2021 年 9 月比特幣價格預測：鯨魚在潛在的第四季反彈之前累積 BTC

比特幣價格承受著相當大的壓力，過去一周跌幅接近10%。這一下降是在多次拒絕之後發生的。

Recent Bitcoin Price Analysis

近期比特幣價格分析

After a significant decline from recent highs, Bitcoin price has shown signs of recovery, trading within a narrow range above the $58,000 level. This price movement comes after a sharp drop from highs above $64,000, which encountered resistance at the 200-day moving average.

在從近期高點大幅下跌後，比特幣價格已顯示出復甦跡象，在 58,000 美元水平上方窄幅波動。此次價格走勢是在從 64,000 美元上方的高點大幅下跌之後發生的，並在 200 日移動平均線遇到阻力。

Bitcoin price is now facing crucial support at the $56,000 level, with RSI on the daily chart dipping below the 50% mark, indicating a bearish trend. If BTC fails to hold above $56,000, the next support could be around $52,000. However, some analysts suggest that the bearish momentum may be showing signs of weakness, potentially allowing for a rebound.

比特幣價格目前面臨 56,000 美元水準的關鍵支撐，日線圖上的 RSI 跌破 50% 大關，顯示看跌趨勢。如果 BTC 未能守住 56,000 美元上方，下一個支撐位可能在 52,000 美元左右。然而，一些分析師表示，看跌勢頭可能顯示疲軟跡象，可能會出現反彈。

On-Chain Analysis and Market Sentiment

鏈上分析和市場情緒

Amid Bitcoin's price volatility, on-chain data provides valuable insights into the underlying market dynamics. One key metric is the Bitcoin Exchange Reserve, which indicates the total amount of BTC held on exchange wallets. This metric has been trending downwards, suggesting an accumulation phase. As Bitcoin reserves on exchanges decline, it increases the chances of a supply squeeze, which could lead to a new price rally.

在比特幣價格波動的情況下，鏈上數據提供了有關潛在市場動態的寶貴見解。一項關鍵指標是比特幣交易所儲備，它表示交易所錢包中持有的 BTC 總量。此指標一直呈下降趨勢，顯示處於累積階段。隨著比特幣在交易所的儲備減少，供應緊張的可能性增加，這可能導致新的價格上漲。

Another important on-chain indicator is the Puell Multiple Index, which is used to assess Bitcoin miners' profitability. Currently, the index sits between 0.6 and 0.8, indicating that the market is in a "decision zone." A drop below 0.6 has historically presented a favorable opportunity for Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA), while a rise above 0.8 usually signals the beginning of a bullish market.

另一個重要的鏈上指標是普埃爾多重指數，用於評估比特幣礦商的獲利能力。目前，該指數位於0.6至0.8之間，顯示市場處於「決策區」。從歷史上看，跌破 0.6 為平均成本法 (DCA) 提供了有利機會，而升至 0.8 以上通常標誌著看漲市場的開始。

What to Expect for BTC Price in September

9 月 BTC 價格有何預期

Despite the overall market downturn, the number of Bitcoin whales — wallets holding 100+ BTC — reached a 17-month high, with 283 new wallets being added in August. In an attempt at a Bitcoin price prediction for September, this increase in large holders suggests a growing confidence in Bitcoin's long-term profitability, hinting at potential bullish momentum in the coming months.

儘管市場整體低迷，但比特幣鯨魚（持有 100+ BTC 的錢包）的數量達到 17 個月以來的最高水平，8 月新增了 283 個錢包。在對 9 月比特幣價格進行預測時，大持有者的增加表明人們對比特幣長期盈利能力的信心不斷增強，暗示未來幾個月可能會出現看漲勢頭。

However, it's also worth noting that September has historically seen bearish trends, with a potential continuation before a recovery in Q4.

然而，也值得注意的是，從歷史上看，9 月出現了看跌趨勢，在第四季度復甦之前，這種趨勢可能會持續下去。