比特幣現金減半提振價格，引發看漲預期（但謹慎行事）

比特幣現金（BCH）於 4 月 4 日成功經歷第二次減半事件，導致價格飆升 15% 至 684 美元的日高。儘管隨後出現回調，BCH 仍繼續上漲，並於 4 月 5 日達到 719 美元的高點。減半減少了開採新區塊的獎勵，理論上提高了稀缺性和加密貨幣價值。

Bitcoin Cash Halving: A Catalyst for a Bull Run, with Caveats

比特幣現金減半：多頭市場的催化劑，但需注意

Noida, India - (CoinChapter.com) - Bitcoin Cash (BCH) has triumphed over its second halving event on April 4, propelling the token's value by over 15% to touch a daily high of nearly $684. This momentous occasion, reminiscent of Bitcoin's halving events, has sparked a surge of excitement among crypto enthusiasts, who anticipate a similar trajectory for BCH.

印度諾伊達- (CoinChapter.com) - 比特幣現金(BCH) 於4 月4 日成功度過了第二次減半事件，推動該代幣的價值上漲超過15%，觸及近684 美元的日高點。這一重大時刻讓人想起比特幣減半事件，引發了加密貨幣愛好者的興奮，他們預計 BCH 也會出現類似的軌跡。

Halvings, as the name suggests, involve a significant reduction in the block reward for miners, effectively enhancing the scarcity and perceived value of a cryptocurrency. In the case of Bitcoin Cash, this event reduced mining rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BCH per block.

顧名思義，減半意味著礦工的區塊獎勵大幅減少，從而有效地增強了加密貨幣的稀缺性和感知價值。就比特幣現金而言，這一事件將每個區塊的挖礦獎勵從 6.25 BCH 減少到 3.125 BCH。

Historical Context and Market Expectations

歷史背景與市場預期

With only one previous halving on record, there is limited historical data to draw upon for comparison. However, Bitcoin, the "elder brother" of Bitcoin Cash, has consistently experienced remarkable price rallies following its halving events. This pattern has led traders to speculate that BCH may emulate this trajectory.

由於之前只有一次減半記錄，可供比較的歷史數據有限。然而，作為比特幣現金的“哥哥”，比特幣在減半事件後一直經歷顯著的價格上漲。這種模式導致交易者猜測 BCH 可能會效仿這一軌跡。

The lead-up to this halving witnessed a remarkable surge in BCH's price, with a staggering 147.85% increase over the past three months. This bullish momentum reflects traders' anticipation of the supply squeeze and its potential impact on the token's value.

在這次減半之前，BCH 的價格出現了顯著的飆升，在過去三個月中上漲了 147.85%。這種看漲勢頭反映了交易者對供應緊張及其對代幣價值潛在影響的預期。

Pre-Halving Hiccup and Market Resilience

減半前的小插曲與市場彈性

Bitcoin Cash encountered a momentary hiccup in the lead-up to the halving. Miners temporarily shifted their operations to Bitcoin due to better rewards. This resulted in slower block times for Bitcoin Cash. Nevertheless, the market swiftly recovered, demonstrating traders' continued optimism regarding the token's post-halving prospects.

比特幣現金在減半之前遇到了短暫的困難。由於獲得更好的回報，礦工暫時將業務轉移到比特幣。這導致比特幣現金的出塊時間變慢。儘管如此，市場迅速復甦，顯示交易者對該代幣減半後的前景持續樂觀。

Post-Halving Market Dynamics

減半後的市場動態

Although BCH's price initially surged post-halving, bears swiftly capitalized on the gains, pushing the token's value lower to around $666. This sell-off is reminiscent of the "sell the news" sentiment often witnessed after significant market events.

儘管 BCH 的價格在減半後最初飆升，但空頭迅速利用了漲幅，將代幣的價格推低至 666 美元左右。這種拋售讓人想起重大市場事件後經常出現的「賣出新聞」情緒。

Technical Analysis and Forecast

技術分析與預測

Technical analysis provides insights into potential price movements of Bitcoin Cash. If the current bullish momentum persists, BCH may rally to the resistance level near $731. A sustained uptrend could attract more buyers, possibly pushing the price to the 0.786 FIB resistance at $824.

技術分析提供了對比特幣現金潛在價格變動的見解。如果目前的看漲動能持續下去，BCH可能會反彈至731美元附近的阻力位。持續的上漲趨勢可能會吸引更多買家，可能將價格推至 0.786 FIB 阻力位 824 美元。

Conversely, a downward trend may materialize, potentially dragging the BCH price down to the 20-day EMA support near $590. A breach of this support level could further test the token at the 0.236 FIB support around $503.

相反，下跌趨勢可能會成為現實，這可能會將 BCH 價格拖至 590 美元附近的 20 日均線支撐位。突破該支撐位可能會進一步測試該代幣在 503 美元左右的 0.236 FIB 支撐位。

The relative strength index (RSI) for BCH is approaching the overbought threshold, indicating a potential correction or consolidation in the near future.

BCH 的相對強度指數（RSI）正在接近超買閾值，表明在不久的將來可能會出現調整或盤整。

Conclusion: Cautious Optimism

結論：謹慎樂觀

While Bitcoin Cash halving has initially fueled a price rally, it is essential to temper expectations with caution. The market remains volatile, and bears may continue to profit by selling into the post-halving momentum. Nonetheless, the halving event has generated significant attention and positive sentiment. Traders should closely monitor market developments and adjust strategies accordingly.

雖然比特幣現金減半最初推動了價格上漲，但必須謹慎調整預期。市場依然波動，空頭可能利用減半後的動能繼續獲利。儘管如此，減半事件還是引起了廣泛關注和正面情緒。交易者應密切注意市場動態並相應調整策略。