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值得注意的是,上圖所示的 BTCUSD 圖表分別於 8 月 14 日和 9 月 11 日發布的最近兩份美國 CPI 報告均將比特幣價格推升至兩位數
The BTCUSD chart above shows how the last two US CPI reports, released on Aug 14 and Sept 11, respectively, both propelled Bitcoin price into double-digit rallies.
上面的 BTCUSD 圖表顯示了分別於 8 月 14 日和 9 月 11 日發布的最後兩份美國 CPI 報告如何推動比特幣價格實現兩位數上漲。
As the USD weakens amid consecutive rate cuts, Bitcoin’s appeal as a store of value strengthens. Hence, with the hotter-than-expected inflation observed on Oct 10, this September US CPI report could potentially, trigger another BTC price rebound in the days ahead.
隨著美元因連續降息而走弱,比特幣作為價值儲存手段的吸引力增強。因此,隨著 10 月 10 日觀察到的通膨高於預期,這份 9 月美國 CPI 報告可能會在未來幾天引發 BTC 價格的再次反彈。
Bitcoin Price Forecast: $70k “Uptober” Rally Still Viable
比特幣價格預測:7萬美元「Uptober」反彈仍然可行
CME group analysts have raised the likely-hood of Nov 7, Fed rate cut to 86.4% following the US CPI data release on Oct 1. Early reactions saw Bitcoin price fell to $58,901, its lowest in 23-days dating back to Sept 23.
在10 月1 日美國消費者物價指數(CPI) 數據公佈後,芝商所(CME) 集團分析師將聯準會11 月7 日降息的可能性上調至86.4%。美元,為9 月23 日以來23 天內的最低點。
However, drawing insights from similar inflation trends in the last 2 CPI reports, BTC price could be on the verge of another double-digit rally towards $70k ahead of the next FOMC meeting slated for Nov 7.
然而,從過去兩份消費者物價指數報告中類似的通膨趨勢中得出的見解,在定於11 月7 日舉行的下一次FOMC 會議之前,比特幣價格可能會再次出現兩位數上漲,漲至7 萬美元。
Technical indicators on the BTCUSD daily chart below also affirm this optimistic Bitcoin price outlook. Firstly, the Keltner Channel indicator shows Bitcoin recently touched the lower band at $57,980, a key support level.
下面 BTCUSD 日線圖上的技術指標也證實了這種樂觀的比特幣價格前景。首先,肯特納通道指標顯示比特幣最近觸及下軌 57,980 美元,這是關鍵支撐位。
Historically, when prices hit the lower band, a reversal toward the midline often follows. This suggests a rebound toward the mid-level resistance at $61,848 in the near term.
從歷史上看,當價格觸及下限時,通常會出現向中線的反轉。這表明短期內將反彈至中間阻力位 61,848 美元。
Moreover, the Choppiness Index (CHOP), currently at 46.50, signals consolidation, indicating a breakout is on the horizon. A sustained move below 38 on the CHOP scale would confirm a trending market, likely upward, as volatility decreases.
此外,波動指數 (CHOP) 目前處於 46.50,這是盤整的訊號,表明突破即將到來。 CHOP 規模持續低於 38 將確認市場趨勢,隨著波動性降低,市場可能會上漲。
Further upside potential is evident, with the upper Keltner band sitting at $65,715. This could act as the next significant resistance if BTC maintains bullish momentum. A break above the $66,000 level would strengthen the case for a $70,000 rally as market sentiment improves, driven by macroeconomic tailwinds.
進一步的上漲潛力是顯而易見的,肯特納區間上限為 65,715 美元。如果比特幣保持看漲勢頭,這可能會成為下一個重要阻力位。隨著宏觀經濟利好推動市場情緒改善,突破 66,000 美元水準將強化 70,000 美元反彈的理由。
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