會到達 60 年代。 Fundsrat Capital 首席資訊長兼 CNBC 撰稿人 Thomas Lee 表示,先是 6 萬美元,然後是 25 萬美元。
Ultimately, however, major asset managers continue to make unambiguously bullish predictions for Bitcoin price movements. For example, Bitwise claimed earlier this month that BTC could reach $200,000 in 2025, with consistent growth. Pantera Capital even made the bold statement it would go to $740,000 by 2028.
然而,最終,主要資產管理公司繼續對比特幣價格走勢做出明確的看漲預測。例如,Bitwise 本月稍早聲稱 BTC 可能在 2025 年達到 20 萬美元,並且持續成長。 Pantera Capital 甚至大膽宣稱到 2028 年將達到 74 萬美元。
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