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就像奧運會和總統選舉一樣,比特幣每四年發生一次,最近的「減半」發生在 4 月 19 日。這一預先編程的事件將可用於開採的硬幣數量減少了一半,從而增加了稀缺性並可能導致價格飆升。
Bitcoin Halving: A Preordained Scarcity Event
比特幣減半:一場注定的稀缺事件
On Friday, April 19th, 2022, the highly anticipated halving event of Bitcoin occurred, marking a pivotal moment in the cryptocurrency's history. This event, which happens every four years, is an intrinsic aspect of Bitcoin's protocol, designed to maintain the inherent scarcity of the digital asset.
2022 年 4 月 19 日星期五,備受期待的比特幣減半事件發生,標誌著加密貨幣歷史上的關鍵時刻。這一事件每四年發生一次,是比特幣協議的一個內在方面,旨在維持數位資產固有的稀缺性。
The Halving's Impact on Scarcity
減半對稀缺性的影響
Bitcoin's halving functions as a preprogrammed mechanism embedded within its code. Its primary purpose is to reduce the number of newly generated coins available for mining by half. This reduction creates an artificial scarcity, as it limits the supply of Bitcoin in circulation.
比特幣的減半作為嵌入其程式碼中的預編程機制發揮作用。其主要目的是將可用於開採的新生成的硬幣數量減少一半。這種減少造成了人為的稀缺,因為它限制了流通中的比特幣供應。
Only 21 million Bitcoins will ever exist, and the halving events gradually slow down the rate at which they enter the market. This scarcity plays a crucial role in maintaining Bitcoin's value and its long-term viability as a store of value.
比特幣只會存在2100萬枚,減半事件逐漸減緩了它們進入市場的速度。這種稀缺性對於維持比特幣的價值及其作為價值儲存手段的長期生存能力發揮著至關重要的作用。
Historical Precedents and Expectations
歷史先例和期望
Historically, halving events have been associated with significant price increases for Bitcoin. After previous halving events in 2012, 2016, and 2020, Bitcoin's price experienced substantial rallies, surging 93x, 30x, and 8x, respectively, from the halving day price to its subsequent cycle peak.
從歷史上看,減半事件與比特幣價格的大幅上漲有關。在2012年、2016年和2020年的減半事件之後,比特幣的價格經歷了大幅上漲,從減半日價格到隨後的週期峰值分別飆升了93倍、30倍和8倍。
Many investors anticipate that the latest halving will follow this trend and drive Bitcoin's price to new highs. However, current macroeconomic conditions may introduce some uncertainty into the equation.
許多投資者預計,最新的減半將遵循這一趨勢,並將比特幣的價格推向新高。然而,當前的宏觀經濟狀況可能會為方程式帶來一些不確定性。
Market Volatility and Investor Sentiment
市場波動和投資者情緒
Despite the historical precedent of price increases following halving events, the current market environment presents a different set of dynamics. The cryptocurrency market has been experiencing volatility and a downward trend in recent weeks, with Bitcoin dipping to $59,900 at one point last week.
儘管歷史上有減半事件後價格上漲的先例,但當前的市場環境呈現出不同的動態。最近幾週,加密貨幣市場一直在經歷波動和下跌趨勢,比特幣上週一度跌至 59,900 美元。
This market uncertainty has tempered some investor expectations regarding the immediate impact of the halving on Bitcoin's price. Goldman Sachs has issued warnings that the prevailing macroeconomic conditions may dampen the typical price surge associated with halving events.
這種市場不確定性削弱了一些投資者對減半對比特幣價格的直接影響的預期。高盛警告稱,當前的宏觀經濟狀況可能會抑制與減半事件相關的典型價格飆升。
Crypto Industry Hiring and Optimism
加密產業的招募和樂觀情緒
Despite the market volatility, the broader crypto industry has shown signs of recovery in recent weeks. Crypto companies, including Crypto.com, Coinbase, Kraken, Binance, and Gemini, have announced significant hiring plans, adding to their workforces as the sector bounces back from a period of job cuts.
儘管市場波動,但更廣泛的加密行業最近幾週已顯示出復甦的跡象。 Crypto.com、Coinbase、Kraken、Binance 和 Gemini 等加密貨幣公司已經宣布了重大招聘計劃,隨著該行業從裁員期中復蘇,增加了勞動力。
Crypto.com, in particular, is expanding its team by 1,400 employees, aiming to bolster its customer service and corporate operations. CEO Kris Marszalek has expressed optimism about the future of the industry but has cautioned against excessive valuations in crypto funding rounds.
Crypto.com 特別是正在將其團隊擴大到 1,400 名員工,旨在加強其客戶服務和公司營運。執行長 Kris Marszalek 對該行業的未來表示樂觀,但警告不要在加密融資輪次中估值過高。
Conclusion
結論
The Bitcoin halving event of 2022 is a testament to the underlying principles of the cryptocurrency and its commitment to scarcity and decentralization. While the immediate impact on Bitcoin's price remains uncertain due to prevailing economic conditions, the halving event serves as a reminder of Bitcoin's long-term value proposition as a store of value and a hedge against inflation.
2022 年比特幣減半事件證明了加密貨幣的基本原則及其對稀缺性和去中心化的承諾。儘管由於當前的經濟狀況,對比特幣價格的直接影響仍然不確定,但減半事件提醒人們,比特幣作為價值儲存和對沖通膨的長期價值主張。
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