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今晚的比特幣減半是加密貨幣網路的重大變化,挖礦獎勵將減少 50%,可能會擠出獨立礦工的利益。這可能會導致大公司佔據主導地位,更容易獲得高效機器和再生能源,從而導致能源消耗的短期下降。然而,專家預測網路使用和運算能力的長期激增,可能會超過減半所帶來的效率提升,並重新引發有關比特幣能源消耗的環境爭論。
Bitcoin Halving: A Seismic Shift in Crypto's Energy Landscape
比特幣減半:加密貨幣能源格局的巨大轉變
As the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving approaches, the network underpinning the world's dominant cryptocurrency is set to undergo a monumental transformation, with far-reaching implications for its energy consumption. While the halving's impact on BTC's price and the broader crypto market has been the subject of intense speculation, its environmental consequences have sparked equally heated debates.
隨著備受期待的比特幣減半的臨近,支撐世界主導加密貨幣的網路將經歷巨大的轉變,對其能源消耗產生深遠的影響。雖然減半對比特幣價格和更廣泛的加密貨幣市場的影響一直是人們強烈猜測的話題,但其環境後果也引發了同樣激烈的爭論。
Redefining Profitability: A Shift towards Consolidation
重新定義獲利能力:轉向整合
The halving, which occurs approximately every four years, will reduce Bitcoin mining rewards by 50%, effectively raising the bar for profitability in this energy-intensive activity. Once able to earn 50 BTC per block, miners currently receive 6.25 BTC. In the coming hours, that reward will plummet to 3.125 BTC.
大約每四年發生一次的減半將使比特幣挖礦獎勵減少 50%,從而有效提高了這項能源密集型活動的獲利標準。一旦能夠在每個區塊賺取 50 BTC,礦工目前將獲得 6.25 BTC。在接下來的幾個小時內,該獎勵將暴跌至 3.125 BTC。
This significant reduction will intensify competition among miners, forcing them to maximize efficiency to remain profitable. Kyle Schneps, VP of public policy at Foundry, emphasizes that miners will invest in more efficient machines and seek out affordable energy sources, primarily renewable energy in remote locations.
這一大幅減少將加劇礦商之間的競爭,迫使他們最大限度地提高效率以保持利潤。 Foundry 公共政策副總裁 Kyle Schneps 強調,礦商將投資更有效率的機器,並尋找負擔得起的能源,主要是偏遠地區的再生能源。
Asymmetric Impact: Consolidation Favorable to Large Firms
不對稱影響:整合有利於大公司
Large mining firms, with their vast financial resources, are well-positioned to embrace these efficiency measures. They can afford the latest technology and access remote renewable energy sources, a capability beyond the reach of many independent miners. The halving will further solidify the dominance of these large players in the Bitcoin mining industry.
擁有龐大財力的大型礦業公司完全有能力接受這些效率措施。他們能夠負擔得起最新的技術並獲得偏遠的可再生能源,這是許多獨立礦工無法企及的能力。減半將進一步鞏固這些大型企業在比特幣挖礦產業的主導地位。
Isaac Holyoak, chief communications officer at CleanSpark, a mining giant with a market cap of $3.6 billion, anticipates a 15% decline in Bitcoin's global hash rate post-halving. The hash rate, a measure of the network's computing power, will decrease as less efficient miners drop out of the competition.
市值達 36 億美元的礦業巨頭 CleanSpark 的首席通訊官艾薩克·霍利奧克 (Isaac Holyoak) 預計,減半後比特幣的全球算力將下降 15%。隨著效率較低的礦工退出競爭,哈希率(衡量網路運算能力的指標)將會下降。
Short-Term Sustainability: Reduced Energy Usage
短期永續性:減少能源使用
According to Holyoak, this 15% reduction disproportionately represents miners with higher energy consumption. The remaining 85% of miners will continue to utilize renewable energy sources and support grid stability. In the short term, the halving may alleviate concerns over Bitcoin mining's environmental impact.
Holyoak 表示,這 15% 的減少不成比例地代表了能源消耗較高的礦工。其餘 85% 的礦工將繼續利用再生能源並支持電網穩定。從短期來看,減半可能會緩解人們對比特幣挖礦對環境影響的擔憂。
Long-Term Sustainability: Unresolved Concerns
長期可持續性:未解決的問題
Experts, however, caution against long-term optimism. As Bitcoin gains mainstream adoption and its usage expands, the computational requirements for network operations will surge, likely offsetting the energy savings brought about by the halving.
然而,專家警告不要長期樂觀。隨著比特幣獲得主流採用及其使用範圍的擴大,網路操作的運算要求將會激增,可能會抵消減半帶來的能源節省。
Nishant Sharma, founder of BlocksBridge, a Bitcoin mining research firm, believes that the halving will lead to a temporary reduction in energy consumption but ultimately fail to address the underlying concerns. He emphasizes that increasing transaction volume will outpace the efficiency gains achieved by this week's halving.
比特幣挖礦研究公司BlocksBridge的創辦人Nishant Sharma認為,減半將導致能源消耗暫時減少,但最終無法解決根本問題。他強調,交易量的增加將超過本週減半所實現的效率提升。
Regulatory Scrutiny: Norway's Preemptive Move
監管審查:挪威的先發制人之舉
While the halving may provide a short-term respite in terms of environmental impact, it does not signal an end to the debates surrounding Bitcoin's energy consumption. This week, Norway introduced legislation that grants the government authority to shut down crypto mining operations deemed harmful to the environment.
雖然減半可能會在環境影響方面提供短期緩解,但這並不意味著圍繞比特幣能源消耗的爭論結束。本週,挪威推出了一項立法,授權政府關閉被認為對環境有害的加密貨幣挖礦業務。
Conclusion: A Complex Balance
結論:複雜的平衡
The Bitcoin halving represents a significant milestone with profound implications for the crypto industry's energy footprint. While it may lead to immediate reductions in energy consumption, the long-term sustainability of Bitcoin mining remains an unresolved issue. As the network expands and computing power requirements increase, the debate over energy consumption will continue to rage on, with regulators worldwide closely monitoring the situation. The halving serves as a reminder of the complex interplay between technological innovation, energy consumption, and environmental concerns in the rapidly evolving world of cryptocurrency.
比特幣減半是一個重要的里程碑,對加密產業的能源足跡有著深遠的影響。雖然它可能會立即減少能源消耗,但比特幣挖礦的長期可持續性仍然是一個懸而未決的問題。隨著網路的擴展和運算能力需求的增加,關於能源消耗的爭論將繼續激烈,世界各地的監管機構都在密切關注這一情況。減半提醒人們,在快速發展的加密貨幣世界中,技術創新、能源消耗和環境問題之間存在著複雜的相互作用。
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