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備受期待的比特幣減半已經發生,礦工的區塊獎勵減少了一半。雖然有些人預計會因為供應減少而出現牛市,但有些人則預測潛在的市場阻力。儘管減半,一些鯨魚還是支付了高昂的交易費用才能被納入創世區塊,這凸顯了他們在比特幣歷史上留下印記的強烈願望。
Bitcoin Halving Concludes Amidst Market Volatility, Sparking Speculation on Post-Halving Price Trajectory
比特幣減半在市場波動中結束,引發對減半後價格軌跡的猜測
On April 20th, 2024, the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event materialized, reducing the block reward for miners by half to 3.125 BTC. This pivotal occurrence, embedded within the Bitcoin blockchain's architecture, is designed to control inflation and ensure the finite supply of the cryptocurrency.
2024 年 4 月 20 日,備受期待的比特幣減半事件發生,礦工的區塊獎勵減少一半至 3.125 BTC。這一關鍵事件嵌入比特幣區塊鏈的架構中,旨在控制通貨膨脹並確保加密貨幣的有限供應。
The halving event has historically been met with significant price surges, with previous halvings triggering new all-time highs for Bitcoin. However, the current halving coincided with a broader market downturn, casting uncertainty over its immediate impact on Bitcoin's price.
從歷史上看,減半事件會導致比特幣價格大幅上漲,而先前的減半都曾引發比特幣的歷史新高。然而,當前的減半恰逢更廣泛的市場低迷,這為比特幣價格的直接影響帶來了不確定性。
Post-Halving Price Outlook: Bull Run or Bearish Horizon?
減半後的價格展望:多頭還是熊市?
The crypto community remains divided on the post-halving price trajectory. Optimists assert that the reduced supply, coupled with increasing demand, will fuel a bull run, propelling Bitcoin's value to new heights. Conversely, pessimists anticipate continued market turbulence, citing the broader economic climate and regulatory headwinds as potential obstacles to price appreciation.
加密貨幣社群對於減半後的價格軌跡仍有分歧。樂觀主義者斷言,供應減少加上需求增加將推動牛市,將比特幣的價值推向新的高度。相反,悲觀主義者預計市場將持續動盪,認為更廣泛的經濟環境和監管阻力是價格升值的潛在障礙。
Record-Breaking Transaction Fees: A Race to Enter the Genesis Block
破紀錄的交易費用:進入創世區塊的競賽
In the immediate aftermath of the halving, a surge in transaction fees was observed as investors and miners clamored to etch their names into the genesis block of the new era. Miners prioritize transactions based on the fees attached, leading to astronomically high fees. The first block post-halving generated a staggering USD $2.4 million (AUD $3.7 million) in transaction fees, with one transaction fetching a fee of nearly AUD $1 million.
減半後,隨著投資人和礦工大聲疾呼將自己的名字銘刻在新時代的創世區塊中,交易費用激增。礦工根據附加費用來決定交易的優先順序,導致費用高得天文數字。減半後的第一個區塊產生了高達 240 萬美元(370 萬澳元)的交易費用,其中一筆交易的費用接近 100 萬澳元。
Analysts Gauge Future Price Targets: Optimism for Next Halving
分析師衡量未來物價目標:對下一次減半的樂觀情緒
Despite the market volatility, analysts are already speculating on the next halving, which is projected to occur in mid-2028. Major industry figures have predicted price targets as high as USD $200,000 (AUD $311,000), while Swyftx Lead Analyst Pav Hundal foresees a "high double, or low triple digit percentage point increase in price by the next halving."
儘管市場波動,分析師已經開始猜測下一次減半,預計將在 2028 年中期發生。主要產業人士預測價格目標高達 20 萬美元(311,000 澳元),而 Swyftx 首席分析師 Pav Hundal 預計「到下一次減半時,價格將出現高兩位數或低三位數百分比的漲幅」。
Short-Term Volatility and Long-Term Considerations
短期波動和長期考慮
While projections for future price appreciation warrant attention, it is prudent to acknowledge the short-term volatility that often follows halving events. Analysts advise caution and recommend observing the market's response to the supply shock before drawing definitive conclusions.
雖然對未來價格升值的預測值得關注,但謹慎的做法是承認減半事件後經常出現的短期波動。分析師建議謹慎行事,並建議在得出明確結論之前觀察市場對供應衝擊的反應。
The Bitcoin halving is a significant milestone in the cryptocurrency's history. Its long-term impact on Bitcoin's price remains to be seen, but the immediate aftermath has provided both excitement and uncertainty. As the market navigates these turbulent waters, investors and traders alike will be closely monitoring price movements and evaluating the potential long-term implications of the halving.
比特幣減半是加密貨幣史上的重要里程碑。它對比特幣價格的長期影響還有待觀察,但其直接後果既令人興奮又充滿不確定性。隨著市場在動盪的水域中航行,投資者和交易員都將密切關注價格走勢並評估減半的潛在長期影響。
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