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聯準會最近的降息引發了市場樂觀情緒,推動了比特幣最近的價格上漲。隨著比特幣的上漲,交易員現在正在猜測這是否會開始邁向新的歷史高點(ATH)。
The Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut has instilled optimism in the financial markets, particularly evident in Bitcoin’s latest price rally. As BTC surges in response, traders are speculating whether this could begin a run towards a new all-time high (ATH).
聯準會最近的降息給金融市場注入了樂觀情緒,尤其是比特幣最近的價格上漲。隨著比特幣的上漲,交易員正在猜測這是否會開始邁向新的歷史高點(ATH)。
With financial conditions easing up, Bitcoin’s upward trajectory has sparked discussions about whether the current price momentum can lead the digital asset to surpass its previous records.
隨著金融狀況的緩和,比特幣的上漲軌跡引發了關於當前價格動能是否能夠導致數位資產超越之前記錄的討論。
Here are some key bullish cues that could propel Bitcoin towards a new all-time high (ATH) as highlighted by several crucial on-chain metrics.
正如幾個關鍵的鏈上指標所強調的,以下是一些關鍵的看漲線索,可能會推動比特幣創下歷史新高(ATH)。
From a futures market perspective, open interest (OI) is rising, indicating growing participation in the market. More traders are opening positions, increasing the likelihood of a significant price move. Rising OI and a positive OI-weighted funding rate suggest that long positions currently dominate the market.
從期貨市場來看,持倉量(OI)不斷上升,顯示市場參與度不斷提高。更多交易者開倉,增加了價格大幅波動的可能性。 OI 上升和正 OI 加權融資利率顯示多頭部位目前主導市場。
While the funding rate is positive, its declining trend may indicate that bullish momentum is softening. However, it still shows that buyers are paying a premium to shorts, indicating confidence in higher prices.
雖然資金利率為正,但其下降趨勢可能表明看漲勢頭正在減弱。然而,這仍然表明買家正在為空頭支付溢價,表明對更高價格的信心。
Furthermore, the active address momentum shows an encouraging uptick in the short-term 30-day moving average, indicating increased blockchain activity. Higher activity levels suggest greater transactions and growing interest in the network, a potential precursor to price surges.
此外,活躍地址動能顯示短期 30 天移動平均線出現令人鼓舞的上升,顯示區塊鏈活動增加。較高的活動水平表明交易量增加以及對網路的興趣不斷增長,這是價格飆升的潛在前兆。
In addition, net exchange flows show sustained outflows of BTC from exchanges, which often indicate accumulation by long-term holders. When investors withdraw Bitcoin from exchanges, it typically implies confidence in the asset’s future performance as they opt for cold storage rather than preparing to sell.
此外,淨交易流量顯示比特幣持續從交易所流出,這通常表示長期持有者正在累積比特幣。當投資者從交易所撤回比特幣時,通常意味著對該資產的未來表現充滿信心,因為他們選擇冷儲存而不是準備出售。
The supply reduction on exchanges often increases price pressure when demand remains steady.
當需求維持穩定時,交易所供給的減少往往會增加價格壓力。
The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric further strengthens the bullish outlook. Having exited a capitulation phase, the NUPL now reflects rising unrealized profits, which have historically been followed by sustained upward price movements.
未實現淨損益(NUPL)指標進一步強化了看漲前景。在退出投降階段後,NUPL 現在反映了未實現利潤的增加,而從歷史上看,未實現利潤的增加伴隨著價格的持續上漲。
The metric suggests growing optimism among holders, who see potential gains but choose to hold rather than take profits.
該指標表明,持有者的樂觀情緒日益增強,他們看到了潛在收益,但選擇持有而不是獲利了結。
Lastly, the MVRV Z-Score continues its upward trend, climbing from undervalued levels. This score measures the market’s relative value, and when it rises from a low base, it often signals a strong buying opportunity.
最後,MVRV Z 分數持續呈上升趨勢,從被低估的水平攀升。該分數衡量市場的相對價值,當它從較低的基數上升時,通常預示著強勁的買入機會。
A continued increase in the MVRV Z-Score could suggest that Bitcoin still has room to grow, reinforcing the possibility of a new ATH. These combined bullish signals indicate a positive outlook for Bitcoin, potentially setting the stage for a significant rally.
MVRV Z 分數的持續成長可能表明比特幣仍有成長空間,從而增強了新 ATH 的可能性。這些綜合看漲訊號顯示比特幣前景樂觀,可能為大幅反彈奠定基礎。
Meanwhile, the BTC/USD pair has formed a technical setup called the ‘bull flag pattern,’ which adds to the bullish cues supporting speculation of a new ATH for Bitcoin prices.
同時,比特幣/美元貨幣對形成了一種稱為「牛旗形態」的技術結構,這增加了支持比特幣價格新高的猜測的看漲線索。
A bull flag pattern forms when a crypto token’s price experiences a near-vertical rise, creating the flag pole. This pattern commonly emerges in assets that are in a strong uptrend.
當加密代幣的價格經歷近乎垂直的上漲並形成旗桿時,就會形成牛旗形態。這種模式通常出現在處於強勁上升趨勢的資產中。
Following the steep ascent, the asset undergoes a period of consolidation, creating the pattern flag. Despite the initial strong rally, the price holds steady as buying pressure persists. Typically, a breakout from this consolidation phase triggers another significant uptrend.
在急劇上升之後,該資產經歷了一段整合期,形成了形態標誌。儘管最初出現強勁反彈,但由於購買壓力持續存在,價格保持穩定。通常,此盤整階段的突破會引發另一個顯著的上升趨勢。
The pattern reaches completion when the price breaks out from the flag area, effectively resuming the prior upward trajectory. Traders project the breakout’s price target by adding the length of the flag pole to the breakout price level.
當價格突破旗形區域時,該形態就完成了,有效地恢復了先前的上漲軌跡。交易者透過將旗桿的長度添加到突破價格水平來預測突破的價格目標。
According to the rules of technical analysis, if the token confirms the bullish technical pattern, the BTC/USD pair might rally over 99% to reach the pattern’s theoretical price target near $124,740.
根據技術分析規則,如果該代幣確認看漲技術模式,則 BTC/USD 貨幣對可能會上漲 99% 以上,達到該模式的理論價格目標接近 124,740 美元。
It is unlikely that the token will reach the pattern’s target price immediately after confirming it, but a breakout could help attract more buyers to the market.
代幣不太可能在確認後立即達到該模式的目標價格,但突破可能有助於吸引更多買家進入市場。
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