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比特幣今日跌破6萬美元,跌至5月初以來的最低點,但很快就反彈。
Bitcoin price fell below $60,000 today, dropping to its lowest point since early May, but it quickly bounced back. Several market experts now shared their technical analysis on what’s next for the digital asset as it fluctuates close to this key, psychological level.
比特幣價格今天跌破6萬美元,跌至5月初以來的最低點,但很快就反彈。現在,幾位市場專家分享了他們對數位資產在接近這一關鍵心理水平波動時的下一步趨勢的技術分析。
“We will be monitoring the price closely to see whether the support level around $60K holds,” said Joe DiPasquale, who is the CEO of cryptocurrency hedge fund manager BitBull Capital, in comments that were submitted through email.
加密貨幣對沖基金管理公司BitBull Capital 的執行長喬·迪帕斯誇萊(Joe DiPasquale) 在透過電子郵件提交的評論中表示:「我們將密切關注價格,看看6 萬美元左右的支撐位是否能守住。
Should bitcoin break through support near $60,000, the next support level will be at $50,000, he explained.
他解釋說,如果比特幣突破 6 萬美元附近的支撐位,下一個支撐位將是 5 萬美元。
However, if the digital asset trends higher, its next key level of resistance will be $70,000, according to DiPasquale.
然而,DiPasquale 表示,如果數位資產趨勢走高,其下一個關鍵阻力位將是 7 萬美元。
“If BTC falls below the 60k level, the next support zone is 55-58k,” said Grant Tungate, who is currently head of business development for Blockforce Capital, in a different perspective that was shared via emailed input.
「如果 BTC 跌破 60k 水平,下一個支撐區域是 55-58k,」Blockforce Capital 業務開發主管 Grant Tungate 表示,他透過電子郵件分享了不同的觀點。
“The 200d moving average is 57.5k, and the May 1st multi-month low is around $56.5k,” he noted.
「200 天移動平均線為 57,500 美元,5 月 1 日的數月低點約為 56,500 美元,」他指出。
William Noble, who serves as director of research and content development for Emerging Assets Group, pinpointed different key levels in his technical analysis.
新興資產集團研究和內容開發總監威廉·諾布爾(William Noble)在技術分析中指出了不同的關鍵水平。
“Bitcoin is stuck just below an important point at 61.1k,” he stated.
「比特幣陷入了略低於 61.1k 的重要點位,」他說。
“There are a lot of reasons to expect bitcoin to move through that level. Bitcoin is oversold and there has likely been capitulation selling in other sectors of the crypto market.”
「有很多理由預計比特幣將突破這一水平。比特幣已經超賣,加密貨幣市場的其他領域可能也出現了投降性拋售。
The chart below provides additional detail on this technical level.
下圖提供了有關此技術等級的更多詳細資訊。
This chart shows some key technical levels for bitcoin.
這張圖表顯示了比特幣的一些關鍵技術水平。
“That said, if bitcoin can not rally back above 61.1k there is reason to believe that bitcoin could fall to the next support level at 56.2k.”
“也就是說,如果比特幣無法反彈至 61.1k 以上,就有理由相信比特幣可能會跌至下一個支撐位 56.2k。”
“The most important thing to watch for on the chart is if traders and investors will be willing to pay higher prices and not just buy big down moves.”
“圖表上最需要關注的是交易者和投資者是否願意支付更高的價格,而不僅僅是買入大幅下跌的股票。”
“If there is no demand once price rises, then a move to 56k becomes very likely. In other words, beware of failed rallies.”
「如果價格上漲後沒有需求,那麼很有可能轉向 56k。換句話說,要小心失敗的集會。
Tim Enneking, who is managing partner of Psalion, also provided some additional input on this matter.
Psalion 的管理合夥人 Tim Enneking 也對此事提供了一些額外的意見。
“BTC wicked down through technical support at $59.6k and then immediately broke back up above $60k,” he stated.
「比特幣在 5.96 萬美元的技術支撐位下跌,然後立即回升至 6 萬美元以上,」他說。
“If $59.6 doesn’t hold, the next support level is at $56.7k. Should that break (and it looks unlikely at the moment), the next support level is just over $52k.”
「如果無法守住 59.6 美元,則下一個支撐位為 56.7 萬美元。如果突破(目前看來不太可能),下一個支撐位將略高於 52,000 美元。
“To the upside, there will be strong resistance around $63k and $67.3k,” he added.
「從上行來看,6.3 萬美元和 6.73 萬美元附近將存在強大阻力,」他補充道。
“Given the aftermath of prior halving cycles, however, I would expect BTC to be rangebound in the low $60’s and high $50’s for most of Q3.”
“然而,考慮到先前減半週期的後果,我預計 BTC 在第三季度的大部分時間將在 60 美元低點和 50 美元高點區間波動。”
“We shouldn’t let the ‘early’ ATH because of the spot BTC ETF approval in the US affect us too much,” he claimed.
「我們不應該因為美國現貨 BTC ETF 的批准而讓『早期』ATH 對我們產生太大影響,」他聲稱。
“Based on those prior cycles, the real bull market is in 2025!”
“根據之前的周期,真正的牛市是在 2025 年!”
Disclosure: I own some bitcoin, bitcoin cash, litecoin, ether, EOS and SOL.
揭露:我擁有一些比特幣、比特幣現金、萊特幣、以太幣、EOS 和 SOL。
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