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儘管華爾街投資銀行對比特幣遊戲規則改變者進行了大量押注,但比特幣價格在本週稍早已突破 10 萬美元,但隨後暴跌至 9.2 萬美元左右。
The price of bitcoin has fallen sharply after Tesla billionaire Elon Musk warned that the cryptocurrency could be set for a sell-off in late March.
特斯拉億萬富翁伊隆馬斯克警告稱,比特幣可能會在 3 月底遭遇拋售,此後比特幣價格大幅下跌。
Despite a Wall Street investment bank making a massive bet on a bitcoin game-changer, the world's biggest cryptocurrency dropped to around $92,000 on Friday, down from a high of over $100,000 earlier this week.
儘管一家華爾街投資銀行對比特幣的遊戲規則改變者進行了大量押注,但全球最大的加密貨幣週五仍跌至 92,000 美元左右,低於本週早些時候超過 10 萬美元的高點。
Now, as the bitcoin and crypto market braces for an "imminent" Musk X bombshell, legendary crypto investor Arthur Hayes has predicted that the bitcoin price and crypto market will crash in late March.
現在,隨著比特幣和加密貨幣市場準備迎接「迫在眉睫」的馬斯克 X 重磅炸彈,傳奇加密貨幣投資者 Arthur Hayes 預測,比特幣價格和加密貨幣市場將在 3 月底崩盤。
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Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell is predicted to help support the bitcoin price until the end of ... [+] the first quarter of 2025.
預計聯準會主席鮑威爾將在 2025 年第一季末之前幫助支撐比特幣價格。
"Right on schedule, just like almost every other year, it will be time to sell in the late stages of the first quarter ... and wait for positive fiat liquidity conditions to re-emerge in the third quarter," wrote Hayes, a cofounder of bitcoin and crypto derivatives pioneer BitMex who went on to set up the Maelstrom investment fund, in a blog post.
海耶斯寫道:「就像幾乎每年一樣,是時候在第一季度末階段出售了…並等待積極的法定流動性狀況在第三季度重新出現。」比特幣和加密衍生品先驅BitMex 的共同創辦人在一篇部落格文章中表示,他後來成立了Maelstrom 投資基金。
The price of bitcoin and the crypto market rallies as dollar liquidity increases and falls as dollar liquidity declines, according to Hayes, who had earlier predicted the bitcoin price would collapse around incoming U.S. president Donald Trump's inauguration.
海耶斯表示,隨著美元流動性的增加,比特幣和加密貨幣市場的價格會隨著美元流動性的增加而上漲,隨著美元流動性的下降,比特幣和加密貨幣市場的價格也會隨著美元流動性的下降而上漲。
"I still believe that is a potential negative factor that could weigh upon the market in the short term, but against that, I must balance the dollar liquidity impulse," wrote Hayes. "Bitcoin, for now, jukes and jives as the pace of dollar emissions changes."
海耶斯寫道:“我仍然認為,這是一個潛在的負面因素,可能會在短期內給市場帶來壓力,但與此相對,我必須平衡美元的流動性衝動。” “目前,隨著美元排放速度的變化,比特幣正在歡欣鼓舞。”
According to Hayes, the Treasury's general account will be close to being emptied towards the end of the first quarter, as the U.S. approaches the debt ceiling and the April 15 tax payment deadline.
海耶斯表示,隨著美國接近債務上限和4月15日納稅期限,財政部的一般帳戶將在第一季末接近清空。
The price of bitcoin has fallen this week as traders reassess the 2025 outlook for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts in light of the latest robust data showing the U.S. economy has remained strong.
最新強勁數據顯示美國經濟依然強勁,交易員重新評估聯準會 2025 年降息前景,比特幣價格本週下跌。
The price of bitcoin has fallen back slightly but remains far higher than where it was a year ago.
比特幣的價格略有回落,但仍遠高於一年前的水平。
"The Trump-dump that some had anticipated taking place after his inauguration as U.S. president has seemingly been fast-tracked as the cryptocurrency market dives deep into the red zone," said Petr Kozyakov, the chief executive of crypto payment platform Mercuryo, in emailed comments.
加密支付平台Mercuryo 執行長彼得·科茲亞科夫(Petr Kozyakov) 在電子郵件中表示:「隨著加密貨幣市場深入紅色區域,有些人預計川普就任美國總統後會出現川普倒台的情況,但這種情況似乎正在快速發展。
In December, Trump confirmed he plans to set up a U.S. bitcoin strategic reserve. "We're gonna do something great with crypto because we don’t want China, or anybody else … but others are embracing it, and we want to be ahead," Trump told CNBC.
去年 12 月,川普確認計畫設立美國比特幣戰略儲備。川普對 CNBC 表示:“我們將利用加密貨幣做一些偉大的事情,因為我們不想要中國或其他任何人……但其他人正在擁抱它,我們希望領先。”
"Markets are no longer euphoric over bitcoin entering a new age where even the U.S. will hold a strategic bitcoin reserve. Instead, bitcoin's role as an ultra risk-on, risk off asset has surfaced once again amid signs that the U.S. Federal Reserve may keep interest rates elevated for longer than previously expected."
「市場不再對比特幣進入一個甚至美國也將持有比特幣戰略儲備的新時代感到欣喜。相反,有跡象表明美聯儲可能會繼續維持比特幣作為一種極端風險偏好和風險規避資產的角色。利率上升的時間比之前預期的要長。
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