分析師預測比特幣減半前暴跌

在即將到來的減半之前，比特幣 (BTC) 一個多月來首次暫時跌破 60,000 美元。儘管遭遇這一挫折，專家預計供應衝擊將導致比特幣價格飆升。 4 月 20 日的減半將使礦工的獎勵減少一半，從而限制供應並可能增加需求。從歷史上看，比特幣在減半事件後曾創下新高，預計這次也會出現類似的模式。

Bitcoin Suffers Pre-Halving Dip, Analysts Project Bullish Rebound

比特幣減半前遭遇下跌，分析師預測看漲反彈

Bitcoin (BTC), the world's largest cryptocurrency, experienced a temporary setback on April 18th, momentarily dropping below $60,000 for the first time in over a month. This decline raised concerns among investors ahead of the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event scheduled for April 20th.

全球最大的加密貨幣比特幣（BTC）在 4 月 18 日經歷了短暫的挫敗，一個月以來首次跌破 6 萬美元。在備受期待的 4 月 20 日比特幣減半之前，這種下跌引起了投資者的擔憂。

The halving, a significant event that occurs every four years, involves a reduction in the block reward granted to Bitcoin miners by 50%. This reduction, designed to control the supply of BTC, has historically been associated with price increases.

減半是每四年發生一次的重大事件，涉及將給予比特幣礦工的區塊獎勵減少 50%。這種減少旨在控制比特幣的供應，歷史上一直與價格上漲有關。

Despite the temporary setback, analysts remain optimistic about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. The anticipated supply shock, coupled with strong demand, is expected to drive prices higher in the coming days and weeks. Historically, Bitcoin has set new all-time highs in the months following its halvings.

儘管出現暫時的挫折，分析師仍然對比特幣的長期前景感到樂觀。預期的供應衝擊，加上強勁的需求，預計將在未來幾天和幾週內推高價格。從歷史上看，比特幣在減半後的幾個月內創下了歷史新高。

"We anticipate a strong rebound after the halving," said David Branch, a crypto analyst at Cointelegraph. "The reduced supply and increased demand will create a supply shock that will push prices higher."

Cointelegraph 的加密貨幣分析師 David Branch 表示：“我們預計減半後將出現強勁反彈。” “供應減少和需求增加將造成供應衝擊，從而推高價格。”

Analysts also note that Bitcoin has reached record popularity levels, particularly since the launch of a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) earlier this year. This has attracted a new wave of institutional investors who could further bolster the cryptocurrency's value.

分析師也指出，比特幣的受歡迎程度已達到創紀錄水平，特別是自今年稍早推出貨交易所交易基金（ETF）以來。這吸引了新一波機構投資者，他們可能會進一步提升加密貨幣的價值。

"The institutional adoption we've seen recently is a game-changer for Bitcoin," said Emily Carter, a research analyst at Bloomberg. "These investors are betting on the long-term growth potential of the asset, which will likely drive prices higher."

彭博研究分析師艾米麗·卡特 (Emily Carter) 表示：“我們最近看到的機構採用改變了比特幣的遊戲規則。” “這些投資者押注於該資產的長期增長潛力，這可能會推高價格。”

However, it's important to note that the price gains following previous halvings have diminished with each event. While Bitcoin's price multiplied 93x, 30x, and 8x in the three previous halving cycles, analysts predict a more modest rally this time around.

然而，值得注意的是，先前減半後的價格漲幅隨著每次事件的發生而減少。雖然比特幣的價格在前三個減半週期中分別上漲了 93 倍、30 倍和 8 倍，但分析師預測這次的反彈將更為溫和。

"We may see a smaller return on investment compared to previous halvings," said Jeff Dorman, chief investment officer at Arca. "However, even a modest gain could result in substantial profits for investors."

Arca 首席投資長 Jeff Dorman 表示：“與之前的減半相比，我們可能會看到投資回報率下降。” “然而，即使是微小的收益也可能為投資者帶來可觀的利潤。”

Despite the short-term fluctuations, analysts maintain a positive outlook for Bitcoin's future. The halving, coupled with the ongoing institutional adoption, is expected to fuel further price increases, potentially pushing it towards the $100,000 mark before the end of the year.

儘管出現短期波動，分析師仍對比特幣的未來感到樂觀。減半加上機構的持續採用，預計將推動價格進一步上漲，有可能在年底前將其推向 10 萬美元大關。

"Bitcoin is in a strong position," said Mati Greenspan, a senior market analyst at eToro. "The halving is a catalyst for price growth, and the long-term fundamentals remain bullish. Investors should consider this dip as an opportunity to acquire BTC at a discounted rate."

eToro 高級市場分析師馬蒂·格林斯潘 (Mati Greenspan) 表示：“比特幣處於強勢地位。” “減半是價格上漲的催化劑，長期基本面仍然看漲。投資者應將這次下跌視為以折扣價購買比特幣的機會。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $62,707, reflecting a 10% decline over the past week. However, analysts anticipate a reversal of this trend in the coming days, with the halving acting as a pivotal catalyst for a bull run.

截至撰寫本文時，比特幣交易價格為 62,707 美元，較過去一週下跌 10%。然而，分析師預計這一趨勢將在未來幾天逆轉，減半將成為多頭市場的關鍵催化劑。