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加密貨幣新聞文章

比特幣 ETF 刺激了機構需求,在地緣政治緊張局勢中減半動態變化

2024/04/14 23:00

現貨比特幣ETF的推出增加了機構對比特幣的需求,推動其價格達到新的高度。這些 ETF 目前佔據了 BTC 總供應量的很大一部分,其中 BlackRock 的 IBIT 和 Fidelity 的 FBTC 處於領先地位。然而,伊朗和以色列之間的緊張局勢最近導致價格跌至 61,000 美元。儘管如此,比特幣減半臨近和新的機構需求來源等基本面表明,價格上漲可能會持續,比特幣有可能突破 10 萬美元。

比特幣 ETF 刺激了機構需求,在地緣政治緊張局勢中減半動態變化

Bitcoin ETFs Drive Institutional Demand, Halving Dynamics Shift Amidst Geopolitical Tensions

比特幣 ETF 推動機構需求,在地緣政治緊張局勢中減半動態變化

The launch of Spot Bitcoin ETFs has had a profound impact on the cryptocurrency market, unlocking institutional demand and transforming the dynamics ahead of the upcoming halving. However, recent tensions between Iran and Israel have introduced a note of caution, temporarily stalling the upward momentum of Bitcoin.

現貨比特幣 ETF 的推出對加密貨幣市場產生了深遠影響,釋放了機構需求,並在即將到來的減半之前改變了動態。然而,最近伊朗和以色列之間的緊張局勢引發了人們的警惕,暫時阻礙了比特幣的上漲勢頭。

Institutional Demand Surges

機構需求激增

Since the inception of Spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year, institutional investors have been accumulating Bitcoin at an unprecedented pace. As noted by the on-chain analytics platform IntoTheBlock, these funds now account for a significant 4.27% of the total Bitcoin supply.

自今年稍早現貨比特幣 ETF 推出以來,機構投資者一直在以前所未有的速度累積比特幣。正如鏈上分析平台 IntoTheBlock 指出的那樣,這些資金目前佔比特幣總供應量的 4.27%。

BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC ETFs have emerged as the frontrunners in this institutional buying spree. As of April 12, these two ETFs alone held a combined 405,749 BTC, according to BitMEX Research.

貝萊德 (BlackRock) 的 IBIT 和富達 (Fidelity) 的 FBTC ETF 已成為這場機構購買熱潮中的領跑者。根據 BitMEX Research 的數據,截至 4 月 12 日,這兩隻 ETF 合計持有 405,749 BTC。

This surge of institutional investment has played a pivotal role in Bitcoin's meteoric rise to a new all-time high of $73,737, solidifying its status as a mainstream asset class.

機構投資的激增在比特幣迅速上漲至 73,737 美元的歷史新高的過程中發揮了關鍵作用,鞏固了其作為主流資產類別的地位。

Halving Dynamics Reshaped

減半動態重塑

The approaching Bitcoin halving, scheduled to occur in less than 1,000 blocks, has historically acted as a catalyst for price appreciation. Past halvings, which reduce the block reward for Bitcoin miners, have been followed by significant rallies.

即將到來的比特幣減半預計將在不到 1,000 個區塊內發生,歷史上一直是價格上漲的催化劑。過去的減半會減少比特幣礦工的區塊獎勵,但隨後會大幅反彈。

For instance, the first halving in 2012 triggered a 7,000% surge in Bitcoin's price in the subsequent months. The halving in 2016 led to a 3,000% price increase, while the most recent halving in 2020 resulted in a surge of almost 1,000%.

例如,2012 年第一次減半引發了比特幣價格在隨後幾個月飆升 7,000%。 2016 年的減半導致價格上漲 3,000%,而最近一次 2020 年的減半導致價格飆升近 1,000%。

However, the upcoming halving differs from its predecessors. For the first time, institutional demand, fueled by Spot Bitcoin ETFs, has emerged as a new factor influencing the halving dynamics. This could potentially amplify the price rally that typically follows halvings, driving Bitcoin towards the $100,000 mark or even beyond.

然而,即將到來的減半與之前的減半不同。在現貨比特幣 ETF 的推動下,機構需求首次成為影響減半動態的新因素。這可能會放大減半後通常出現的價格上漲,推動比特幣升至 10 萬美元大關甚至更高。

Geopolitical Tensions Weigh on Bitcoin

地緣政治緊張局勢令比特幣承壓

Amidst the bullish backdrop, recent geopolitical tensions between Iran and Israel have induced a temporary setback. Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has witnessed a sharp decline from $67,800 to $61,000.

在看漲的背景下,最近伊朗和以色列之間的地緣政治緊張局勢引發了暫時的挫折。在過去的 24 小時內,比特幣從 67,800 美元急劇下跌至 61,000 美元。

Market analysts attribute this drop to the heightened uncertainty surrounding the escalating conflict. However, they emphasize that the underlying fundamentals remain strong and expect Bitcoin to recover the majority of its recent losses in the near term.

市場分析師將這一下降歸因於衝突升級的不確定性加劇。然而,他們強調基本面仍然強勁,並預計比特幣將在短期內收復近期的大部分損失。

Conclusion

結論

The introduction of Spot Bitcoin ETFs has fundamentally altered the landscape for Bitcoin, unlocking institutional demand and introducing a new catalyst for price appreciation. As the halving approaches, the potential for a significant rally remains intact. However, geopolitical uncertainties could continue to introduce volatility into the market in the short term. Investors are advised to monitor developments closely and to conduct their own due diligence before making any investment decisions.

現貨比特幣 ETF 的推出從根本上改變了比特幣的格局,釋放了機構需求並引入了價格升值的新催化劑。隨著減半的臨近,大幅反彈的潛力仍然存在。然而,地緣政治的不確定性可能會在短期內繼續為市場帶來波動。建議投資者在做出任何投資決定之前密切關注事態發展並進行盡職調查。

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2024年12月27日 其他文章發表於