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週五,比特幣價格從 71,310 美元暴跌至 65,370 美元,目前正在回檔。價格已跌破4小時100日移動均線,有跡象顯示可能會繼續下跌。 MACD 和 RSI 指標顯示看跌趨勢可能即將出現。如果價格跌破之前的低點,可能會引發向下修正至 64,625.81 美元。然而,如果未能跌破該水平,則可能會恢復上行軌跡。
Bitcoin Experiences Market Correction, Signaling Potential for Downward Trend
比特幣經歷市場調整,預示下行趨勢的潛力
In a significant market shift, the price of Bitcoin (BTC) witnessed a notable drop on Friday, plummeting from $71,310 to $65,370. While the price has since rebounded slightly, analysts warn that the possibility of a further downward trajectory remains high.
市場發生重大轉變,比特幣 (BTC) 價格週五大幅下跌,從 71,310 美元暴跌至 65,370 美元。儘管此後價格小幅反彈,但分析師警告稱,進一步下跌的可能性仍然很高。
At the time of writing, BTC's price has gained 0.9%, hovering around $67,734. Despite this modest recovery, the cryptocurrency remains below the crucial 100-day moving average (MA) in the 4-hour timeframe over the past 24 hours. Notably, in the daily timeframe, BTC continues to trade above the 100-day MA, offering a glimmer of support.
截至撰寫本文時,BTC 價格上漲 0.9%,徘徊在 67,734 美元附近。儘管出現了溫和的復甦,但加密貨幣在過去 24 小時的 4 小時時間範圍內仍低於關鍵的 100 日移動平均線 (MA)。值得注意的是,在每日時間範圍內,BTC 繼續交投於 100 日均線上方,提供了一線支撐。
4-Hour Chart Analysis: Bearish Indicators Emerge
4 小時圖分析:看跌指標出現
A closer examination of the 4-hour chart reveals that BTC has slipped below the 100-day MA and is attempting to breach the established trend line. Should the price successfully break below this line, a new downward trend could emerge.
仔細觀察 4 小時圖可以發現,BTC 已跌破 100 日均線,並試圖突破既定趨勢線。如果價格成功跌破該線,則可能會出現新的下跌趨勢。
Furthermore, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator presents bearish signals. The MACD histogram currently trends below the MACD zero line, while both the MACD line and signal line are attempting to cross below the zero level. This formation suggests a potential downturn in price.
此外,移動平均收斂分歧(MACD)指標呈現看跌訊號。 MACD長條圖目前趨勢在MACD零線下方,而MACD線和訊號線都試圖穿越零線下方。這種形態顯示價格可能下跌。
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), another technical indicator, also paints a bearish picture in the 4-hour timeframe. The RSI line has dipped into the oversold territory, falling below the 50% level, further indicating a bearish trend may be on the horizon.
另一項技術指標相對強弱指數(RSI)也在 4 小時時間範圍內描繪出看跌的景象。 RSI 線已跌入超賣區域,跌破 50% 水平,進一步表明看跌趨勢可能即將出現。
Daily Chart Analysis: Mixed Signals
每日圖表分析:混合訊號
In the daily timeframe, BTC remains above the 100-day MA, providing some stability. However, the MACD histogram has already crossed below the MACD zero line, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The MACD line and signal line are also approaching the zero line, reinforcing the possibility of a price decline.
在每日時間範圍內,BTC 仍保持在 100 日均線上方,提供了一定的穩定性。然而,MACD 柱狀圖已經穿過 MACD 零線下方,顯示動量可能發生轉變。 MACD線和訊號線也接近零線,增強了價格下跌的可能性。
The RSI indicator in the daily timeframe shows a slight downtrend, with the RSI line hovering just below the 50% level. This suggests that the price could potentially move downward and potentially trigger a bearish trend.
每日時間範圍內的 RSI 指標顯示出小幅下降趨勢,RSI 線徘徊在 50% 水平下方。這表明價格可能會下跌並可能引發看跌趨勢。
Potential Scenarios
潛在場景
If the price of Bitcoin experiences a significant drop following this retracement, it could trigger a downward correction movement. The potential downside target for such a correction is $64,625.81, the previous low. A breach of this level would confirm a bearish trend.
如果比特幣價格在這次回檔後經歷大幅下跌,可能會引發下檔修正走勢。這種修正的潛在下行目標是 64,625.81 美元,即先前的低點。突破該水準將確認看跌趨勢。
Conversely, if BTC manages to hold above its previous low, it could continue its upward trajectory towards its previous high of $73,010. A breakout above this level could propel the cryptocurrency even higher, potentially establishing a new all-time high.
相反,如果 BTC 能夠維持在先前的低點之上,它可能會繼續上漲,達到先前的高點 73,010 美元。突破這一水平可能會推動加密貨幣進一步走高,並有可能創下新的歷史高點。
Conclusion
結論
The recent price drop experienced by Bitcoin has raised concerns about a potential downward trend. Technical indicators in both the 4-hour and daily timeframes suggest that the cryptocurrency could face further declines. However, it is important to note that the market remains volatile, and BTC could still reverse course and resume its upward momentum. Investors should monitor the situation closely and make informed decisions based on the latest market developments.
比特幣最近的價格下跌引發了人們對潛在下跌趨勢的擔憂。 4 小時和每日時間範圍內的技術指標表明,加密貨幣可能面臨進一步下跌。然而,值得注意的是,市場仍然波動,比特幣仍有可能逆轉並恢復上漲勢頭。投資者應密切關注事態發展,並根據最新市場動態做出明智的決定。
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